Sunday night will give us a divisional matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Baltimore Ravens, with the Ravens sitting as 3.5-point home favorites.
The Bengals have been pounding the rock despite poor results while J.K. Dobbins could soak up the majority of the carries Sunday night for the home side.
Find out in my free NFL player prop picks for Sunday Night Football between the Bengals vs. Ravens.
Bengals vs Ravens props
- Mixon Over 59.5 rushing yards (-110)
- Dobbins anytime TD (+150)
- Boyd longest reception Over 17.5 yards (-115)
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
If you're signing up for a new sportsbook for the 2022 NFL season, here are two of the best bonuses* available:
A) New users at FanDuel can get a no-sweat first bet of up to $1,000! Sign Up Now
B) New users at DraftKings can bet $5 and get $200 in free bets! Sign Up Now
*Eligible USA locations only. Also, check out our full list of NFL promo codes for 2022.
Bengals vs Ravens SNF props
Mix and match
Many bettors will remember Joe Mixon consistently running into a wall last Thursday in prime time, with 24 carries for just 61 yards. But Zac Taylor is committed to giving Mixon the ball, as the back has the second-most carries in football at 81 through four weeks.
The Bengals have the benefit of the extra rest and if Mixon is getting another 20 carries, he needs just needs 3.0 yards per carry vs. a defense that is missing some bodies and is allowing 5.0 yards per run.
Quick-looking bettors will see the Ravens allowing just 109 rushing yards per game, but only four other teams have seen fewer rush attempts than Baltimore. Teams just haven’t run vs. the Ravens and that has had more to do with the game script and poor rushing teams than a solid Baltimore rush defense.
With Joe Burrow still under a lot of pressure, the predictive Taylor won’t deviate from a heavy run game and has likely used this extra time to jump-start the rush attack.
It’s not often we can get a bell-cow RB with 24-carry potential and a sub-60 rushing total. His Over 16.5 carries projects well but I’m riding the Over on his 59.5 rush yards. Cincinnati scored 41 points vs. the Ravens in both meetings last season which would also benefit the Bengals’ run game. THE BLITZ has him projected for 76.11 rushing yards.
Joe Mixon Prop: Over 59.5 rushing yards (-110)
Dobb Nation
The Ravens will get some offensive line help with tackle Ronnie Stanley likely suiting up. He's played just seven games since 2020 but was also graded as the No. 2 tackle, per Pro Football Focus, in 2019. He will help a rush attack that could also have depth tackle Patrick Mekari back as he returned to practice after missing Week 4.
The running back markets aren’t available as of Friday thanks to Justice Hill missing practice, but JK Dobbins is back and practicing in full. Dobbins will get the heavy share of the snaps.
The Ravens could also find themselves running even more as No. 1 wide receiver Rashod Bateman is questionable for Sunday night, making an already weak WR group weaker.
Dobbins took over the red-zone work last week and had seven carries inside the 10-yard line that he converted for a pair of touchdowns (one rushing and one receiving).
Without any rushing markets, I’m getting ahead of his touchdown market that will likely get shorter if and when Hill is ruled out, which is quite probable. His best TD price is +150 at bet365 with some books as low as -140 (FanDuel). I’d play this to +120ish.
The Bengals have been tough on the run this season but have also faced the Jets, Dolphins, Cowboys, and Steelers who are among the league’s worst rushing teams.
JK Dobbins Prop: anytime touchdown (+150)
Into the Boyd
Cincinnati’s Tyler Boyd has a longest reception total of 17.5 yards, which is two yards shorter than it closed last week. In Week 4, his same market opened at 17.5 but hit 20.5 before the Thursday night kickoff. This week’s matchup might be even better for the slot receiver.
Boyd leads all Cincinnati receivers in yards after the catch per reception at 6.9 and is averaging a decent 9.9 air yards per catch. He has four catches of 20-plus yards and his 11.58 aDOT leads all Cincy receivers yet his longest reception market is eight yards shorter than Ja’Marr Chase’s 25.5 yards.
Boyd has hit this prop in three of his four games with a 16-yard reception in Week 2 being the only game he was held to the Under.
The Ravens allow a healthy 11.1 yards per reception (23rd). Corner Marcus Peters popped up in the injury report mid-week which is never a good thing. The weather will also be great for the passing game.
Tyler Boyd Prop: longest reception Over 17.5 yards (-115)
