It’s an NFC North bout at Ford Field on Thursday, November 28, with the Chicago Bears hitting the highway to face the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving.
My top same-game parlay NFL picks are eyeing the passing attacks of both teams and expect the Detroit connection between quarterback Jared Goff and wide receiver Jameson Williams to give bettors plenty to be thankful for.
Bears vs Lions SGP for Week 13
Jared Goff Over 243.5 passing yards
Jameson Williams Over 47.5 receiving yards
D'Andre Swift Over 13.5 receiving yards
- Jared Goff Over 243.5 passing yards
- Jameson Williams Over 47.5 receiving yards
- D'Andre Swift Over 13.5 receiving yards
The Detroit Lions and quarterback Jared Goff are a huge home favorite over the Chicago Bears in Week 13, and Goff’s passing production has been better at Ford Field this season. He’s aired it out for an average of 262.6 passing yards per game compared to 241.3 on the road, and the veteran QB has also thrown for a career high 9.1 yards per attempt and 80.1 adjusted completion percentage for the year.
This is a cushy matchup for Goff and the Detroit passing attack, too.
Chicago has surrendered the second-highest YPA to opposing quarterbacks while surrendering the eighth-highest dropback success rate since Week 8, and Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love went for 261 passing yards and a 15.4 YPA before Minnesota Vikings QB Sam Darnold threw for 330 yards and 9.7 YPA last week.
Opposing wide receivers have also had their way against the Chicago defense, with the Bears yielding the highest yards per target (15.36) to the position over the past two weeks. As a result, I’m eyeing Lions wideout Jameson Williams to stay hot in this divisional clash.
He’s caught 12 of 18 targets for 241 yards across three games while clearing this total in each since returning from a two-game suspension, and he’s gone Over his total in this market in seven of nine games for the season, too.
The final leg of this same-game parlay correlates with the Lions being a large favorite in the Week 13 odds, and the Bears finding themselves in plenty of passing situations.
Chicago running back D'Andre Swift has been a fixture in the Chicago passing attack and recorded 22 or more receiving yards in seven of 11 games for an average of 2.8 receptions and 25.3 yards per contest. The Lions also have the fourth-highest quarterback pressure percentage and PFF pass rush grade, so quarterback Caleb Williams turning to Swift multiple times through the air is a means to help mitigate the Detroit pass rush, too.
Not intended for use in MA.
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