Jalen Hurts Odds and SNF Props: Eagles QB Leads Bounce-Back Effort

Jalen Hurts will have lots of opportunity and motivation on Sunday Night Football against the Dolphins, and our NFL picks are backing a big game from him — see which Hurts prop picks are the best value!

Jeremy Jones - Betting Analyst at Covers
Jeremy Jones • Betting Analyst
Oct 22, 2023 • 17:59 ET • 4 min read

The Philadelphia Eagles are coming off their first loss of the season in an upset to the New York Jets. Now they must bounce back as Week 7 odds favorites on Sunday Night Football against the explosive Miami Dolphins. 

NFL odds are favoring the Eagles by just under a field goal, and I like their chances for redemption behind the play of Jalen Hurts. 

We take a closer look at the Jalen Hurts odds and give our best free NFL picks for Dolphins vs. Eagles on October 22. Be sure to keep up to date on the Sunday Night Football odds and check out our Dolphins vs. Eagles predictions, along with our SNF player prop picks.

Jalen Hurts SNF prop picks

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Jalen Hurts SNF prop pick

Over 245.5 passing yards (-113)

While the Dolphins rank first in the league in just about every offensive category in the stat sheet, they do have some issues on the defensive side of the ball. This sets up nicely for a primetime shootout with the Eagles and Jalen Hurts. 

The Dolphins rank 26th in points allowed, 20th in total yards allowed, 19th in passing yards allowed, and 20th in rushing yards allowed. Thus far, they have faced off with Justin Herbert, Mac Jones, Russell Wilson, Josh Allen, Daniel Jones, and Bryce Young. Only Jones failed to reach 210 passing yards and he left the game early due to injury. 

After failing to reach 200 passing yards in each of the first two weeks, Hurts has averaged 39.3 pass attempts and 294.8 yards per game. That’s despite three of those four games totaling less than 38 points each. The total in this game is 51.5. 

Hurts has had his issues with interceptions this season, having thrown three last week against the Jets and seven on the season. However, the Dolphins rank 29th in the league forcing only two picks on the year. Fewer turnovers means more opportunities for yards for Hurts. 

I really like the Eagles' chances to win this game, but it’s unlikely to be a blowout, and a close game script will create even more passing opportunities for Hurts. However, even if it does get out of hand, that doesn’t mean we are dead on taking the Over on Hurts’ passing yardage prop. 

Hurts threw for 277 passing yards the one game the Eagles won by double digits this season. The Dolphins allowed 320 passing yards to Josh Allen in their lone loss this year. I love Hurts to get near the 300-yard mark through the air in this matchup. 

Prop: Over 245.5 passing yards (-113 at BetRivers)

Jalen Hurts SNF same-game parlay

Jalen Hurts Over 251.5 passing yards

Eagles -2.5

A.J. Brown to record 6+ receptions

Jalen Hurts anytime TD

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There are a few plays I like in this game to combine with our best bet for a nice parlay.

We’ll start with the Eagles against the spread. The Dolphins have feasted on lesser competition, but lost by 28 points to the only team they have faced with a winning record. With the Eagles coming off a loss and consecutive road games, I would be shocked to see them lose this game at home.  

The leading receiver for each team that the Dolphins have faced this season has gone for at least six catches. A.J. Brown has at least six catches in every game this season except for the Minnesota game where he was noticeably upset on the sidelines for a lack of targets. He will get at least six catches Sunday night. 

Finally, we’ll add a Hurts anytime touchdown to close this one out. While we mostly focused on his passing here, we cannot dismiss his ability to find the endzone with his legs. Hurts has five rushing touchdowns already this season and at least one in four of the six games. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Jeremy Jones - Covers
Betting Analyst

Jeremy Jones was born and raised in Lexington, Kentucky and has been a massive Wildcats fans since the moment he came into the world. He wrote his first sports article at the tender age of 11 after attending a local AHL hockey game, and a few years later was writing professionally for sites such as Sports Rants, BetAmerica, and TwinSpires.

Jeremy holds a Masters in Sports Administration from Eastern Kentucky University and utilizes all seven betting options available in Kentucky to shop for odds and promos and find the greatest EV in every wager he places.

His best piece of sports betting advice is to stick to consistent unit sizes for every wager. He acknowledges there will occasionally be a bet that has a huge EV and you can play multiple units in one bet, but cautions against raising your unit size, because you can quickly lose all your winnings if you hit a minor cold streak.

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