The Washington Wizards haven’t won a game since January 1, and will attempt to snap a 12-game losing streak on the road Saturday, where they’re just 1-19 on the year.
Despite a run of wins lately, it’s not as if the Phoenix Suns have exactly sparkled – and we’ll highlight in our Wizards vs. Suns predictions why that could lead to a low-scoring affair.
Let’s dig into some NBA player props and hand out some NBA picks on Saturday, January 25.
Wizards vs Suns prediction
My best bet
Under 234.5 (-110 at bet365)
My analysis
I’ve really looked at this one from every angle, trying to figure out some reason to believe in the Washington Wizards here. After all, this Phoenix Suns team holds incredibly pedestrian marks on both sides of the ball, winning by just 0.9 points per 100 possessions this month.
Despite my best efforts, I simply can’t see a way this offense gets going. Phoenix has been a borderline top-10 three-point defense all season long, and has resided in the top five over the last week, two weeks, and in the entire month of January.
The Wizards have taken vast majority of their shots from outside this year, and have forced the issue even more over the last month with 41.1% of their attempts coming from deep which is the seventh-highest mark in the split.
The issue is that Washington has failed to hit these shots, and even in some good matchups over the last three games has shot under 26% in each game and under 36% from the field in general. That gives me very little hope that it will have success against an incredibly strong perimeter defense.
I did mention that the Suns have been rather flat on offense, too, and while the Wizards haven’t done great on defense overall this season they’ve at least concentrated on their opponents’ looks to the arc while owning the 10th-best defense around the perimeter over the past week of play while ranking 16th against the mid-range, a technical improvement.
The total here is higher than you’d think given what we’ve laid out, because the Wizards play with so much pace, but there should be little reason for Phoenix to match the tempo as all of those extra possessions are very unlikely to be fruitful for the road team.
That’s going to force me into a play on the Under here, going against the line movement we’ve seen towards the Over.
Wizards vs Suns same-game parlay
Under 234.5
Devin Booker Over 38.5 points, rebounds and assists
Bilal Coulibaly Over 11.5 points
This game should be a big one for Devin Booker, who just four games ago went for 37 points in a win over Washington. Despite the Wizards’ recent improvements against the 3, they continue to be one of the worst teams in the league against the mid-range jumper and have allowed a ton of looks to come from that zone – meaning Booker, who’s shot the ball with great volume from that spot, should once again find some space to score.
More than that, though, he’s also improved his defense with nearly two steals per 100 possessions this month, which is important given opposing shooting guards have come up with the second-most in the league against Washington.
The ball should be in his hands, and with that I like playing this combo prop. Washington’s given up around 12 assists and rebounds per game to this position, both in the top three of the NBA, and that should open the door for another big night.
Speaking of an open door, Bilal Coulibaly has finally been making the most of his minutes with an average of 14.3 points over his last three, and comes into this one after scoring 13 on Phoenix the last time these teams met. As a man who’s taken just about 50% of his shots at the rim and just beyond, too, he can exploit the lone area of the of the floor where Phoenix has ranked in the bottom 10 defensively over the last week.
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Wizards vs Suns odds
Wizards vs Suns live odds
Wizards vs Suns opening odds
- Spread: Washington +14 (-110) | Phoenix -14 (-110)
- Moneyline: Washington +650 | Phoenix -1000
- Over/Under: Over 234 (-110) | Under 234 (-110)
Odds courtesy of bet365
Wizards vs Suns spread and Over/Under analysis
- Oddly enough, the spread has not moved once since opening at 14 points.
- While just 46% of the spread tickets are on the Wizards, they make up 61% of the handle.
- The total began its steady rise shortly after opening, spending a few hours bouncing between 231 and 231.5 before climbing up all day Saturday to 234.
- The Over has accounted for 76% of the handle wagered on the total despite taking on just 48% of the bets.
Wizards vs Suns trend
The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+12.80 Units / 40% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Wizards vs. Suns.
How to watch Wizards vs Suns
| Location | Footprint Center, Phoenix, Arizona |
| Date | Saturday, 1-25-2025 |
| Tip-off | 9:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | MNMT, KTVK, KPHE |
Wizards vs Suns latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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