NBA Parlay Picks: Odds, Predictions & Best Bets for Tonight’s NBA Playoff Games

The Thunder are a better team at home, but 10.5 points is too hefty of a line against a team like Denver. That's why Jason Logan has Nuggets +10.5 in his NBA parlay for tonight's playoff action.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
May 13, 2025 • 10:31 ET • 4 min read
Aaron Gordon Denver Nuggets NBA
Photo By - Imagn Images. Gordon and MPJ celebrate after a bucket.

NBA odds are live with two monster Game 5 showdowns on the board tonight.

The Indiana Pacers try to K.O. the Cleveland Cavaliers on the road while the Oklahoma City Thunder host the Denver Nuggets with the series tied 2-2.

I have NBA picks from both matchups to make a three-leg parlay for your betting enjoyment on May 13.

Today's best NBA Playoff parlay: May 13

Pacers +7.5

Nuggets +10.5

Nuggets/Thunder Over 221

Pick #1: Pacers +7.5

Don’t expect the Indiana Pacers to be all fat and cocky with a 3-1 series lead heading into Game 5. Just see what Myles Turner had to say following the Game 4 win:

Job's not finished, quote the great Kobe Bryant. Need to be able to stay focused.

Mamba mentality is in full effect with underdog Indiana taking the fight to the No. 1-seeded Cleveland Cavaliers. Sure, Cleveland is fighting for its life, but with Donovan Mitchell possibly sidelined, there is blood in the water tonight.

Pick #2: Nuggets +10.5

This series has been very tight outside of a blowout in Game 2 (with the Denver Nuggets happy to get out of OKC with a 1-1 split). 

Even with the swap in venue, Denver will keep this closer than 10.5 points. The Nuggets have been able to fight despite down offensive outings from Nikola Jokic. The Oklahoma City Thunder may walk away with a win, but this spread feels too hefty.

Pick #3: Nuggets/Thunder Over 221

Neither team shot the ball particularly well in the previous two games. Oklahoma City gets to come back home where it sets the pace. The Thunder average 123.4 points per game as a host — seven points higher than on the road.

The Thunder and Nuggets played at a much slower tempo in Denver (96.71) vs. the breakneck pace rating of 104.5 in the opening two games.

Those two outings in OKC soared Over closing totals of 229.5 and 230. Things will be tighter, but that total is too low for all the firepower on the floor.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”

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