Christmas Day features a triple-header for NFL action! The middle of the three games will be in Philadelphia, as the New York Giants look to play spoiler against the struggling Eagles.
The Week 16 odds are heavily in favor of the home team, as they look to end a three-game losing streak. However, the Giants have been scrappy with Tommy DeVito under center and won three straight before his injury last week.
Find out what my NFL picks are for this Christmas day affair when I take a deep dive into the NFL odds.
You can also get a full game analysis with our Giants vs. Eagles picks and our Jalen Hurts spotlight props!
Giants vs Eagles props
- Swift Over 64.5 rushing yards (-110 at bet365)
- Brown Over 74.5 receiving yards (-110 at bet365)
- Robinson Over 3.5 receptions (-148 at FanDuel)
Picks made on December 23 at 10:00 p.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.
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Giants vs Eagles props
Prop bet #1: Swift moves
The Philadelphia Eagles have recently gotten away from one of their biggest strengths, the run game. They rank eighth in the NFL (128.3 yards per game) however, they have only surpassed that number in two of their last nine outings.
There should be no better time than now to go back to establishing that strength. The New York Giants rank 29th in the league — allowing 131.6 yards per game on the ground — and they've surrendered 100+ rushing yards in nine games this year.
D’Andre Swift is averaging a strong 4.6 yards per carry and 64.0 ypg on the ground. After two straight nothing games from Swift, he got back on track last week with 74 yards on 18 carries. I expect them to go back to the well this week and get Swift the ball.
The Giants have allowed the opponent’s leading rusher to surpass 65 yards on the ground in 11 of their 14 games this season. Swift has surpassed that number in six games this season and this will be the worst run defense he has faced. I love D'Andre Swift's odds of surpassing his rushing total here.
D'Andre Swift prop: Over 64.5 rushing yards (-110 at bet365)
Prop bet #2: Mr. Reliable
Last week was a mediocre performance from A.J. Brown, which are few and far between for him. It was the fourth game all year where he was held below six catches, however, the following performance in each one led to a huge game.
After a four-catch 29-yard performance in Week 2, Brown followed that up with nine catches for 131 yards. After one catch for eight yards against Kansas City, he received nine targets the next game and then had an eight-catch 114-yard performance against the 49ers. I expect another bounce-back game for the Pro Bowler.
The Giants rank 25th in the NFL in yards allowed to wide receivers through the air. It has been a while since they've faced a true No. 1 receiver, but they allowed 151 yards to CeeDee Lamb in Week 10.
While the run game will be the focus for the Eagles offense, I like A.J. Brown's odds to also get involved when Philly needs him. Brown has nine games this season with 75+ yards receiving and I don't see how the Giants can contain him below this number in this game.
A.J. Brown prop: Over 74.5 receiving yards (-110 at bet365)
Prop bet #3: Chip & Wan'Dale
The Eagles defense has been a huge problem over the past month, especially against the passing attack. They rank dead last in pass attempts allowed and 28th in passing yards allowed. Last week, backup quarterback Drew Lock completed 22 passes for 208 yards with much of it coming in a trailing situation in the fourth quarter. With that, I look to Wan'Dale Robinson's odds.
The Giants will likely find themselves in a similar situation here, needing to depend on the passing game to try and make a comeback. In that scenario, I love a lot of targets to go towards Robinson out of the slot. Last week, the Eagles allowed nine targets to Tyler Lockett from that position.
Robinson has surpassed three receptions eight times this season and in each of the past three games. He will be looked to as a safety blanket for DeVito and I expect him to clear his number of 3.5 based on volume alone even if he is unable to make any big plays that make a difference in the game.
Wan'Dale Robinson prop: Pick (-148 at FanDuel)
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