NFL Props: Anytime Touchdown Picks for Thursday Night Football Tonight

Naessens' prediction: Tonight's QBs will lean on veteran receivers when they get close to the goal line, leading to scores for DK Metcalf & Keenan Allen.

Phil Naessens - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Dec 26, 2024 • 18:18 ET • 4 min read
DK Metcalf Seattle Seahawks NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Seattle Seahawks wide receiver DK Metcalf hauls in a pass.

Week 17 resumes with a Seattle Seahawks group hoping to keep its slim playoff hopes alive, taking on the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field.

My Seahawks vs. Bears anytime touchdown picks have found value in a pair of veteran hands with good chances to hit TNF paydirt. 

Read on for my NFL picks for Thursday, December 26. 

Seahawks anytime touchdown pick

DK Metcalf anytime touchdown
+188 at FanDuel

The Seattle Seahawks must win and veteran quarterback Geno Smith needs to have a big game.

Smith’s results have been mixed due to injuries, but he slung three scoring strikes in a Week 16 loss to the Minnesota Vikings and may have to sling three more to beat the Chicago Bears on Thursday Night Football.

That’s why I like DK Metcalf to snag one in the end zone. While he may have lost the top spot in the Seahawks' WR room, he’s still a Smith favorite, with seven targets per game, including eight in the red zone this season.

The Bears secondary is tough, surrendering only one passing TD per game this season, but the Seahawks WR corps is the healthiest it's been, and I like the vet to haul one in under the bright prime-time lights.

Metcalf gets the targets and will have the opportunity to thrive. With all eyes on Jaxon Smith-Njigba, I expect Smith to rely more heavily on Metcalf, and the six-year vet delivers when it matters most.


More Thursday Night Football picks from Covers


Bears anytime touchdown pick

Keenan Allen anytime touchdown
+175 at FanDuel

The Bears offense has had its ups and downs, but wideout Keenen Allen has found success on the receiving end of rookie quarterback Caleb Williams’ passes.

Williams has slung two or more touchdown passes in four of his last five and meets a Seattle passing defense surrendering nearly two TD receptions away from Lumen Field.

Allen has been highly effective inside the 20, hauling in six of his 14 red-zone targets — five touchdowns — and meets a Seattle defense that’s allowed 17 scoring strikes as the field gets shorter.

He’s snagged at least one touchdown reception in four of his previous five games. Chicago can move the chains enough for Williams and Allen to continue their growing trust in one another and for the young QB to find the vet in the end zone.

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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the tennis betting podcast, This Week in Tennis.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications including SB Nation, FanSided and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. Phil curates the Chip and Charge Tennis Newsletter and pens a weekly tennis column called “10 Things About the ATP Tour," for Passing Shot Productions. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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