Lions at 49ers NFL Conference Championship Weather and Odds: Minimal Elements Expected at Levi's

Between games getting postponed, heavy rainfall, and brutal wind, Mother Nature has not been kind to the NFL playoff schedule thus far. With that said, we may be in for a calm game weather-wise when the Lions lock horns with the 49ers Sunday.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Jan 28, 2024 • 13:55 ET • 4 min read

The NFC Championship Game takes place at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, with the San Francisco 49ers hosting the Detroit Lions for the 6:30 p.m. ET kickoff.

California doesn’t throw too much weather at teams, but we did see rain impact this past weekend’s Divisional Round matchup in the Bay Area. What does the forecast have in store for Championship Sunday? And how will it affect the Conference Championship odds?

I break down the game-time conditions and how those could impact the NFL odds for the NFC Championship in my Lions vs. 49ers weather report to help you make your NFL picks.

If you're looking for more NFL playoff coverage, be sure to check out our Super Bowl odds page. We also have a Chiefs vs. Ravens weather report ahead of the AFC Championship Game.

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Lions at 49ers Weather

After rain, snow, wind, and cold impacted the early rounds of the postseason, Sunday’s NFC title game could see pretty much perfect conditions at kickoff.

Partly cloudy skies are on the menu with a 5% chance of rain Sunday evening. Winds will be very light, with sustained breezes of 2 mph and gusts not that much stronger. Game-time temperatures will drop a tad as the action plays on, sitting around 65 degrees at kickoff and cooling to the high 50s come the fourth quarter.

That’s it. It’s safe to say — barring any freak weather events — the elements should not influence the outcome of the NFC Championship Game.

While no wind or rain will muck up the works, it should be noted that this contest will be the Detroit Lions’ first outdoor game since December 10 — a span of almost 50 days — and just their second outdoor venture since losing at Baltimore on October 22.

Save from those stops in Baltimore and Chicago, Detroit has either played at home under the dome at Ford Field or on the road at indoor track in Dallas/Minnesota/New Orleans/Los Angeles.

The Lions went 3-2 SU and ATS on the road in outdoor games, averaging just 19.2 points per outing — a significant downtick from their home scoring clip of 29.9 ppg and an average of 30.75 points on the road in indoor venues. Detroit finished 2-3 O/U outdoors this season.

Fingers point to quarterback Jared Goff, who watches his passing prowess peter out when playing in the elements. Goff completed just 63.59% of his pass attempts for only 6.47 yards per pass, while his QB rating suffered to 82.0 (70.2%, 8.09 ypa, and 108.9 QBR inside).

It should also be noted Levi’s Stadium is a natural Bermuda grass surface, not artificial turf. Indoors or out, synthetic surfaces play cleaner and faster than natural grass. This trip to the Bay Area puts the Lions’ speedy offense on that “slower” surface against a very stout defensive opponent in the San Francisco 49ers.

Detroit is currently a 7-point road underdog with this total sitting as high as 51 points as of Monday afternoon.

Monitor gametime conditions with our live NFL weather info and learn how weather impacts NFL betting.

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”

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