Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs successfully held off Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills for the third straight time in the playoffs, and now will travel to take on the presumed MVP in Lamar Jackson and the rest of the top-seeded Baltimore Ravens in an AFC Conference Championship odds battle.
Can Mahomes lift the Chiefs among the Super Bowl odds once again? Or will Lamar Jackson prove the NFL odds right and punch his first ticket to the big game?
Continue reading for free NFL picks and predictions for the Chiefs vs Ravens conference championship game on Sunday, January 28th.
For more great AFC Championship game content, be sure to check out our Chiefs vs. Ravens predictions and our Lamar Jackson prop picks
Chiefs vs Ravens AFC Championship props
- Mark Andrews Under 35.5 receiving yards(-110 at FanDuel) 50% live boost available
- Zay Flowers Under 44.5 receiving yards (-110 at FanDuel) 50% live boost available
- Patrick Mahomes Over 26.5 rushing yards (-110 at FanDuel) 50% live boost available
Picks made on January 26 at 3:00 p.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.
Best NFL bonuses for Chiefs vs Ravens
Covers Sharp 600 Odds Boost
Ravens ML, Jackson/Mahomes 2+ pass TD
+500 BOOSTED to +550! Claim Now
+120 BOOSTED to +200
Flowers/Rice 1+ 1Q catch each
EV = ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Claim Now (all users)
-140 BOOSTED to +125
Mahomes or Jackson 1Q pass TD
EV = ⭐⭐⭐
Claim Now (all users)
+110 BOOSTED to +140
Ravens to score on first drive
EV = ⭐⭐
Claim Now (all users)
-108 BOOSTED to +110
Ravens/49ers both to win
EV = ⭐⭐
Claim Now (all users)
All Users33% boost for one NFL live bet
e.g. -110 BOOSTS to +121! Claim Now
Eligible USA locations only. Also, see our full list of best sportsbook promotions for 2024.
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Chiefs vs Ravens props
Prop bet #1: Marked closely
After sustaining a serious enough ankle injury during a mid-November game to require surgery, star tight end Mark Andrews will return just in time to suit up for the Baltimore Ravens AFC Championship game on Sunday.
While the effort to get back on the field to help his team compete is incredibly admirable, Sunday may not be the most fruitful opportunity for Andrews. The Kansas City Chiefs have covered tight ends well throughout the year, allowing just 40.9 yards per game to that position.
Additionally, the need to really push Andrews in his return and risk further injury is unneeded (especially if the Ravens advance to the Super Bowl) given that his replacement, second-year tight end Isaiah Likely, has filled in rather efficiently by averaging 36.6 yards across the last seven games and reaching the end zone six times across that span.
All in all, it makes little sense for the Ravens to push Andrews beyond his limits given this is his first game action in over two months and with a more than capable producer behind him - especially in a matchup that doesn't necessarily favor him.
Mark Andrews prop: Under 35.5 receiving yards (-110 at FanDuel) 50% live boost available
Prop bet #2: Not so rosy for Zay
So if the matchup with the Chiefs' secondary doesn't forecast much production for Mark Andrews (or even just tight ends in general), we should expect more action for the wide receivers, right?
Wrong (potentially)! The fact of the matter is that Kansas City's secondary has also been incredible against wide receivers as well. Their 124.6 receiving yards allowed to opposing wide receivers ranks as the fourth-fewest this year.
Their proficiency has held in the playoffs as well, limiting the likes of Tyreek Hill (62 yards), Jaylen Waddle (31 yards), and Stefon Diggs (21 yards) to rather pedestrian stat lines. Given that the three find a good amount of time in the slot (31.1%, 19.4%, and 30.3% respective slot rates), it should come as no surprise they had a hard time finding room against All-Pro slot cornerback Trent McDuffie.
That doesn't bode well for Zay Flowers, who has operated out of the slot at a 29.0% rate.
Zay Flowers prop: Under 44.5 receiving yards (-110 at FanDuel) 50% live boost available
Prop bet #3: Scrambling Pat
It's not just Lamar Jackson who may struggle to find success through the air, as Patrick Mahomes will be forced to go against the league's top overall defense and top passing defense according to DVOA.
The two-time MVP and Super Bowl MVP has found himself relying on his legs more this year, racking up career-highs in rushing attempts and rushing yards in his sixth year as a starter.
This comes directly as a result of the decline in pass-catching quality on the team, with Travis Kelce seeing a noticeable decline this year and with the late-season Rashee Rice emergence being the lone bright spot all year elsewhere.
With that same group taking the field on Sunday against the league's best-passing defense, Mahomes may struggle to find an open target regularly and may use his legs instead to keep the chains moving and the Chiefs in the game.
Patrick Mahomes prop: Over 26.5 rushing yards (-110 at FanDuel) 50% live boost available
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
Stay updated with the latest picks, odds, and news! Tap the 
to add us to your favorites on Google News to never miss a story.
