The New York Jets once again find themselves chasing their first win of the season as big NFL betting underdogs, catching nearly two touchdowns visiting the Seattle Seahawks in Week 14.
The Jets came oh-so-close against Las Vegas last Sunday, but a boneheaded defensive call on a Hail Mary toss not only cost New York that coveted victory but also cost coordinator Gregg Williams his job. Seattle was stung by the other New York team in Week 13 and comes back home trying to get right this Sunday.
Check out our NFL free picks and predictions for Jets vs. Seahawks on December 13.
New York Jets at Seattle Seahawks Betting Preview
Weather
Some classic Seattle weather could be in the forecast for Sunday, with a 52 percent chance of rain (showers could stop and start in the first half) and game-time temperatures in the mid-40s with winds blowing up to 8 mph. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NFL weather info.
Key Injuries
Jets: Frank Gore RB (Probable), Bless Austin CB (Probable), Jordan Jenkins LB (Out), Denzel Mims WR (Out), Greg Van Roten G (Out).
Seahawks: Cedric Ogbuehi T (Out), Carlos Dunlap DE (Out), Josh Gordon WR (Out), Tre Flowers CB (Out), Greg Olsen TE (Out).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.
Betting Trend to Know
The Seahawks are 33-15-4 ATS in their last 52 games following a loss. Find more NFL betting trends for Jets vs. Seahawks.
Against the Spread (ATS) Pick
As stunning as the finish to the Raiders-Jets game was last Sunday, a bigger shocker was the Seahawks’ stumble versus the New York Giants. Seattle lost 17-12 as an 11-point road favorite, marking the fourth straight game in which the Seahawks offense scored 23 points or less.
It wasn’t all bad news for Seattle. Underneath that anemic scoring attack were a couple positives to carry into what is surprisingly a very important game for the Seahawks. Offensively, the team was sloppy with a number of dropped passes and penalties snuffing out drives.
However, the run game, behind RB Chris Carson, provided some balance to a playbook running the ball less than 39 percent of the time. Carson had 65 yards rushing and added another 45 yards on catch-and-run looks, providing a shorter option to an offense that often leans heavily on big plays.
Another plus coming out of Week 13 – as well as the past four outings – has been the play of the defense. Seattle was oozing points in the first two months of the schedule, allowing over 30 points per outing through the first eight games. That allowance has dropped to 19.5 points over the past four games.
Part of that turnaround is facing NFC East foes like New York and Philadelphia. But the Seahawks also stymied the Rams and Cardinals in that stretch and now lock eyes with New York, which puts up just over 12 points per road game in 2020. The Seahawks secondary could also get a lift with the potential return of CB Quinton Dunbar, who’s missed the past three weeks, and has a motivated Jamal Adams looking to stick it to his former team.
The Jets have pushed back in recent weeks, going 4-2 ATS in their last six games. But with the way they lost in Week 13, the firing of Williams, the terrible weather on top in Seattle, and the grind of a losing season under strict COVID protocols, there’s nothing left in New York. Getting Seattle under two TDs is best bought up now before public play on Sunday swings this to -14 or higher.
PREDICTION: Seattle -13.5 (-110)
Over/Under Pick
This is a get-right game for Russell Wilson and the offense, and a big part of that is improving on protection. Wilson was sacked 19 times through the first seven games of the schedule but has been sacked 21 times over the past four outings.
The expected return of right tackle – and former Jet - Brandon Shell is huge for Wilson’s well being, as is the return of backup tackle Cedric Ogbuehi, whose injury left Seattle digging down into the depth chart to plug those pass protection holes.
New York has allowed four of its previous five foes to top the 30-point plateau and enters Week 14 ranked 32nd in passing defense DVOA at Football Outsiders. Assistant head coach Frank Bush will take over the play-calling after Williams’ firing and while he has many years' experience, don’t expect a sudden show of life from a team currently set as an odds-on favorite (-165) to go 0-16 this season.
PREDICTION: Over 47 (-110)
Player Prop Pick
D.K. Metcalf is starving for some paydirt.
The Seahawks' superhero receiver has gone two straight games without scoring a touchdown after finding the end zone nine times in his first 10 games. Wilson has targeted the 6-foot-4 speedster 21 times in those outings, with Metcalf reeling in 15 balls for 257 total yards but no TDs.
The Jets have given up 24 passing touchdowns on the year and allow almost 95 yards per game to No. 1 WRs, with those top targets grabbing more than eight balls an outing.
Metcalf is a monster no matter where he’s playing, but he has had a nose for the end zone inside Lumen Field, scoring seven of his nine total TDs in Seattle. D.K. scoring a single touchdown Sunday seems like a pretty sure thing but scoring two TDs feels more like gambling.
PREDICTION: D.K. Metcalf score two or more TDs (+300)
Jets vs Seahawks Betting Card
- Seattle -13.5 (-110)
- Over 47 (-110)
- D.K. Metcalf score two or more TDs (+300)
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