Chargers vs Cardinals MNF Prop Bets: Dobbins Turns Up the Heat

J.K. Dobbins bounced back in a big way last week, rumbling for 95 yards and a score in a win against the Broncos. He highlights our Chargers vs. Cardinals prop picks below.

Eric Rosales - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst
Oct 21, 2024 • 12:27 ET • 4 min read
J.K. Dobbins Los Angeles Chargers NFL
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It’s a cross-conference matchup in the Desert on Monday Night Football when the Los Angeles Chargers visit the Arizona Cardinals.

While there’s plenty of star power on both sides, these teams haven't been putting up big totals through six weeks of action, so it's important to be selective when choosing your favorite NFL player props

I break down my favorite Chargers vs. Cardinals predictions and NFL picks below.

We've also got a look at some Kyler Murray props in Ryan Gilbert's Monday Night Football spotlight.

Chargers vs Cardinals MNF props

Read full analysis of each pick.

Chargers vs Cardinals MNF props

Prop bet #1: J.K. Dobbins Over 76.5 rushing yards

-145 at FanDuel

After back-to-back duds, running back J.K. Dobbins got back on track with a big performance in the Los Angeles Chargers' win over Denver in Week 7. He carried a season-high 25 times, finishing with 96 yards and a touchdown against a Top 10 run defense.

Now he draws the Arizona Cardinals, who have given up 153 yards per game on the ground, a Bottom-4 mark in the NFL. The Chargers are seventh in the NFL in time of possession, and fifth on the road, as Jim Harbaugh is hell-bent on establishing a run-first identity.

Dobbins should have plenty of opportunities to top this total on Monday.

Prop bet #2: Kyler Murray Under 211.5 passing yards

-113 at FanDuel

It was a struggle last week for Kyler Murray and the Cards, who were crushed 34-13 at Lambeau against the Packers. He passed for 214 yards, barely clearing the total set for Monday night, and that was with the Cardinals playing catchup the entire game.

His season high is 266 yards but he's only thrown for 200+ yards three times. It’s not like he’s under siege all game: Murray’s been fairly well protected, having been sacked once or fewer in four of six starts.

The Cards are second-last in the NFL in plays run per game, which means they have trouble sustaining drives, even with Murray completing 68.2% of his passes.

The Chargers haven’t faced a murderer’s row of passers (Minshew, Young, Fields, Mahomes, and Nix), but they’ve held teams to 192 yards per game, which ranks seventh in the NFL. Murray is too talented not to figure it out and up those numbers, but it won’t be this week.

Prop bet #3: Justin Herbert Under 27.5 passing attempts

-108 at FanDuel

The Chargers are dead last in pass attempts per game, averaging 25.4 per contest. It must have felt like a passing bonanza last week for Justin Herbert, who attempted 34 passes in the win over Denver.

That’s definitely the outlier, as before that, each of L.A.’s previous four games saw Herbert throw 27 or fewer passes. His line for Monday is set for 27.5 attempts.

L.A. has scored first in every game it's played this season, and it’s kept them in every contest, which allows them to run the ball and then lean on their defense to keep it close. It’s a change for Herbert, who attempted less than 30 passes just twice last season.

For now, the formula remains clear, and Herbert will have to make do with the fewer passing chances he gets.

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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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