Giants vs Bears Week 2 picks and predictions

Saquon Barkley had an atrocious Week 1 against the Pittsburgh Steelers, but could he be in store for a rebound game against Chicago in Week 2?

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Sep 15, 2020 • 02:45 ET
New York Giants Saquon Barkley NFL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago Bears ride the momentum of a Week 1 comeback win into their home opener against the New York Giants in Week 2.

The Bears looked dead in the water for most of their season debut against the Detroit Lions, but exploded for a 21-point fourth quarter to steal a 27-23 victory as 2.5-point underdogs on the road. The Giants come to the Windy City on a short week after losing to the Pittsburgh Steelers 26-16 as 6-point home underdogs on Monday night.

Here are our best NFL free picks and predictions for Giants vs. Bears on September 20.

New York Giants vs Chicago Bears betting preview

Weather

The extended forecast for Sunday is calling for mainly sunny skies and game-time temperatures in the high-60s with winds blowing up to 15 mph. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NFL weather info.

Key Injuries

Giants: Adrian Colbert S (Out).
Bears: Tedd Ginn WR (Out).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Under is 9-2 in the Bears’ last 11 home games. Find more NFL betting trends for Giants vs. Bears.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

The lookahead line for this Week 2 matchup had Chicago pegged as 5-point home chalk back in the spring. The true opening spread, posted Tuesday morning following the Monday night games, hit the board with the Bears giving 5.5 points and quickly jumping as high as -6.5 before buyback on New York leveled the line to Chicago -6.

The big edge could be the Bears defense – if it shows up. The stop unit did an OK job keeping Chicago in the game last Sunday, which allowed for that fourth-quarter comeback. However, the Lions let Chicago off the hook with miscues and there was a lot to be desired, specifically from the Bears pass rush that registered one lonely sack.

New York watched QB Daniel Jones go down three times versus Pittsburgh and a retooled offensive line left the second-year passer to run for his life outside of the pocket on plenty of snaps. Chicago has the players – and the pressure – to get to the QB and force Jones into those all-too-familiar mistakes.

PREDICTION: Chicago -6 (-110)

 

Over/Under pick

The Giants offense wasn’t terrible in its first full-speed run under Jason Garrett. New York looked promising for the first half of football on Monday night despite, an untested offensive line and a brand-new system.

Then the turnovers happened.

Jones sucked all the energy out of MetLife Stadium with tragic turnovers, including a goal-line interception that snapped a 19-play drive out of existence like second-string Avenger. The New York ground game was non-existent against Pittsburgh, with Saquon Barkley picking up just six yards on 15 carries but it could find traction in Chicago.

The Bears were gashed for 138 yards on the ground versus Detroit, with 93 of those gains coming from the ancient legs of Adrian Peterson. Barkley is a much tougher runner to wrangle and will exploit Chicago’s troubles at nose tackle, keeping the clock ticking and scoring low.

PREDICTION: Under 42 (-110)

First quarter pick

We’ll bet Under in the first quarter of Bears games until the wheels fall off.

Chicago is notorious for slow starts, managing a mere field goal in the opening frame versus Detroit, which finished 3-3 and played below the first-quarter Over/Under of 7.5 points on Sunday.

Last season, Chicago averaged just 2.3 points in the opening 15 minutes of action – tied for lowest in the league – while giving up only 3.3 points per 1Q, helping fatten the pockets of derivative total bettors all year.

The Giants also opened slow in their 2020 debut, sitting 3-3 with the Steelers after the first quarter Monday night. While this is a different playbook under a new staff, the 2019 G-Men averaged only three points per first frame.

PREDICTION: First quarter Under 7.5 (-125)

Giants vs Bears betting card

  • Chicago -6 (-110)
  • Under 42 (-110)
  • First quarter Under 7.5 (-125)
NFL Parlays

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Use our NFL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”

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