NFL Props: Chargers vs Texans Anytime Touchdown Picks for the Wild Card Weekend

Ladd McConkey quickly earned Justin Herbert's trust down the stretch, and the rookie receiver should remain a key focal point of the red zone attack in Houston.

Phil Naessens - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Jan 9, 2025 • 16:02 ET • 4 min read
Ladd McConkey Los Angeles Chargers NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Pictured: Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Ladd McConkey celebrates after a touchdown.

Wild Card Weekend officially begins on Saturday when the Houston Texans welcome the Los Angeles Chargers to NRG Stadium.

My Chargers vs. Texans anytime touchdown picks anticipate a rookie taking center stage for Los Angeles, while also banking on a wily Houston veteran to break his red zone slump.

Find out more in my NFL picks for Saturday, January 11. 

Chargers anytime touchdown pick

Chargers Ladd McConkey anytime touchdown
+135 at BetMGM

Los Angeles Chargers wideout Ladd McConkey has had an incredible rookie season. The Chargers' rookie receiver built early chemistry with Justin Herbert this season, combining for 82 receptions and seven touchdowns.

McConkey has 5+ receptions in each of his past eight, and he's also hauled in seven of his eight red zone targets this season, including a pair of touchdown receptions in Week 17 at New England. 

The Herbert-McConkey duo has gotten the Chargers this far, and I like his chances of scoring a touchdown against a Houston Texans secondary that allowed an average of two receiving TDs this season. 

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Texans anytime touchdown pick

Texans Joe Mixon anytime touchdown
-135 at BetMGM

This is a juicy-priced prop bet, but I like Texans running back Joe Mixon to find paydirt on Saturday.

The veteran running back leads the Texans in touchdown scampers (11), with 10 coming in the red zone. Mixon’s versatility both on the ground and through the air makes this prop worth my while heading into the Wild Card opener. 

Los Angeles has allowed five rushing TDs and 13 via the air within 20 yards of the pylon. Mixon is the leading man as the Texans enter scoring distance, so Houston's RB1 should break his scoring slump. 

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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the tennis betting podcast, This Week in Tennis.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications including SB Nation, FanSided and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. Phil curates the Chip and Charge Tennis Newsletter and pens a weekly tennis column called “10 Things About the ATP Tour," for Passing Shot Productions. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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