NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds: Joe Burrow Leads the Way

Player	Team	Position
Joe Burrow	Cincinnati Bengals	QB	-210
Sam Darnold	Minnesota Vikings	QB	+145
JK Dobbins	LA Chargers	RB	+1600
Damar Hamlin	Buffalo Bills	S	+17000
Christian Gonzalez	New England Patriots	CB	+20000

NFL Comeback Player of the Year favorite

Joe Burrow (-210)

When Joe Burrow suffered a torn ligament in his wrist in Week 11 last season, not only did it mark the end of his season, but also the Cincinnati Bengals' playoff hopes.

NFL Comeback Player of the Year betting splits

• Following Week 18, Joe Burrow is commanding 39.1% of the handle and 13.61% of tickets at BetMGM.
  
  
• Nick Chubb topped the total amount of pre-Week 1 tickets wagered at BetMGM (15.1%), with Kyler Murray presenting the highest liability at +2,000. 

NFL Comeback Player of the Year betting trends

• Over the last six years, the NFL CPOY Award has been handed out to a quarterback.

• Although Ryan Tannehill won the award in 2019 after bouncing back from a poor 2018 season, the NFL CPOY Award has been handed out to players coming off significant injuries in recent years. Over a five-year period from 2014 to 2018, every Comeback Player of the Year had suffered a season-ending injury during the previous year — and Alex Smith won in 2020 after recovering from a devastating leg injury that almost required amputation. 

• Only one player has ever won this award more than once (Chad Pennington in 2006 and 2008). 

Previous NFL Comeback Player of the Year award winners

Year	NFL CPOY winner	Team
2023	Joe Flacco	Cleveland Browns
2022	Geno Smith	Seattle Seahawks
2021	Joe Burrow	Cincinnati Bengals
2020	Alex Smith	Washington Commanders
2019	Ryan Tannehill	Tennessee Titans
2018	Andrew Luck	Indianapolis Colts
2017	Keenan Allen	Los Angeles Chargers
2016	Jordy Nelson	Green Bay Packers
2015	Eric Berry	Kansas City Chiefs
2014	Rob Gronkowski	New England Patriots
2013	Philip Rivers	Los Angeles Chargers
2012	Peyton Manning	Denver Broncos
2011	Matthew Stafford	Detroit Lions
2010	Michael Vick	Philadelphia Eagles
2009	Tom Brady	New England Patriots
2008	Chad Pennington	Miami Dolphins

How to bet on NFL awards odds

Here are a few tips to keep in mind when wagering on NFL awards betting odds.  

Change your strategy at different points in the season

NFL awards odds will be adjusted by sportsbooks as the season goes on. In the preseason and the early weeks of the regular season, betting on dark horses can prove very profitable. As the season continues, expect to see odds tighten around the favorites. At that point, it becomes wise to focus on the players near the top of the odds board and betting big underdogs is unwise.

Look for value with underdogs

Live long shots can provide tremendous value. Look at younger players on the verge of breaking out, or guys that have already been playing at a high level but could take the next step now that they are in an ideal situation with a new team, coach or system. Other players that can give a great payout are established stars coming off underperforming seasons due to injuries or other factors.  

Follow the narrative

When placing futures bets on individual awards, keep in mind that voters, not a scoreboard, are often the deciding factor. Voters can be influenced by a variety of factors, including media coverage and public opinion. Consider what the media narrative is for a particular season and which players they seem to be rooting for and against. 

Research historical trends

Historical trends, especially recent ones, can give you a good idea of which way voters tend to lean. For example, the NFL MVP has been handed out to a quarterback in 14 of the last 15 seasons. Identifying those trends is a good way to separate the true contenders from the pretenders. 

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Comeback Player of the Year Odds FAQs

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