NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds
| Player | Team | Position |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow |  Cincinnati Bengals |
QB | -700 |
| J.K. Dobbins |  LA Chargers |
QB | +650 |
| Tim Patrick |  Detroit Lions |
QB | +2200 |
| Sam Darnold |  Minnesota Vikings |
QB | +2500 |
| Kyler Murray |  Arizona Cardinals |
S | +4000 |
| Damar Hamlin |  Buffalo Bills |
DT | +4000 |
| Cameron Heyward |  Pittsburgh Steelers |
QB | +4000 |
| Christian Gonzalez |  New England Patriots |
QB | +5000 |
| Anthony Richardson |  Indianapolis Colts |
WR | +7500 |
| Justin Herbert | LA Chargers |
QB | +7500 |
Odds as of 12-19-2024.
NFL Comeback Player of the Year favorite
Joe Burrow (-700)
When Joe Burrow suffered a torn ligament in his wrist in Week 11 last season, not only did it mark the end of his season, but also the Cincinnati Bengals' playoff hopes.
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NFL Comeback Player of the Year betting splits
- Leading the board before Week 1 at +175, Aaron Rodgers was commanding 18.1% of the handle at BetMGM.
- Nick Chubb topped the total amount of pre-Week 1 tickets wagered at BetMGM (15.1%), with Kyler Murray presenting the highest liability at +2,000.
NFL Comeback Player of the Year betting trends
• Over the last six years, the NFL CPOY Award has been handed out to a quarterback.
• Although Ryan Tannehill won the award in 2019 after bouncing back from a poor 2018 season, the NFL CPOY Award has been handed out to players coming off significant injuries in recent years. Over a five-year period from 2014 to 2018, every Comeback Player of the Year had suffered a season-ending injury during the previous year — and Alex Smith won in 2020 after recovering from a devastating leg injury that almost required amputation.
• Only one player has ever won this award more than once (Chad Pennington in 2006 and 2008).
Popular NFL futures markets
Previous NFL Comeback Player of the Year award winners
| Year | NFL CPOY winner | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Joe Flacco |  Cleveland Browns |
| 2022 | Geno Smith |  Seattle Seahawks |
| 2021 | Joe Burrow | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 2020 | Alex Smith |  Washington Commanders |
| 2019 | Ryan Tannehill |  Tennessee Titans |
| 2018 | Andrew Luck | Indianapolis Colts |
| 2017 | Keenan Allen | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 2016 | Jordy Nelson |  Green Bay Packers |
| 2015 | Eric Berry |  Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2014 | Rob Gronkowski | New England Patriots |
| 2013 | Philip Rivers | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 2012 | Peyton Manning |  Denver Broncos |
| 2011 | Matthew Stafford | Detroit Lions |
| 2010 | Michael Vick |  Philadelphia Eagles |
| 2009 | Tom Brady | New England Patriots |
| 2008 | Chad Pennington |  Miami Dolphins |
How to bet on NFL awards odds
Here are a few tips to keep in mind when wagering on NFL awards betting odds.
Change your strategy at different points in the season
NFL awards odds will be adjusted by sportsbooks as the season goes on. In the preseason and the early weeks of the regular season, betting on dark horses can prove very profitable. As the season continues, expect to see odds tighten around the favorites. At that point, it becomes wise to focus on the players near the top of the odds board and betting big underdogs is unwise.
Look for value with underdogs
Live long shots can provide tremendous value. Look at younger players on the verge of breaking out, or guys that have already been playing at a high level but could take the next step now that they are in an ideal situation with a new team, coach or system. Other players that can give a great payout are established stars coming off underperforming seasons due to injuries or other factors.
Follow the narrative
When placing futures bets on individual awards, keep in mind that voters, not a scoreboard, are often the deciding factor. Voters can be influenced by a variety of factors, including media coverage and public opinion. Consider what the media narrative is for a particular season and which players they seem to be rooting for and against.
Research historical trends
Historical trends, especially recent ones, can give you a good idea of which way voters tend to lean. For example, the NFL MVP has been handed out to a quarterback in 14 of the last 15 seasons. Identifying those trends is a good way to separate the true contenders from the pretenders.
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Comeback Player of the Year Odds FAQs
Quarterbacks have won CPOY in seven of the last 10 years, including the last six seasons.
