It seems appropriate that one of the biggest games in college football this week takes place at Jerry World. Yes, the No. 5-ranked Texas A&M Aggies take on the No. 18-ranked Arkansas Razorbacks at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.
Both teams enter this game with perfect 3-0 records and want to stake their claim as the second-best team in the SEC West. The Aggies are 5.5-point favorites but the Hogs are perfect against the spread this season.
Check out our free college football betting picks and predictions for Texas A&M vs. Arkansas on Saturday, September 25.
Texas A&M vs Arkansas odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
This line has seen some crazy movement. It opened at Texas A&M -5.5 and was quickly bet up to -6. Then Razorback money moved the number all the way down to -4.5. But since then, the Aggies bounced back to -5.5. The total has been more subdued, coming down just a half-point from the opening 47.5.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full college football odds before placing your bets.
Texas A&M vs Arkansas picks
Picks made on 9/24/2021 at 2:40 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Texas A&M vs Arkansas game info
• Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
• Date: Saturday, September 25, 2021
• Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
• TV: CBS
Texas A&M vs Arkansas betting preview
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.
Key injuries
Texas A&M: Caleb Chapman WR (Out), Layden Robinson OL (Questionable), Luke Matthews OL (Questionable), Ainias Smith (Questionable).
Arkansas: No key injuries to report.
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.
Betting trend to know
Texas A&M is 5-1 ATS in its last six games dating back to last season. Find more NCAA betting trends for Texas A&M vs. Arkansas.
Texas A&M vs Arkansas predictions
Texas A&M -5.5 (-110)
Arkansas has been one of the early surprises so far during this young college football season. The Razorbacks have impressed on their way to a 3-0 SU and ATS record with the highlight coming in their 40-21 destruction of Texas as 5.5-point underdogs.
The Hogs have gotten off to a good start for a few reasons. One: They are trampling all over opponents in the run game. They rank eighth in the country in rushing yards per game and have seven players with over 100 rushing yards each, and all averaging over five yards per carry.
Second: The defense has been outstanding. The Hogs rank ninth in the country in yards allowed per game and 12th in passing yards allowed per game.
Meanwhile, even though Texas A&M is 3-0, some are questioning just how good they are after their near-flop against Colorado, but I think that just provides us some value because, as good as the Razorbacks’ defense is, the Aggies' is even better.
This is an elite unit, particularly the front seven. As a result, the Aggies rank fifth in opponent yards per play and 11th in sack percentage.
Texas A&M has struggled a bit against the run, but you know they are going to sell out to stop it in this game and force Arkansas’ QB, KJ Jefferson, to beat them with his arm — something he hasn’t needed to do this season. It doesn’t help that two of Jefferson’s starting offensive linemen are questionable for this game.
While Jimbo Fisher’s offense has been inconsistent so far this season, they have balance and the defense is good enough to get them the win and the cover in this game.
Under 23.5 first half (-115)
It may take a little while for this game to get going. This is a matchup of not only two of the best defenses in the SEC, but the whole country as well. On top of that, this is a rivalry game with a lot on the line. That leads me to believe the first half will be low-scoring.
These are two of the stingiest teams in the country when it comes to allowing first-half points. Arkansas ranks 19th in that category while Texas A&M ranks fifth, and they combine to allow a total of just 10 first-half points per game.
On offense, the Aggies have struggled in the red zone, ranking 98th in red zone scoring percentage. While the Razorbacks haven’t been tested by a strong defense at this point, and so far have been one-dimensional. Bet on the defenses to set the tone early.
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