NFL Props: Bills vs Chiefs Anytime Touchdown Picks — AFC Championship Game

There’s no better safety valve in football than Travis Kelce, and we expect the Chiefs’ superstar tight end to find the end zone against Buffalo.

Phil Naessens - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Jan 26, 2025 • 15:30 ET • 4 min read
Travis Kelce Kansas City Chiefs NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce in NFL action.

Championship Weekend concludes tonight with the Buffalo Bills taking on the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs.

My Bills vs. Chiefs anytime touchdown picks anticipate Josh Allen and Travis Kelce finding paydirt. Find out why in my NFL picks for Sunday, January 26. 

Bills anytime touchdown pick

Josh Allen anytime touchdown -110 at BetMGM

MVP frontrunner Josh Allen scored a dozen rushing touchdowns during the regular season and scampered for two touchdowns in the Buffalo Bills' Divisional Round victory over Baltimore.

The dual-threat superstar rushed for 55 yards and a touchdown in the Bills' 30-21 home win over the Kansas City Chiefs in November, and he also scrambled for two TDs against Kansas City in last year's Divisional Round loss.

Allen has rushed for seven touchdowns in a dozen playoff games, including having great success rushing the football against the Chiefs, and I’m betting on that continuing Sunday. 

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Chiefs anytime touchdown pick

Travis Kelce anytime touchdown +130 at BetMGM

Tight end Travis Kelce and quarterback Patrick Mahomes have quite the connection.

Since 2018, the Chiefs’ dynamic duo have connected for 55 regular season scoring strikes. Kelce has also been on the receiving end on 19 postseason TD receptions, including one last Sunday against Houston.

Kelce leads Kansas City in playoff targets (8), receptions (7), and two big plays of 20+, including a 49-yard grab against Houston. Meanwhile, the Bills allowed 23 passing TDs within 20 yards during the regular season.

The Cincinnati grad is Mahomes main man and he's hauled in more receiving yards than any other tight end in NFL history. Back Kelce to snag at least one TD against Buffalo. 


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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the tennis betting podcast, This Week in Tennis.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications including SB Nation, FanSided and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. Phil curates the Chip and Charge Tennis Newsletter and pens a weekly tennis column called “10 Things About the ATP Tour," for Passing Shot Productions. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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