Eagles vs Cowboys Monday Night Football Picks and Predictions: Division Supremacy on the Line in Primetime

It's early in the season but the Cowboys and Eagles have been the NFC East's best teams this season. On Monday Night Football, we'll find out who is the team to beat — in the meantime, find the NFL betting value with our picks.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Sep 27, 2021 • 18:16 ET • 5 min read

Monday Night Football in Week 3 features a battle between the Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys. Both of these teams are 1-1 to start the season and will look to make an early-season statement as the team to beat in the NFC East.

NFL betting lines opened with the Cowboys as 3.5-point home favorites with the Over/Under at 51.5. Here are our best free Monday Night Football picks and predictions for the Eagles vs. Cowboys on September 27, with kickoff at 8:15 p.m. ET.

Eagles vs Cowboys odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

The Cowboys opened as 3.5-point home favorites for this contest while the Over/Under was set at 51.5. Both lines have held steady as of noon ET on Friday. Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full NFL odds before placing your bets.

Eagles vs Cowboys picks

Picks made on 9/24/2021 at 11:20 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Best Eagles vs Cowboys bonuses

If you're signing up for a new sportsbook for NFL Week 3, here are two of the best welcome bonuses available:

USA: Bet $5, Win $150 on either the Cowboys or Eagles moneyline at FanDuel. Claim Now

Canada: Get up to $500 in free bets at Sports Interaction. Claim Now

Eagles vs Cowboys game info

Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Date: Monday, September 27, 2021
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN

Eagles at Cowboys betting preview

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NFL weather info.

Key injuries

Eagles: Brandon Brooks G (Out), Brandon Graham DE (Out), Jordan Mailata T (Out), Davion Taylor LB (Out), Jack Anderson OG (Out), Rodney McLeod S (Out), Gardner Minshew QB (Out).
Cowboys: Keanu Neal LB (Out), Donovan Wilson S (Out), La'el Collins (Out), DeMarcus Lawrence DE (Out), Michael Gallup WR (Out), Neville Gallimore DT (Out), Kelvin Joseph CB (Out), Carlos Watkins DT (Out), Ty Nsekhe T (Out), Dorance Armstrong DE (Out), Will Grier QB (Out).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite. Find more NFL betting trends for Eagles vs. Cowboys.

Eagles vs Cowboys predictions

The Eagles opened their season with a 32-6 rout of Atlanta but lost 17-11 to the 49ers in Week 2. The Eagles were competitive in the first half but a turnover on downs at the goal line and a subsequent 97-yard touchdown drive for the Niners was the beginning of the end.   

The Cowboys played their season opener against the defending Super Bowl champion Buccanneers and despite losing 31-29, they held their own thanks to 403 passing yards from quarterback Dak Prescott. In a complete reversal of playing style, they won 20-17 in Week 2 with their ground game paving the way with 198 rushing yards. 

That balance on offense is a good sign for the Cowboys, because they aren't going to win much with Prescott throwing the ball 58 times as he did in Week 1. 

Eagles sophomore QB Jalen Hurts impressed in Week 1, passing for 264 yards and three touchdowns while adding 62 yards on the ground. He ran for 82 yards last week but was less consistent through the air, passing for 190 yards with almost half of that coming on a 91-yard strike to Quez Watkins.

That said, the Niners defense he faced is a lot stronger than the Cowboys unit he will be up against on Monday night. Dallas may have limited the Chargers to 17 points last week but they surrendered 408 yards of offense and were fortunate that Justin Herbert was picked off twice and that the Bolts went just 1-4 in the red zone. 

The Eagles have shown vast improvement on defense this season and as long as Hurts and the offense don't squander the chances they'll get they should be able to cover this spread.

Rookie linebacker Micah Parsons did a great job of pressuring Herbert last week but the rest of the Cowboys' pass rush is mediocre, and the loss of Demarcus Lawrence to a broken foot hurts. Personnel-wise, this Dallas defense still looks very weak, especially on the defensive line and in the secondary. Just like it did against the Buccaneers, Dallas is going to have to put up points in a hurry if it wants to stay in games. 

Thankfully for Cowboys fans, Prescott has looked very sharp after coming back from a season-ending injury and the Cowboys rank fourth in the league with 435 yards per game. 

While the Eagles rank eighth in the league in defensive DVOA this season, they haven't played an offense as explosive as the Cowboys, and they will be without end Brandon Graham who suffered a season-ending Achilles injury against San Fran.

It will be up to Hurts to make plays with his arm and feet, but he should be able to do that against a Dallas defense that ranks second-last in the league with 343 passing yards allowed per game. With the Over going 8-2 in the Cowboys' last 10 games at AT&T Stadium, back it again on Monday Night.  

Prescott threw the ball a whopping 58 times in Week 1 against the Bucs but that number dropped to 27 last week, thanks in large part to a weak Chargers run defense that Ezekiel Elliot and Tony Pollard had their way with.

Now the Cowboys face a significantly better Eagles front, which has been limiting foes to 3.8 yards per carry, so expect a more balanced approach from the Cowboys' offense.

In four full games last year before suffering his season-ending injury, Prescott attempted at least 39 passes in each contest, averaging 50.3 pass attempts per game over that span. Expect Prescott to air it out early and often and take the Over on his pass attempts. 

Where can I bet on the NFL?

You can bet on NFL odds at every online and casino sportsbook, including NFL moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals, and a ton of NFL prop odds. Head over to our best football betting sites for the top spots to bet on NFL odds in your area.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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