Bears vs Titans Week 9 picks and predictions

With Chicago's offense struggling mightily, Khalil Mack and the Bears defense have been holding down the fort and keeping them in games.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Nov 2, 2020 • 07:18 ET
Khalil Mack NFL Chicago Bears
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

A pair of teams with playoff aspirations will try to bounce back from consecutive losses as the Chicago Bears face the Tennessee Titans in Week 9 of the NFL season. 

The Bears lost in overtime to the Saints last week to drop to 5-3, while the Titans' record fell to 5-2 after being defeated by the Bengals. NFL betting odds have Tennessee installed as a 6-point favorite for Sunday's matchup with the Over/Under set at 46.5. 

We break down the football odds for the Bears vs Titans on Sunday, November 8, with kickoff at 1 p.m. ET.

Chicago Bears at Tennessee Titans betting preview

Weather

It's expected to be a warm and sunny fall afternoon at Nissan Stadium in Tennessee with temperatures in the high 70s and winds reaching up to 9 mph. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NFL weather info.

Key Injuries

Chicago: Javon Wims WR (Out), John Jenkins DT (Out), Cody Whitehair C (Out), Bobby Massie T (Out), Tarik Cohen RB (Out), James Daniels G (Out), Eddy Pineiro K (Out), Eddie Goldman DT (Out), Artie Burns CB (Out), Mitchell Trubisky QB (Out), Roy Robertson-Harris DE (Out), Sam Mustipher C (Out).
Tennessee: Adam Humphries WR (Out), Kristian Fulton CB (Out), Taylor Lewan T (Out), Jadeveon Clowney DE (Out). 
Find our latest NFL injury reports.

Against the Spread (ATS) Pick

The Bears' success this season has been due to their defense, which is first in the league in both opponent third-down conversion rate and red-zone scoring. 

That said, the Titans have been winning due to a highly efficient offense that churns out yards on the ground and rarely turns the ball over. The Titans offense ranks seventh in the league in third-down conversion rate and second in red-zone scoring. 

Not only do the strengths of both teams line up, but their weaknesses do also, with Tennessee's stop-unit ranking 25th in the league in yards allowed and Chicago's offense ranked 29th in scoring. When you add that all together, it looks like their contest on Sunday should be a close one. 

The Bears have only lost two games this season by more than three points, while the Titans have only won one contest by more than six points. Expect Chicago to at least keep it tight in this game, and back them with the points. 

PREDICTION: Chicago +6 (-110)

 

Over/Under Pick

Win or lose, the Bears rarely cash the Over, going 4-1 to the Under in their last five games, with the O/U of 46.5 for this Sunday being their highest total of the season. 

Tennesee's defense has looked vulnerable this season but Chicago has struggled to move the ball on the ground or through the air. The Bears continue to get poor play out of quarterback Nick Foles, and when Chicago fans are rooting for Mitchell Trubisky to be back under center, you know things are bad. 

Chicago ranks sixth in the league in defensive DVOA according to Football Outsiders and will be taking on a Titans squad that is coming off a 20-point performance and put up 24 points the previous week against Pittsburgh. Take The Under. 

PREDICTION: Under 46.5 (-110)

Player Prop

Ryan Tannehill has been very efficient for Tennessee, completing 67.4 percent of his passes for 17 touchdowns against just three interceptions. However, Tannehill isn't the sort of QB that racks up crazy yardage numbers or throws the ball more than 40 times every game.

In seven games this year, Tannehill has thrown for more than 250 yards just twice. Don't expect him to throw for a ton of yards against a Chicago defense that holds opposing QBs to 6.2 yards per pass attempt and 228.5 passing yards per game. 

PREDICTION: Ryan Tannehill passing yards Under 251.5 (-118)

Chicago vs Tennessee Betting Card

  • Chicago +6 (-110)
  • Under 46.5 (-110)
  • Ryan Tannehill passing yards Under 251.5 (-118)
NFL Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed this week’s NFL Chicago vs. Tennessee picks, you could win $57.33 on a $10 bet?

Use our NFL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on the NFL?

You can bet on NFL odds at every online and casino sportsbooks, including NFL moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals and a ton of NFL prop odds. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on NFL odds in your area.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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