Browns vs Texans Wild Card Player Props and NFL Bets: Couple of Joe Flacco Props Stand Out

Joe Flacco has been a late-season revelation for the Browns, and Jeremy Jones is counting on a pair of his player props ahead of the Browns vs. Texans Wild Card weekend showdown. Can Houston slow the former champion down?

Jeremy Jones - Betting Analyst at Covers
Jeremy Jones • Betting Analyst
Jan 13, 2024 • 13:55 ET • 4 min read

The 2023-24 NFL Playoffs kickoff in Houston with a Wild Card Weekend rematch from Week 16 between the Cleveland Browns and the Houston Texans today.

The Wild Card odds are slightly in favor of the road team, as they bring in a former Super Bowl odds champion at quarterback in Joe Flacco. However, the Texans have been a different team at home with rookie C.J. Stroud at quarterback with a 6-2 record.  

Find out what my NFL picks are for this Wild Card Weekend affair when I take a deep dive into the NFL odds.

You can also get a full-game analysis with our Browns vs. Texans picks, and more player props with our C.J. Stroud spotlight! 

Browns vs Texans Wild Card props

Picks made on January 12 at 1:45 p.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.

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Browns vs Texans props

Prop bet #1: Moore the Merrier

In the Week 16 matchup between these two teams, Amari Cooper went off for a franchise record 265 receiving yards on 11 receptions. That led to an easy 36-22 victory for the Browns on the road. The Texans will be sure to make sure Cooper does not run wild on them again. 

However, that just means more opportunities for others in the Cleveland passing game. That is where I am looking at the Elijah Moore odds. He only saw two catches on four targets in that previous matchup, but that was because Cooper was getting all the volume. This game will see more of those Cooper targets to be shared among the others.

Moore had five catches for 61 yards on six targets against a very good Jets secondary before mostly sitting out the season finale against the Bengals. The Texans secondary has struggled this season and ranked 27th in passing yards allowed at 234.1 yards per game. 

The Texans allowed Josh Downs to have three catches for 48 yards out of the slot last week. Moore lines up in the slot a lot and those numbers would easily cash his receiving yardage Over. I really like Moore to see enough action to hit his low number.  

Elijah Moore prop: Over 38.5 receiving yards (-112 at BetRivers)

Prop bet #2: Flacco's elite

Ever since the Browns signed Joe Flacco off the streets on November 20, they have elevated to a Super Bowl contender. Flacco struggled a bit in his first start, throwing for 254 yards and two touchdowns with an interception in a 36-19 loss to the Rams. However, he has been dynamite since then. 

Flacco and the Browns went a perfect 4-0 in his final four starts before sitting him out of the final game of the season. Flacco averaged 340.5 passing yards per game and threw for over 300 yards in every tilt. He was 27 of 42 passing for 368 yards and three touchdowns with two interceptions in the Week 16 matchup with these Texans. 

I mentioned the Texans ranked 23rd in passing defense. They vastly improved late in the season, but a lot of that is due to playing lesser quarterbacks. If you go back to Week 9, only six quarterbacks threw for more than 200 yards. However, the better quarterbacks in that schedule threw for good numbers – Baker Mayfield (265), Joe Burrow (347), Trevor Lawrence (364), and Flacco (368). 

The Browns have switched their offense from run-heavy to pass-heavy since signing Flacco. That will not change in this matchup against a poor secondary. Flacco will let it fly and I like the Joe Flacco odds to increase his streak of 300-yard passing games in what could be a shootout. 

Joe Flacco prop: Over 267.5 passing yards (-115 at BetRivers)

Prop bet #3: Mistakes will be made

The reason Flacco is elite and has been putting up huge numbers is because he lets it fly and takes chances. However, those chances often lead to interceptions, and the Browns are willing to deal with the bad for the extreme good they get. 

Flacco has thrown eight interceptions in his five games and has thrown at least one in every single game he has played. In Week 16 against Houston, he threw two picks despite how great his game was and how big a lead they built on the Texans. 

The Texans have forced 14 interceptions this season. While that is not a lot, they have faced several teams that are typically run-heavy or conservative in the passing game. This will not be the case and Flacco, while having a great game, will still give one away to the Texans at some point. 

Joe Flacco prop: Over 0.5 interceptions (-148 at FanDuel)

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Jeremy Jones - Covers
Betting Analyst

Jeremy Jones was born and raised in Lexington, Kentucky and has been a massive Wildcats fans since the moment he came into the world. He wrote his first sports article at the tender age of 11 after attending a local AHL hockey game, and a few years later was writing professionally for sites such as Sports Rants, BetAmerica, and TwinSpires.

Jeremy holds a Masters in Sports Administration from Eastern Kentucky University and utilizes all seven betting options available in Kentucky to shop for odds and promos and find the greatest EV in every wager he places.

His best piece of sports betting advice is to stick to consistent unit sizes for every wager. He acknowledges there will occasionally be a bet that has a huge EV and you can play multiple units in one bet, but cautions against raising your unit size, because you can quickly lose all your winnings if you hit a minor cold streak.

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