49ers vs Cowboys Week 15 Picks and Predictions

San Francisco’s playbook is all about the shorter passes and additional pick-ups, adding 1,685 yards after the catch – fifth-most in the NFL.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Dec 14, 2020 • 07:57 ET
Nick Mullens NFL San Francisco 49ers
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Dallas Cowboys and San Francisco 49ers had much bigger plans for 2020 than getting bumped from a primetime slot in Week 15 due to a lack of playoff implications. However, injuries to their respective quarterbacks and just bad football across the board have these two teams looking ahead to 2021.

The Cowboys are 2.5-point NFL betting underdogs at home, coming off a rare win in Week 14, while the Niners limp into this road game with just one win since Week 8. 

These are our NFL free picks and predictions for 49ers vs. Cowboys on December 20.

San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview

Weather

This game will be played indoors at AT&T STadium. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions for other matchups with our NFL weather info.

Key Injuries

49ers: Ben Garland G (Out), Tom Compton G (Out), Deebo Samuel WR (Out), Hroniss Grasu OL (Out).
Cowboys: Ezekiel Elliott RB (Out), Bradlee Anae DE (Out), Deante Burton CB (Out), Rashard Robinson CB (Out).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.

Betting Trend to Know

San Francisco is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 road games. Find more NFL betting trends for 49ers vs. Cowboys.

Against the Spread (ATS) Pick

Every game is a road game for the 49ers, who have been kicked out of their Santa Clara home due to COVID-19 restrictions on sports in the region. That’s left the Niners to play their last two games – technically home stands – at State Farm Stadium in Arizona. 

Those “home” efforts weren’t pretty, getting squashed by the Buffalo Bills in Week 13 and losing 23-15 to Washington last Sunday thanks to three costly turnovers – two of which found their way back to the 49ers’ end zone. San Francisco’s offense has been punchless, averaging only 18.4 points per game in its last five contests. Granted, some of those efforts came against a few of the stiffer stop units in the league.

That won’t be the case on Sunday when the 49ers find themselves starring at the Cowboys defense. Dallas may have limited Cincinnati to only seven points in Week 14, but this unit has been underperforming all season, giving up massive gains on the grounds (32nd versus the run) and allowing almost 31 points per contest.

San Francisco has one of the richest depth charts at the running back position and Kyle Shanahan’s playbook is all about the shorter passes and additional pick-ups, adding 1,685 yards after the catch – fifth-most in the NFL. Dallas’ defense is often late to contact, allowing rushers to reach top speed, and boasts 86 missed tackles on the season so far.

PREDICTION: San Francisco -2.5 (-110)

 

Over/Under Pick

Don’t get too excited about the Cowboys’ 30-point outpouring against the Bengals last weekend. 

Cincinnati turned the ball over three times and gave Dallas extra whacks at the pinata (as well as one of those TDs coming on the defensive side of the ball). Despite those three fumbles, the Bengals actually out-yarded the Cowboys (309-272) and collected two more first downs than Dallas. 

San Francisco’s ground game has made it a TOP machine, holding on to the ball for an average of 31:19 (ninth-most) and padding a stop unit allowing just 21.1 points per road game on the year. The 49ers defense is coming off a strong effort versus Washington, allowing only two field goals while the rest of those points against came on defensive touchdowns from the Football Team. 

The Cowboys have scored more than 19 points only twice since losing QB Dak Prescott back in Week 5 and have gone 3-5 Over/Under in those eight games since. San Francisco has also been profitable for fans of boring football, staying below the number in three of its last four and five of its last eight contests.

PREDICTION: Under 45.5 (-110)

Player Prop Pick

Through all the ups and downs of the 2020 season for the Cowboys, the one consistent remains Amari Cooper.

The star wideout continues to shine for this busted offense, amassing 942 yards on 80 catches to go along with five touchdowns, despite a game of musical chairs under center since Prescott’s season-ending injury. Three of those scores have come in the past three games, with Cooper finding paydirt in each of those outings.

Cooper had four catches for 51 yards and a TD at Cincinnati last Sunday – and could have had more if not for Andy Dalton’s miscues - but does his best work in AT&T Stadium. On the season, he’s averaging 13.6 yards per reception at home (vs. 10.2 on the road) and has caught 14 of his 19 total touchdowns as a host over the past three seasons.

PREDICTION: Amari Cooper touchdown scorer (+174)

49ers vs Cowboys Betting Card

  • San Francisco -2.5 (-110)
  • Under 45.5 (-110)
  • Amari Cooper touchdown scorer (+174)
NFL Parlays

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Use our NFL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”

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