Touchdown dances aren’t just reserved for the guys getting across the goal line.
Touchdown props allow NFL bettors to celebrate alongside their favorite players, which makes anytime touchdown and first touchdown odds among the most popular NFL player props bets every week.
If you think you know which players will strike paydirt, you can bet on them to score a TD at any point in the game. And if you’re really locked in on who will get past the goal line first, you can pump up your payouts by betting the “first touchdown scorer” markets when you make your NFL picks.
Anytime touchdown predictions
Bijan Robinson anytime touchdown
Bijan Robinson has just seven touchdowns on the year, but he's by far the most skilled player the Atlanta Falcons have with Drake London out.
He didn't score a touchdown in Week 1 vs. Tampa, but caught six passes for 100 yards. Bijan is a true dual-threat RB who can burn the slunking Bucs in more ways than one.
We just witnessed Devin Neal put up 84 scrimmage yards and a TD of his own against Tampa, and I think Robinson is in for a field day.
-Kyle LaRusic
Chase Brown anytime touchdown
Chase Brown may not have racked up the yardage in an advantageous matchup with the Bills last week, but he did amass two touchdowns – one rushing and one receiving.
While Brown is always a threat to take one in on the ground – he’s Top 10 in rushing share inside the 20, 10, and 5-yard lines – I think his versatility as a pass catcher makes this bet a must.
Tee Higgins is in concussion protocol, and if he can’t suit up, Brown moves to second among active Bengals in target share inside the 20. Baltimore is Bottom 5 in the NFL in both receptions and receiving yards allowed per game to opposing running backs.
Take a long look at Brown to go Over 74.5 rush + rec yards as well, as he cleared that bar in six straight prior to Week 14.
-Robert Criscola
Jauan Jennings anytime touchdown
Jauan Jennings went into the bye week with four TDs scored across his last five games, and he’ll be licking his chops in his return to the field vs. a pathetic Tennessee Titans team. The Titans have allowed 13 TDs to opposing wide-outs this season while serving up the sixth-most yards per game to the position.
This defense will likely be on the field often, as the San Francisco 49ers defense should keep Cam Ward & Co. at bay. The Niners allowed an average of 241.5 all-purpose yards across their last two games.
Jennings is at a much longer and more tempting price than Christian McCaffrey and George Kittle this week."
-Robert Criscola
First touchdown prediction
Check back soon for more touchdown scorer predictions.
More Covers NFL Week 15 touchdown scorer predictions
What is a first touchdown scorer bet?
A first touchdown scorer bet involves wagering on which player will score the first touchdown in a specific NFL game. This type of bet can be placed on any player who is eligible to score, and typically focuses on running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, and quarterbacks.
If the player you choose scores the first touchdown, you win the bet; if not, you lose. The odds for these bets can vary based on the player’s likelihood to score first, which is influenced by factors like their position, recent performance, and the team's offensive strategy and efficiency.
What is an anytime touchdown scorer bet?
An anytime touchdown bet involves wagering on whether a specific player will score a touchdown at any point during the game, not just the first TD.
For example, if you bet on Ravens running back Derrick Henry to score an anytime touchdown and he finds the end zone at any time during the game, you win the bet. This type of bet is popular because it allows for more scoring opportunities, and you can often choose players based on advantageous matchups. The odds can vary based on the player’s scoring potential and the strength of the team’s offensive scheme.
How are touchdown prop odds determined in NFL betting?
Here are some of the key factors oddsmakers consider when setting touchdown prop odds:
- Player performance: Historical data on a player's scoring ability, including past touchdowns, carries, and target share, is crucial.
- Matchup analysis: The opposing defense's strengths and weaknesses are evaluated, including how well they defend against specific positions.
- Injury reports: Injuries to key players can impact a player's likelihood of scoring. Check out our NFL Injuries page to stay up to date before making your wager.
- Game script: Oddsmakers consider potential game scenarios, such as whether a team is expected to be ahead or behind and how that may impact their strategy.
- Public sentiment: Betting patterns and public perception can also sway odds. If a player is very popular or a big favorite, sportsbooks may adjust their odds to mitigate risk. You can check out our Covers NFL picks consensus to see how the public is leaning.
- Statistical models: Sportsbook use advanced analytics and data-driven models to help refine their lines.
NFL TD Prop Betting FAQ
Yes, both running touchdowns and receiving touchdowns count for both the first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown bets. So, if a running back scores a touchdown by running the ball or a wide receiver scores by catching a pass, it will count for your bet in either category. As long as the player you bet on is the one who scores, you win!
Yes, an interception return for a touchdown counts as a touchdown in anytime touchdown betting props. If you bet on a defensive player to score an anytime touchdown and they return an interception for a touchdown, your bet would win. This also applies to fumble recoveries returned for touchdowns. However, it's important to check the specific rules of the sportsbook, as they can vary.
On an average Sunday of NFL football, six to seven touchdowns are typically scored per game. Since there are usually 12 to 16 games played, that can add up to 70 to 100 total touchdowns across the league.
Yes, an NFL center can score a touchdown, though it's quite rare. Centers primarily focus on snapping the ball and blocking, but they can score through a fumble recovery, a passing play if they are deemed eligible before the play, and a fake play.
Yes, you can parlay touchdown props in NFL betting. A parlay involves combining multiple bets into one wager, and if all selections win, the payout can be much higher than placing each bet individually. For instance, you can parlay bets on multiple players to score touchdowns in the same game, but keep in mind that all bets in the parlay must win for you to receive a payout.
