The 2023-24 NFL Playoffs kickoff in Houston with a Wild Card Weekend rematch from Week 16 between the Cleveland Browns and the Houston Texans today.
The Wild Card odds are slightly in favor of the road team, as they bring in a former Super Bowl odds champion at quarterback in Joe Flacco. However, the Texans have been a different team at home with rookie C.J. Stroud at quarterback with a 6-2 record.
Find out what my NFL picks are for this Wild Card Weekend affair when I take a deep dive into the NFL odds.
You can also get a full-game analysis with our Browns vs. Texans picks, and more player props with our C.J. Stroud spotlight!
Browns vs Texans Wild Card props
- Elijah Moore Over 38.5 receiving yards (-112 at BetRivers)
- Joe Flacco Over 267.5 passing yards (-115 at BetRivers)
- Joe Flacco Over 0.5 interceptions (-148 at FanDuel)
Picks made on January 12 at 1:45 p.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.
Best NFL Wild Card bonuses
BOOSTED to +118
Flacco/Stroud 250+ pass yards each
EV = ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Claim Now (all users)
+200 BOOSTED to +225
Singletary 50+ rush yards/Ford 1+ TD
EV = ⭐⭐
Claim Now (all users)
All Users
Collins/Njoku 1+ 1Q reception each
-110 BOOSTED to +130! Claim Now
All Users
30% boost for one NFL bet
e.g. -112 BOOSTS to +116! Claim Now
All Users
3x 50% NFL SGP boosts
e.g. +400 BOOSTS to +600! Claim Now
All Users
25% boost for "Next Drive" flash bet
e.g. +100 BOOSTS to +125! Claim Now
-130 BOOSTED to +120
Browns ML/Flacco 200+ pass yards
EV = ⭐⭐⭐
Claim Now (Ohio users only)
Eligible USA locations only. Also, see our full list of best sportsbook promotions for 2024.
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Browns vs Texans props
Prop bet #1: Moore the Merrier
In the Week 16 matchup between these two teams, Amari Cooper went off for a franchise record 265 receiving yards on 11 receptions. That led to an easy 36-22 victory for the Browns on the road. The Texans will be sure to make sure Cooper does not run wild on them again.
However, that just means more opportunities for others in the Cleveland passing game. That is where I am looking at the Elijah Moore odds. He only saw two catches on four targets in that previous matchup, but that was because Cooper was getting all the volume. This game will see more of those Cooper targets to be shared among the others.
Moore had five catches for 61 yards on six targets against a very good Jets secondary before mostly sitting out the season finale against the Bengals. The Texans secondary has struggled this season and ranked 27th in passing yards allowed at 234.1 yards per game.
The Texans allowed Josh Downs to have three catches for 48 yards out of the slot last week. Moore lines up in the slot a lot and those numbers would easily cash his receiving yardage Over. I really like Moore to see enough action to hit his low number.
Elijah Moore prop: Over 38.5 receiving yards (-112 at BetRivers)
Prop bet #2: Flacco's elite
Ever since the Browns signed Joe Flacco off the streets on November 20, they have elevated to a Super Bowl contender. Flacco struggled a bit in his first start, throwing for 254 yards and two touchdowns with an interception in a 36-19 loss to the Rams. However, he has been dynamite since then.
Flacco and the Browns went a perfect 4-0 in his final four starts before sitting him out of the final game of the season. Flacco averaged 340.5 passing yards per game and threw for over 300 yards in every tilt. He was 27 of 42 passing for 368 yards and three touchdowns with two interceptions in the Week 16 matchup with these Texans.
I mentioned the Texans ranked 23rd in passing defense. They vastly improved late in the season, but a lot of that is due to playing lesser quarterbacks. If you go back to Week 9, only six quarterbacks threw for more than 200 yards. However, the better quarterbacks in that schedule threw for good numbers – Baker Mayfield (265), Joe Burrow (347), Trevor Lawrence (364), and Flacco (368).
The Browns have switched their offense from run-heavy to pass-heavy since signing Flacco. That will not change in this matchup against a poor secondary. Flacco will let it fly and I like the Joe Flacco odds to increase his streak of 300-yard passing games in what could be a shootout.
Joe Flacco prop: Over 267.5 passing yards (-115 at BetRivers)
Prop bet #3: Mistakes will be made
The reason Flacco is elite and has been putting up huge numbers is because he lets it fly and takes chances. However, those chances often lead to interceptions, and the Browns are willing to deal with the bad for the extreme good they get.
Flacco has thrown eight interceptions in his five games and has thrown at least one in every single game he has played. In Week 16 against Houston, he threw two picks despite how great his game was and how big a lead they built on the Texans.
The Texans have forced 14 interceptions this season. While that is not a lot, they have faced several teams that are typically run-heavy or conservative in the passing game. This will not be the case and Flacco, while having a great game, will still give one away to the Texans at some point.
Joe Flacco prop: Over 0.5 interceptions (-148 at FanDuel)
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
🕒Vermont: Sports betting is here!🕒
Vermont sports betting launched on January 11 — register now with our best Vermont sports betting apps, as well as checking out the best Vermont sportsbook promos including this offer:
Vermont Users Only
Browns/Texans 1+ combined points
BOOSTED to +100 | Max bet $25
Claim Now
21+ and present in VT. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Stay updated with the latest picks, odds, and news! Tap the to add us to your favorites on Google News to never miss a story.