Clippers vs Heat Odds, Picks, and Predictions Tonight: Turning Down the Heat

The last time these two teams met, the Miami Heat were taken to school by the Los Angeles Clippers in Southern California. Now, they’ll renew this rare matchup a month later in Miami, with a different-looking Heat team aiming to level the score.

Will Miami continue to build some form as home underdogs in the NBA odds as we head into the pivotal month of February?

Let's get right into it with our in-depth preview and NBA picks for Clippers vs. Heat on Sunday, February 4.

Clippers vs Heat odds

Clippers vs Heat predictions

The Miami Heat were in dreadful shape just a few days ago, aiming to snap a stunning seven-game losing streak. They did so with hard-fought wins over the Kings and Wizards, but Sunday presents a much taller task with the Los Angeles Clippers on the other side of the floor.

Yes, the last times these teams met the Heat didn’t have Jimmy Butler in the lineup — and were starting Kyle Lowry in the backcourt as opposed to the newly-acquired Terry Rozier. That still doesn’t change the fact that L.A., at 32-15 this year, is the stronger side.

The Heat defense has disappeared over the last 10 games, ranking near the bottom third of the league, and while it’s picked up the pace in recent games against the Wizards and Kings, the Clippers are the top offense in the NBA over those aforementioned 10 games and a team that has sat comfortably inside the Top 5 all season long.

The Clippers own the top 3-point offense in basketball according to Cleaning the Glass, knocking down 40.4% of their looks, and while they’ve taken most of their shots in the mid-range, which is precarious against a solid mid-range defense, they’ve been able to score at near-elite rates in every shooting zone.

This Heat defense is going to be put to the test, and considering how dreadful they’ve been at scoring, a Clippers team that is well above average defensively will be able to win on both ends of the floor quite comfortably.

My best bet: Clippers -4 (-110 at Caesars)

Clippers vs Heat same-game parlay

Clippers -4

Paul George 15+ points

Kawhi Leonard 6+ rebounds

+267 at FanDuel

Continuing with our discussion about how this Clippers team should capitalize in a great matchup against a struggling defense, I want to start by talking about Paul George. The superstar wing has been struggling in recent games, shooting just 41.5% from the field in his last four, but he seemed to snap back into it last time out against the Pistons when he knocked down eight of his 16 attempts for 18 points.

Amid a shooting slump, we’re getting a great discount here on George to hit 15 points, something he’s done in all but six games this year and has still done in four of his last five. The Heat have been particularly bothered by the mid-range shot since the start of January, allowing a whopping 47.9% of them to fall, according to Cleaning the Glass, so that should mean George — the master of the mid-range — is in for a big game.

Then, I’ll continue to attack the Heat’s weaknesses by backing Kawhi Leonard to pull down six rebounds, which he did the last time these two met. Miami continues to be one of the worst teams in the NBA on the glass, and Leonard has gone over this in five of his last six contests.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Clippers vs Heat spread and Over/Under analysis

These are two teams down at the bottom of the NBA in pace that have been able to cash the Under on plenty of occasions thanks to solid defensive showings. With that said, the Clippers have risen to the middle of the league in pace over the last 10 games and should be able to score at will given the state of Miami’s defense.

So, that makes the Under a bit of a tricky proposition. L.A.’s defense has been good, but its production has been nowhere near the elite levels we’ve seen on the offensive side of the ball. I do think, at this number, that the Over is very attackable.

Still, this is more of a lean than a play. The big money here has come in on the Under, with 65% of the handle wagered on the total at DraftKings compared to just 36% of the bets. Most of the bets — and almost all of the money — is on the Clippers to cover.

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Clippers vs Heat betting trend to know

The Clippers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 29 games (+19.00 Units / 24% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Clippers vs. Heat.

Clippers vs Heat game info

Clippers vs Heat latest injuries

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