There’s all-day baseball on the diamond and our top MLB player props have you covered from start to finish.
Struggling Pittsburgh Pirates righty Mitch Keller kick-starts the picks this afternoon, and fading San Diego Padres veteran Joe Musgrove wraps up the nods in the nightcap. Meanwhile, Colorado Rockies lefty Kyle Freeland is showing value as a hit suppressor.
MLB props for September 26
- Mitch Keller Under 17.5 outs recorded (-107 at Pinnacle)
- Kyle Freeland Under 6.5 hits allowed (+112 at Caesars)
- Joe Musgrove Under 16.5 outs recorded (-105 at BetMGM)
Today’s best MLB props
Prop bet #1: Mitch Keller Under 17.5 outs recorded
The season can’t end quickly enough for Pittsburgh Pirates righty Mitch Keller.
He’s posted a 6.85 ERA and 1.54 WHIP while surrendering a 45.1% hard-hit rate through nine starts since the calendar flipped to August, and Keller has also recorded 17 outs or fewer in six of those trips to the hill.
The 28-year-old draws another tough matchup this afternoon, with the Milwaukee Brewers sporting a seventh-ranked .322 wOBA and fifth-ranked .327 on-base percentage against righties for the season. It will be another short outing for Keller, which favors our MLB picks.
Kyle Freeland Under 6.5 hits allowed
Colorado Rockies veteran Kyle Freeland has allowed six hits or fewer in seven of his past 10 starts while posting a respectable 3.79 ERA and holding opposing hitters to a .252 batting average and .262 BABIP. He draws a favorable matchup against the St. Louis Cardinals this afternoon, too.
The Cards enter with a 24th-ranked .230 average against lefties for the season and a .234 mark in September. St. Louis veterans Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado are also the only bats in the lineup with double-digit at-bats against Freeland and his smoke-and-mirrors, five-pitch mix.
Additionally, pitching at hitter-friendly Coors Field hasn’t been a hindrance to the lefty. Freeland has surrendered a .246 batting average and .300 wOBA at home compared to respective .313 and .377 highway marks this season.
Prop bet #3: Joe Musgrove Under 16.5 outs recorded
The Los Angeles Dodgers continue to crush at the dish with the second-highest wOBA (.353) for the month and the highest walk rate (10.0 BB%). They also rank fourth in wOBA (.333) against righties for the year.
So, while San Diego Padres righty Joe Musgrove is in a groove of his own, blanking the San Francisco Giants and Chicago White Sox in his past two starts is a little different than navigating a Los Angeles lineup looking to chase down the top seed in the NL.
Plus, Musgrove was still squared up for a 44.4% hard-hit rate during the two-start stretch.
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Today’s MLB games
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