Monday Night Football is a haven for NFL betting with a chance to get right after a sucky Sunday or an opportunity to build on the big wins of the weekend.
Whatever your lot in life, bookies are posting a massive menu of NFL prop betting options for the New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers tonight.
We push the conventional odds to the side and select our three favorite NFL prop picks for Monday Night Football in Week 11.
Giants vs Buccaneers prop picks
- Toney Over 18.5 yards longest reception (-105)
- Engram anytime TD (+400)
- Fournette Over 26.5 receiving yards (-105)
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Giants vs Buccaneers MNF props
Toney, Toni, Tone’
Giants offensive coordinator Jason Garrett has been under fire for the team’s scoring struggles in recent games. But with two weeks to get skill players healthy and scheme up some new offensive plays, look for Garrett to pull a couple rabbits out of his hat on Monday Night Football – one of which will be dynamic rookie WR Kadarius Toney.
As a member of the Florida Gators, Toney was utilized in various ways to take advantage of his speed and strength combo: from end-arounds to screen passes to just flat-out beating coverage in a foot race. Toney has shown flashes of that versatility in his first year as a pro but has been hampered by injury.
The Buccaneers defense has been good at checking the over-the-top attack, ranked among the best in limiting air yards. However, they do give up plenty of yards after the catch and sit ninth in missed tackles (67) with this Week 11 game still pending.
The shifty Toney is a master of making would-be tacklers whiff. With the Giants returning some other key skill players tonight, he’ll find added space to make those big plays and top his longest reception prop.
PICK: Kadarius Toney Longest Reception Over 18.5 Yards (-105 at DraftKings)
Evan All Mighty
Giants tight end Evan Engram has had a nose for the end zone the past two games, catching touchdown passes in each of those outings after going scoreless in his first five games of 2021.
Engram is starting to find his form after being slowed by a nagging calf injury earlier in the schedule, reeling in 12 of his 15 targets over his past three outings. He takes on a Tampa Bay stop unit that has allowed an average of 6.3 receptions to tight ends since Week 7 – third-most in the NFL for that span, according to Inside Edge.
Engram was sharing looks – and red zone targets - with veteran TE Kyle Rudolph while playing through the injury but has seen the bulk of targets for the position in the past three outings and played 78 and 82 percent of snaps in Weeks 8 and 9 respectively.
His touchdown scorer prop is anywhere from +250 (BetMGM) to +400 (bet365), which seems like a great deal considering he’s found pay dirt in each of his last two games.
PICK: Evan Engram TD scorer (+400 at bet365+400 at Bet365)
Lucky No. 7
Tampa Bay RB Leonard Fournette is best known for his smash-mouth downhill running style, but he’s become one of the Bucs’ top receiving targets since moving into the pirate ship.
This season, Fournette has been targeted 48 times for 284 yards on 38 catches, including eight grabs on nine targets for 45 yards in last week’s loss to Washington. The Giants have allowed the 10th most receiving yards to running backs – and still have this game to play – and an average of almost nine yards per reception to the position.
Before the bye in Week 10, the G-Men watched Raiders RB Kenyan Drake catch six passes for 70 yards in Week 9 and allowed Kansas City RB Darrell Williams 61 yards on six receptions in Week 8. Fournette could continue to be a key cog in Tom Brady's playbook tonight, as TE Rob Gronkowski and WR Chris Goodwin are playing their way back into shape after missing time with injuries.
Fournette’s receiving yards total is set at 26.5 yards for Monday Night Football, a bar he’s surpassed in five of his nine outings this season and in four of his last six contests.
PICK: Leonard Fournette Over 26.5 Receiving Yards (-105 at bet365-105 at Bet365)
