Jets vs Patriots Predictions, Picks, and Best Bets: Conklin Conks Pats

The New England Patriots have struggled to cover tight ends. Our NFL predictions expect New York Jets tight end Tyler Conklin to have a major impact on this game.

Ryan Gilbert - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Oct 26, 2024 • 19:42 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Tyler Conklin New York Jets NFL
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The New England Patriots won their season opener but have now lost six straight games heading into their home matchup against the New York Jets at Gillette Stadium. New York won the first meeting 24-3 but has lost its last four games since.

Find out why my Jets vs. Patriots predictions expect tight end Tyler Conklin to be involved in the offense in my best NFL picks for Week 8 on Sunday, October 27th.

Kickoff for this AFC East showdown is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, with the game airing on CBS.

Jets vs Patriots prediction

My best bet
Tyler Conklin Over 2.5 receptions (-135 at BetMGM)

My analysis
New York Jets tight end Tyler Conklin has been a steady presence for Aaron Rodgers. He’s consistently found himself getting a decent number of targets in recent weeks, and he’s turned that into a few catches.

After just two catches on four targets in the first two weeks, Conklin broke out with five catches on six targets for 93 yards in Week 3 against the New England Patriots. He’s now had at least three catches in four of his last five games, including four on four targets last week.

The Patriots have also had trouble defending against tight ends this season. They’ve allowed the opposition’s tight end to get at least three catches in all but one of their games this season. Mike Gesicki (three catches), Conklin (five), George Kittle (four), Jonnu Smith (five), Dalton Schultz (four), and Evan Engram (five) have all gone over this 2.5 number.

While the Jets may be leading for most of the game, expect Conklin to be involved. Adams may take away some target share in New York’s offense, but three catches isn’t too much to ask for from the tight end.

Jets vs Patriots same-game parlay

Conklin Over 2.5 receptions

Aaron Rodgers Over 1.5 passing touchdowns

Jets -7

Aaron Rodgers has been a bit up and down this season, but he’s still managed two touchdown passes in four of seven games, including in Week 3 against the Patriots. He’s hit that mark in two of the last three games while the Patriots allowed three touchdowns to Trevor Lawrence two weeks ago.

The Jets are simply the better team here and could have a chance to run the score up a bit against their rival, and they’ll take the chance to do that if they can.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Jets vs Patriots odds

Jets vs Patriots live odds

Jets vs Patriots opening odds

  • Spread: New York -7 (-110) | New England +7 (-110)
  • Moneyline: New York (-350) | New England (+275)
  • Over/Under: Over 41 (-110) | Under 41 (-110)

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

Jets vs Patriots spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The Jets are currently 7-point favorites, which is where they opened at, but there were minor movements to -6.5 and -7.5 throughout the week.

  • The New York Jets have covered the 2H Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 23% ROI).

  • The total has moved a bit from 40 at opening to 41 as of Saturday morning.

Jets vs Patriots betting trend to know

The New England Patriots have only covered the Spread in 5 of their last 20 games (-9.15 Units / -42% ROI).

 Find more NFL betting trends for Jets vs. Patriots.

Jets vs Patriots game info

Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Date: Sunday, 10-27, 2024
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
TV: CBS

Jets vs Patriots latest injuries

Jets vs Patriots weather

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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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