We have a Wednesday jam-packed with hoops action, with 11 games on the NBA betting board.
While the NBA might be a superstar-driven league, some of the best value on player prop betting comes from looking at starters that don't get as much attention.
That's why tonight, I'm looking at Terry Rozier, Mitchell Robinson, and Trey Murphy III with my best free NBA player prop picks.
NBA player props for December 7
Picks made on 12/7/2022 at 12:40 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Today’s best NBA player props
The odds widgets below represent the best odds currently available for each betting market at regulated sportsbooks.
Not so scary
The Charlotte Hornets sit last in the league in offensive efficiency as they desperately await the return of franchise point guard LaMelo Ball. In Ball's absence, Terry Rozier has stepped up his scoring but despite leading the team with 21.3 ppg, he's shooting just 38.5% from the field.
The O/U on Rozier's points total today is set at 21.5, a number he has eclipsed in five of his last six games, but the O/U on his 3-pointers made is set at 2.5, which he has gone below in seven of his last nine contests. Rozier does average 2.5 three-pointers per game but he tends to get them in bunches or not at all.
Today, Rozier and the Hornets head to Brooklyn to take on the surging Nets. The Nets play at the sixth-slowest pace in the league and have been much better on defense lately, holding opponents to just 102.8 ppg on 44.5% shooting in their last five games. Take the Under on Rozier's 3-pointers made today.
Terry Rozier Prop: Under 2.5 3-pointers made (-106)
Dominate the Garden's glass
Knicks center Mitchell Robinson missed a couple of weeks with a knee sprain in November but he's back to 100% now and putting up some big numbers on the glass. The 7-footer grabbed 8.6 rebounds in just 25.7 minutes per game last season and he's been getting even more minutes lately.
Robinson is averaging 29.6 mpg in his last five games and has pulled down more than 10 rebounds in three of his last four contests — headlined by a 20-rebound performance vs. Milwaukee last week.
With the Knicks hosting an Atlanta Hawks team that loves to push the pace and takes the second-most shots in the league (with plenty of misses), expect lots of rebounding opportunities for Robinson tonight.
Mitchell Robinson Prop: Over 8.5 rebounds (-115)
Trey important
Pelicans wing Trey Murphy is coming off a forgettable 12-point performance against the Nuggets on Sunday but he had scored at least 17 points in his previous four games, averaging 21 ppg over that span.
Murphy has emerged as a valuable starter in New Orleans this season and he has gotten more minutes and field goal attempts in the last four games with Brandon Ingram sidelined.
Tonight, the Pelicans host the Detroit Pistons who are third-last in the league in scoring defense (117.3 ppg) and second-last in opponent field goal percentage (48.5%). With C.J. McCollum in the midst of a shooting slump and Ingram still out of action, look for Murphy to go Over his points total.
Trey Murphy Prop: Over 15.5 points (-109)
