Warriors vs Celtics Game 6 Player Props: Can't Keep Curry Down

Golden State got a rare dud from Steph Curry in Game 5 but still pulled out the W to head to Boston up 3-2. Ahead of Game 6, our NBA player prop picks think Curry will rebound as the Warriors look to close out the Celtics.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Jun 16, 2022 • 17:59 ET • 4 min read

The NBA Finals head back to Beantown for Game 6 on Thursday, with the Celtics looking to send this series to a seventh and deciding game. 

These Finals have been a back-and-forth battle but some trends have generally held true, regardless of whether the Celtics or Warriors have ended up with the win. 

Thus, we're looking at some familiar player prop picks for Game 6, including Stephen Curry's points, Jayson Tatum's turnovers, and Marcus Smart's assists.

Here are our best free NBA player props picks for Game 6 on June 16.

Warriors vs Celtics Game 6 prop picks

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis. Each odds widget below represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated US sportsbooks.

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Warriors vs Celtics Game 6 props

Superstar guard Stephen Curry followed up on his 43-point performance in Game 4 with just 16 points in Game 5. Curry went a woeful 0-9 from beyond the arc in that game, which snapped a streak of 38 straight playoff games with multiple 3-pointers made (not to mention 238 consecutive contests with at least one three).

While Boston did an excellent job at pressuring Curry on the perimeter, he also missed several outside shots that he usually knocks down with ease. Prior to Monday's clash, Curry had scored at least 29 points in all four games this series and was averaging 6.3 3-pointers made per game at an absurd 49% clip. 

Even though Curry's outside shots weren't falling in Game 5, he did have some success when attacking the rim and should look for more opportunities closer to the basket. Expect Curry to have a bounce-back performance in Game 6 and take the Over 28.5 on his points total.

PICK: Stephen Curry Over 28.5 points (-115)

Jayson Tatum had another big game for Boston in Game 5, dropping 27 points while adding 10 boards and four assists. However, he also turned the ball over four times, following up on a sloppy Game 4 where he had six turnovers. 

Tatum has been carrying a big offensive burden for the Celtics in the postseason, both as a scorer and as a playmaker, averaging 6.1 assists per game, but having the ball so much in his hands has also resulted in plenty of miscues.  

Tatum has turned the ball over at least four times in nine of his last 14 contests, averaging 4.4 turnovers per game over that span. With the Over/Under on Tatum's turnovers for Thursday set at 3.5, we're taking the Over.

PICK: Jayson Tatum Over 3.5 turnovers (-110)

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Celtics guard Marcus Smart has come alive as a scoring threat lately, dropping at least 18 points and taking an average of 16.7 field goal attempts per game over the last three contests. However, he's been dishing the ball a lot less and has had fewer than six assists in eight straight games, including every contest of this series.

With Smart dropping just two dimes in 40 minutes in Game 5, we're taking the Under 5.5 on his assists total for Game 6.

PICK: Marcus Smart Under 5.5 assists (-141)

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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