Lamar Jackson Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets for Ravens vs Bills

Lamar Jackson shows no fear of running in the postseason, and he'll break out for a big gain against Buffalo.

Ryan Gilbert - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Jan 18, 2025 • 12:32 ET • 4 min read
Lamar Jackson Baltimore Ravens NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images.

Lamar Jackson leads the Baltimore Ravens into Buffalo on Sunday night as road favorites against the Bills. Jackson threw for 175 yards and two touchdowns while also rushing for 81 yards in Baltimore's 28-14 win over the Steelers last week.

Jackson led Baltimore to a home win over the Bills back in September, but things will be ramped up with the intensity of a playoff game with snow in the forecast on Sunday night.

Let’s look at the latest Lamar Jackson odds and NFL picks for the Divisional Round matchup on Sunday, January 19, and be sure to read our full Ravens vs. Bills predictions!

Lamar Jackson player prop picks

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Lamar Jackson prop pick

My best bet
Longest rush Over 16.5 yards (-110 at BetMGM)

My analysis
Lamar Jackson is one of the best dual-threat quarterbacks in the league, and it's a huge reason why he’s one of the main contenders for the NFL MVP award.

Jackson has had a rush Over 16.5 yards in 12 games this season, including 19 yards against the Bills back on September 29. He also came up just shy at 16 yards in two games early in the season in Kansas City and Dallas.

The Bills haven't played many rushing QBs this season, but when they have, the signalcallers have been able to run for a bit. They allowed a 29-yard rush to Kyler Murray back in Week 1, and just last week, the Bills allowed Bo Nix to scamper for 43 yards on four attempts. That included an 18-yard rush. 

Jackson ran for 100 yards (longest of 23) and 54 yards (longest of 21) in his two playoff games last year and has already shown he's willing to do it again. The cold weather and snow forecasted should only help our chances of Jackson breaking one for at least 17 yards.

Lamar Jackson same-game parlay

Lamar Jackson Over 54.5 rushing yards

Lamar Jackson anytime touchdown

Josh Allen anytime touchdown

We can’t include Jackson’s longest rush prop in a same-game parlay, but I’m happy to replace that with his overrushing yards. He came up just short with 54 in the first meeting, but this is bound to be a bigger performance from the Baltimore quarterback.

I’m also taking him to score a touchdown as he did back in Week 4.

Finally, we’re closing it out with the quarterback on the other side to score a touchdown. Josh Allen ran for 12 scores in the regular season, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see both QBs find the end zone on Sunday night in Buffalo.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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