After getting pounded in the opener of a two-game Paris showcase, the Indiana Pacers look to rebound in the finale against the San Antonio Spurs.
Despite Victor Wembayanma dominating that Thursday clash, my Pacers vs Spurs predictions have Pascal Siakam & Co. finding their way back into the win column this weekend.
Read more in our NBA picks for Saturday, January 25.
Pacers vs Spurs prediction
My best bet
Pacers moneyline (-130 at bet365)
My analysis
It was an outlier of a loss for the Indiana Pacers on Thursday, as the team had kept teams under 115 points in eight of the previous nine games before getting lit on fire against the San Antonio Spurs. They were outscored 45-23 in a decisive third quarter, just the second time an opponent has hung 40+ on them in a period this season.
Fortunately, Indiana has shown an ability to bounce back after dropping games, going 4-1 SU after its last five losses while averaging 117.6 points. The Pacers have also held their own against Western Conference teams, holding a 9-5 SU mark on the season.
Although the San Antonio Spurs are a Top 10 scoring team in the NBA, their offense has sputtered lately, cracking 115 points just twice in the previous seven. They were paced by Frenchman and hometown hero Victor Wembanyama on Thursday, who wowed the crowd with 30 points, 11 boards, six assists, and five blocks in 32 minutes of work.
However, Indiana had been playing some of its best basketball before getting drilled. In fact, the Pacers have lost back-to-back games just once since Christmas.
Wemby got to showcase for the French fans in the opener, but I'm eyeing Indy to spoil the party in the finale.
Pacers vs Spurs same-game parlay
Pacers moneyline
Pascal Siakam Over 19.5 points
Devin Vassell Over 2.5 threes
Pascal Siakam attempted just 10 shots against the Spurs Thursday night, the fewest he’s hucked up since a Dec. 8 matchup against the Hornets — and he still finished with 18 points.
That’s only the third time this season that Siakam has attempted 10 or fewer shots, so expect that total to rise. The power forward had scored 20 or more points in five of his previous six.
One of the beneficiaries of the Wembanyama gravitational pull has been guard Devin Vassell, who has been lighting it up from downtown.
He drilled five of six attempts against Indiana, and he’s topped his O/U of 2.5 in six straight contests. Vassell is shooting 40.6% on more than seven attempts in nine January games, so we'll stick with the trend for one more day.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Pacers vs Spurs odds
Pacers vs Spurs live odds
Pacers vs Spurs opening odds
- Spread: Indiana -2 (-110) | San Antonio +2 (-110)
- Moneyline: Indiana -130 | San Antonio +110
- Over/Under: Over 236.5 (-110) | Under 236.5 (-110)
Odds courtesy of bet365
Pacers vs Spurs spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Pacers are 22-21-1 against the spread this season.
- San Antonio is 13-14-0 ATS as an underdog this year.
- The Spurs have cashed the Over in five straight games.
- Indiana has gone Under the total in six of its last eight contests.
Pacers vs Spurs trend
Following the Over in the last meeting, Indiana and San Antonio have alternated the Over/Under result in nine straight games. Find more NBA betting trends for Pacers vs. Spurs.
How to watch Pacers vs Spurs
| Location | Accor Arena, Paris, France |
| Date | Saturday, 1-25-2025 |
| Tip-off | 12:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Pacers vs Spurs latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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