There’s no shortage of firepower on Thursday Night Football in Week 11.
The Washington Commanders and Philadelphia Eagles have a game total just shy of 50 points, which means plenty of potential touchdowns in this NFC East encounter.
The Commanders vs. Eagles anytime touchdown odds reflect that prognostication, with seven players priced shorter than +200 to find the end zone at Lincoln Financial Field.
I dig into the always popular “TD anytime” options and give my best Commanders/Eagles TD picks for tonight.
Commanders anytime touchdown pick
Jayden Daniels anytime touchdown
+190 at FanDuel
Washington Commanders QB Jayden Daniels is going to have trouble on Thursday night. The rookie quarterback faces one of the trickiest defenses in the league, with the Philadelphia Eagles starting to play Vic Fangio’s playbook to perfection.
Fangio is notorious for disguising his coverage, making everything look the same on the surface with two high shells. This doesn’t tip the defense’s hand pre-snap and forces quarterbacks to then adjust after the ball is snapped, as pressure closes in.
Daniels faces this stop unit on a short week and with the first-year passer struggling to find his preferred looks, we’ll likely see him taking off when he hears footsteps. The Eagles haven’t played many mobile QBs this season but have given up three rushing touchdowns to the position.
Daniels is running much less than he was in the opening five games of 2024 but is still a threat when he does take off. He scored four touchdowns in his first four games, trimming his “TD anytime” price to +125 in Week 5. He hasn’t scored since, and that has this prop paying close to +200 on Thursday night.
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Eagles anytime touchdown pick
Jahan Dotson anytime touchdown
+850 at FanDuel
Get ready for the “Jahan Dotson Revenge Game!”
Dotson was traded to the Eagles from the Commanders just before the start of the season and he’s been lightly involved in Philadelphia’s offense, drawing just 15 total targets on the year.
While the 5-foot-11 speedster downplayed his motivations versus his former club, he could play a bigger role on Thursday with WR DeVonta Smith and TE Dallas Goedert both limited in practice Wednesday and listed as questionable.
Dotson saw an uptick in action when A.J. Brown and Smith were injured earlier in the schedule, and while he’s only seen one pass his way in each of the last two games, he caught both of those balls for big gains, posting receptions of 27 yards and 36 yards.
"Everything is coming in time," quarterback Jalen Hurts told reporters regarding Dotson’s recent big plays. "It comes with reps, it comes with conversation and communication, and obviously when you're able to take advantage of those matchups, you seem to find yourself in more of them."
Washington’s pass defense is horrible, ranked Bottom 10 in many advanced metrics and sitting third in most touchdowns allowed to wide receivers. The Commanders secondary will be without recently acquired CB Marshon Lattimore (hamstring), who was brought in to plug holes in that porous pass defense.
Dan Quinn’s schemes play more man coverage, which is what Dotson likes, allowing him to beat his defender in a foot race. He could also have some inside intel in his opposition, as he spent almost all of training camp with the Commanders.
The long “TD anytime” price reflects his place in the depth chart, but with Smith and Goedert dinged up, there’s value in Dotson to hit another home run versus a shaky Commanders secondary. Some books have him as short as +550 to score a touchdown.
Not intended for use in MA.
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