The wild COVID-coaster continues for the Baltimore Ravens, who host the Dallas Cowboys for a primetime kickoff on Tuesday night to close out Week 13 of NFL betting.
Baltimore and Dallas were originally scheduled for a Thursday night matchup, but with the Ravens’ COVID-19 outbreak shuffling their Week 12 meeting with Pittsburgh nearly a week, the league rescheduled this non-conference clash, allowing Baltimore to return some key pieces, including QB Lamar Jackson.
These are our NFL free picks and predictions for Cowboys vs. Ravens on November 8.
Dallas Cowboys at Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview
Weather
It will be a clear and chilly night in Baltimore Tuesday, with game-time temperatures hovering around freezing and wind gusts up to 12 mph making it feel like 29 degrees on the field. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NFL weather info.
Key Injuries
Cowboys: Zack Martin G (Out), Cameron Erving T (Out), Aldon Smith LB (Probable), Anthony Brown CB (Questionable), Donovan Wilson S (Questionable)
Ravens: Lamar Jackson QB (Probable), Mark Ingram RB (Probable), J.K. Dobbins RB (Probable), Mark Andrews TE (Out), Calais Campbell DE (Probable), D.J. Fluker G (Probable)
Find our latest NFL injury reports.
Betting Trend to Know
Dallas is 1-6 ATS in its last seven road games. Find more NFL betting trends for Cowboys vs. Ravens.
Against the Spread (ATS) Pick
The Ravens are 7.5-point home chalk for this weekday war, coming off a close loss to Pittsburgh with a skeleton crew on offense this past Wednesday. Baltimore backdoored for its bettors – and there weren’t many of them (losing 19-14 as a 10.5-point underdog) – with Jackson, RB Mark Ingram, TE Mark Andrews and a slew of others out of action.
Jackson is on track to return for this Week 13 finale (expected to be cleared Sunday) as are other Baltimore standouts, which should bolster this roster with fresh legs on a short week. The Ravens are in dire need of a victory after their current three-game losing skid sunk them to ninth in the AFC playoff chase.
Dallas, somehow, remains in the postseason hunt as well thanks to the ineptitude of the NFC East. However, motivation is far from enough to save the Cowboys, who were demolished 41-16 by Washington at home on Thanksgiving Day.
As bad as the Dallas secondary has been (allowing 7.5 yards per pass attempt the past three games), the run defense is even worse. The Cowboys rank dead last in rushing yards allowed, budging for 4.9 yards per carry, have given up 11 runs of 20 or more yards, and are watching opponents move the chains on third downs almost 50 percent of the time.
Dallas’ defense looks ill-prepared and out of position on most handoffs, allowing foes to pick up yards and speed before the Cowboys even lay a finger on them. Baltimore runs the ball more than any team in the league and is ripping up the turf for 4.9 yards per carry, with 16 runs of 20-plus on the season (second-most in the NFL).
PREDICTION: Baltimore -7.5 (-110)
Over/Under Pick
This Cowboys stop unit seems tailor-made for Jackson & Co. As the ground gains stack up, Big D will have to sell out to stop the bleeding and that’s when the reigning MVP exploits this second-rate secondary.
Jackson isn’t having the same success passing the football as he did last season, completing only 63 percent of his throws and posting a passer rating slightly north of 93.0. However, Dallas has invited opposing QBs to pick them apart in 2020, giving up an average completion percentage of nearly 73 over the past three games and a passer rating of 113.2 in that same span. The Cowboys pose little threat in the turnover or sack department either, recording only 10 takeaways (four INTs) and 22 sacks so far this season.
The Dallas offense has plenty of flashy pieces and shows brief blips of brilliance along the way. The Ravens defense stepped up big time against Pittsburgh and is ranked No. 7 in defensive DVOA at Football Outsiders. Given that, the Cowboys likely won’t pile up the points. But with the defense hemorrhaging yardage, Baltimore will do the lion’s share of scoring and carry this final score Over the total of 45 points.
PREDICTION: Over 45 (-110)
Game prop pick
If going Gallagher on a bunch of watermelons can’t turn the team around, nothing will. First-year Cowboys coach Mike McCarthy has taken plenty of the blame for Dallas’ downfall and considering how bad the team has been after the first half whistle, McCarthy might want to stay clear of the locker room come halftime.
The Cowboys have been crushed in second halves recently, getting outscored 76-24 in the final 30 minutes over their past four games, including a 24-3 tally in the second half versus Washington on Thanksgiving.
With Baltimore establishing the run early on, that play calling is an investment in punishment that will pay dividends in the second half when the Cowboys just can’t push back anymore. On top of that physicality, the temperatures in Maryland are going to feel sub-freezing (29 degrees) and have Dallas longing for the balmy confines of AT&T Stadium all night. Expect the Cowboys to pack it in by the third quarter.
PREDICTION: Highest scoring half – Second (-105)
Cowboys vs Ravens Betting Card
- Baltimore -7.5 (-110)
- Over 45 (-110)
- Highest scoring half – Second (-105)
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