The Memphis Grizzlies look for revenge on the Golden State Warriors at the FedExForum tonight. The Warriors beat the Grizzlies when the teams met last night, and that will definitely make for a more emotional game this time around. You won’t want to miss the tip for NBA betting action at 8:00 p.m. ET.
Will Golden State take two in a row from Memphis? Perhaps you’ll get a good idea with our Warriors vs. Grizzlies picks and predictions for Saturday, March 20.
Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies betting preview
Injuries
Warriors: G Steph Curry (Doubtful), F Kelly Oubre Jr. (Doubtful), F Eric Paschall (Out), C James Wiseman (Out), G Klay Thompson (Out)
Grizzlies: F Jaren Jackson (Out)
Find our latest NBA injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Grizzlies are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games. Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Grizzlies.
NBA sharp money and line movement report
By Patrick EversonFanDuel opened Memphis as 5.5-point chalk late Friday night and the line steadily made its way to -7, where it sits as of 5:15 p.m. ET. Golden State is attracting 63 percent of spread bets and 53 percent of spread money. The total dropped from 222.5 to 219, although the Over is taking 66 percent of bets and 59 percent of money.
Check out the full line movement for this gameAgainst the spread (ATS) pick
On Friday, Andrew Wiggins, Jordan Poole and Damion Lee combined to score 86 points in Golden State’s 116-103 victory over Memphis. The three of them were scorching hot, as evidenced by their 13-of-25 shooting from the outside. Wiggins scoring 40 points was a big deal for the Warriors, as he’s had an up-and-down season for the team, but it was huge that he was able to step it up in Steph Curry’s absence. Curry will likely be out for tonight’s game as well, so Golden State will be relying on him again. However, the only issue is that it’s just unbelievably unrealistic to expect these guys to combine for at least 80 points again. Truth be told, the Warriors would be extremely lucky if the three of them scored 60.
On top of the Warriors being unlikely to turn in another masterful offensive performance, the Grizzlies are a solid basketball team. As of this moment, Memphis would be in the play-in tournament in a very competitive Western Conference. The significance of that is that good teams don’t slip up twice in a row. There’s no denying that Friday’s loss was a disappointing one for the Grizzlies. So, look for them to study the film, make some adjustments and inflict some punishment on the Warriors tonight.
Memphis was also 6-1 ATS against teams with winning percentages between 51 and 60 percent heading into Friday’s game. It might be 6-2 now, but that’s still a decent record.
PREDICTION: Grizzlies -6.0 (-110)
Over/Under pick
The Grizzlies have a Top-10 defensive rating this season, so allowing the Warriors' reserves to explode for big performances was uncharacteristic of them. Now, Memphis is going to look to lock in defensively and it’s hard to picture Golden State finding much success here.
The Grizzlies are going to be motivated by blowing that one on Friday, and they will likely be prepared to handle guys like Poole and Lee here. Both of them do not get a lot of usage on normal nights, so there’s likely not a whole lot of film on them. But now, Memphis will be able to dissect last night’s tape and figure it out.
On the other end, the Grizzlies are barely a Top-20 team in offensive rating. The Warriors are sound defensively, so it’s not going to be easy for the Grizzlies to score.
PREDICTION: Under 222.5 (-110)
Player prop pick
On Friday, Draymond Green had 13 assists in Golden State’s win over Memphis. Over the last 10 games, Green has had double-digit assists in seven of them, and he now gets another crack at running the offense without Curry.
On a normal night, Green still gets a whole lot of opportunities to create for others, but that’s ratcheted up when there’s no other playmakers on the floor. Even in a losing effort, Green is going to have to make plays for his teammates in this one. So he’s a pretty safe play to rack up a ton of dimes.
PREDICTION: Draymond Green Over 9.5 assists (-107)
Warriors vs Grizzlies betting card
- Grizzlies -6.0 (-110)
- Under 222.5 (-110)
- Draymond Green Over 9.5 assists (-107)
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