The Pelicans defeated the Jazz 136-123 on Friday, and shorthanded Utah will be back at Smoothie King Center on Monday for a rematch.
My Jazz vs. Pelicans predictions expect Walker Kessler to take advantage of an increased opportunity and crash the glass tonight. Read my NBA picks to see why you should take the Over on Kessler’s rebound line.
Jazz vs Pelicans prediction
My best bet
Walker Kessler Over 11.5 rebounds (-115 at bet365)
My analysis
Walker Kessler is averaging a career-best 11.3 rebounds per game this season, so he’ll need to be just above average in this one to cash this prop. I think he’ll be exceptional on the glass tonight and cruise past this line.
Kessler has been far better as a rebounder on the road than at home, pulling down just 10.3 boards at Delta Center and 12.2 in all other venues. He’s hit the Over on this line in 10 of 17 on the road, making this a favorable matchup in the Big Easy.
The Utah Jazz big man has a stellar matchup with a New Orleans Pelicans team that has allowed the fourth-most rebounds (46) to opponents this season. That includes the seventh-most defensive rebounds (34.1) and the fifth-most offensive rebounds (11.9). Kessler leads the Association in offensive boards this season at 4.3.
John Collins is out tonight, and Kessler has thrived with him on the sidelines this season. In 21 games with Collins, Kessler has averaged 10.6 total rebounds and 3.9 offensive rebounds across 28.7 minutes. In 11 games without Collins, Kessler has averaged 12.6 total rebounds and 5.1 offensive rebounds across 31.3 minutes.
Kessler gets a perfect convergence of elite matchup and increased opportunity tonight, making this an easy Over selection.
Jazz vs Pelicans same-game parlay
Walker Kessler Over 11.5 rebounds
Trey Murphy Over 19.5 points
Keyonte George Over 22.5 points
Trey Murphy has been a tremendous offensive force for New Orleans this season, averaging a career-high 21.5 points per game. He’s hit the Over in 15 of 27 overall, including seven of 14 at home. He finished with 19 points in Friday’s tilt with Utah after going for at least 20 in four straight.
Over his last 13, Murphy has averaged 25.2 points and gone Over 10 times. His points line is set at 22.5, but I’m more comfortable taking shorter odds at 19.5 and adding this to our three-legger.
Four of Utah’s Top 5 scorers are out tonight, and the absences of Lauri Markkanen, Collin Sexton, John Collins, and Jordan Clarkson leave 72.4 points up for grabs. Keyonte George is Utah’s lone healthy offensive force remaining, and he should cruise past this line.
George missed five straight with a heel injury but has returned without any rust, posting back-to-back 26-point efforts. Expect him to receive the green light to fire away.
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Jazz vs Pelicans odds
Jazz vs Pelicans live odds
Jazz vs Pelicans opening odds
- Spread: Utah +11 (-110) | New Orleans -11 (-110)
- Moneyline: Utah +450 | New Orleans -600
- Over/Under: Over 232.5 (-110) | Under 232.5 (-110)
Odds courtesy of bet365
Jazz vs Pelicans spread and Over/Under analysis
- Despite losing five of six, the Jazz have covered the spread four times, and the team is 21-19 ATS this season.
- New Orleans has covered in five straight, bringing the team’s ATS record to 19-24.
- The Jazz have hit the Over in three straight and in 23 of 40 games in 2024-25.
- The Pelicans have hit the Over in four of five, and the team is 23-19-1 to the Over on the season.
Jazz vs Pelicans trend
New Orleans has won the last three head-to-head matchups with Utah and covered in two of them. Find more NBA betting trends for Jazz vs. Pelicans.
How to watch Jazz vs Pelicans
| Location: | Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA |
| Date: | Monday, 1-20-2025 |
| Tip-off: | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | GCSEN, KJZZ |
Jazz vs Pelicans latest injuries
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