We dive into the odds for Week 2 of the NFL and if last week was any indication Josh Allen could be airing it out against a Giants pass D that was destroyed on Sunday. We break down how we're betting on the Bills QB and give out some of our other favorite prop wagers as we analyze the early betting market for Week 2 of the NFL. **video
ALLEN AIRS IT OUT
Last week we hit our Josh Allen Over 219 passing yards as the Buffalo Bills came out throwing versus the Jets. Allen was playing quite loose as he turned the ball over four times, but the Bills look committed into turning him into a passer.
Up next for the 2-point-road-favorite Bills are the New York Giants who allowed 400-plus yards in the air last week versus Dallas. The Giants secondary gave up a pair of 100-yard receivers and let Michael Gallop go for 158 yards.
We like both these offenses as Saquon Barkley and, to a lesser degree, Devin Singletary can bust big plays with any touch. However, Allen’s turnovers and the Bills defense scare me on the Over 43.5. So we are going back-to-back with Allen’s passing yard total and grabbing the Over 216 yards.
THE BIG BEN THEORY
After scoring just three points in New England, look for Big Ben and the Pittsburgh Steelers offense to bounce back versus the Seattle Seahawks who are fresh off allowing 418 passing yards to Andy Dalton. The Hawks have allowed an average of 28 points over their last four road games (1-3 SU) and are 1-8 SU and 0-8-1 ATS on the road in September over their last nine.
The Steelers’ team total sits at 26.5 which we feel is a little high so we will be taking the Steelers -4. The Steelers to need to rebound after an ugly loss and beat an average road team travelling from west to east for a 1 pm game.
CHRISTIAN THE PANTHER
If bettors thought they could get an easy line on Christian McCaffrey’s rushing, receiving or total yards, guess again. With the soft Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense on deck for Sunday, CMC’s rushing and receiving yardage total sits at 139.5 — a number he has hit five times in his last 17 games.
We understand if you can’t pull the trigger with better value plays out there in your quest for some Thursday night action. How about the anytime score prop? That’s out of the question for most as it sits a ridiculous -277. We are zeroing in on the first TD of the game prop where McCaffrey is a much more reasonable +350.
If CMC is expected to rack up yards and score, as the lines predict, then we are going to put our money on him being the first to cross the goalline. There is a good chance he could lead his team in targets and carries, just as he did in Week 1. Take CMC to score the first TD at +350 and enjoy the bounty.
SHADY GAGA
With the news of Kansas City Chiefs Tyreke Hill hitting the shelf for 4-6 weeks, most will be looking at Sammy Watkins to fill that role. That’s great news for us as we don’t mind looking for scraps at the table if there is value.
LeSean McCoy, outplayed fellow RB Damien Williams on the ground versus the Jaguars and we are expecting the former Bill to cut into Williams' passing work this week against the Oakland Raiders. McCoy is still learning his pass protection but with another week under his belt, the back who averaged nearly four receptions under Reid as an Eagle will be more involved.
McCoy already has a major role on this team and it will only grow as he familiarizes himself with the playbook. We are taking the Over on a reception total of anything under 3.5. If you can’t find that market, we fully support the Over on 41 rushing yards as well.
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