NFL TD Props: The Best Touchdown Scorer Bets for Week 11

Our NFL experts have their sights set on Ja’Marr Chase, Trey McBride, and Josh Jacobs for their NFL Week 11 touchdown wagers.

Trevor Knapp - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Trevor Knapp • Betting Analyst
Nov 12, 2025 • 14:03 ET • 4 min read
Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase (1) reacts following his fourth quarter touchdown catch against the Baltimore Ravens.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase (1) reacts following his fourth quarter touchdown catch against the Baltimore Ravens.

Touchdown dances aren’t just reserved for the guys getting across the goal line.

Touchdown props allow NFL bettors to celebrate alongside their favorite players, which makes anytime touchdown and first touchdown odds among the most popular NFL player props bets every week.

If you think you know which players will strike paydirt, you can bet on them to score a TD at any point in the game. And if you’re really locked in on who will get past the goal line first, you can pump up your payouts by betting the “first touchdown scorer” markets when you make your NFL picks.

Anytime touchdown predictions

Patriots Hunter Henry anytime touchdown

+160 at bet365

As of this writing TE Hunter Henry is priced at +160 to score a touchdown on Thursday, but with Boutte, Stevenson and Hooper trending toward being out – especially Hooper – his ATTD ask will only get greater.

Hunter has four touchdowns on the season and has drawn nine red zone targets – seventh among tight ends. He’s logged the sixth most snaps for this position and a target share north of 17% on the season. New England takes on a Jets defense that has been tortured by TE touchdowns in 2025, allowing seven scores to the position – most recently giving up a touchdown to Cleveland TE David Njoku in Week 10.
-Jason Logan

Cardinals Trey McBride anytime touchdown

+120 at bet365

With Marvin Harrison Jr. sidelined and Zay Jones out for the year with a torn Achilles, Trey McBride is set to be the focal point of the Cardinals’ attack against San Francisco.

McBride is averaging nearly 10 targets per game heading into this NFC West showdown, and the star tight end has found the end zone in five of nine contests.
-Trevor Knapp

Bears Bears D/ST anytime touchdown 

+500 at DraftKings

Minnesota Vikings quarterback J.J. McCarthy has had a mistake-riddled first four games in the NFL, throwing six interceptions and fumbling the ball twice (none lost). His first career INT came during his Week 1 matchup with the Chicago Bears, and it was also his first Pick-6 as cornerback Nahshon Wright housed it.

The Bears have the most takeaways of any defense in the NFL this season (20), with 13 interceptions to their name. The Vikings have the second-most giveaways (16). I would play this all the way down to +400.
-Robert Criscola

Bengals Ja’Marr Chase anytime touchdown

-125 at DraftKings

The Cincinnati Bengals are off a bye and ready to attack a Pittsburgh Steelers defense that they dropped 33 points on back in Week 7.

Wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase was at the forefront of that offensive assault, being targeted a staggering 23 times. He hauled in 16 of those passes for 161 yards and a touchdown.

Chase is tops on the team and ninth in the NFL in red-zone target share at 32.5%. The Steelers have had a miserable time trying to stop wide receivers this season, ranking dead-last in yards allowed to the position on a weekly basis.
-Robert Criscola

First touchdown prediction

Check back soon for more touchdown predictions.

Multi-touchdown prediction

Packers Josh Jacobs 2+ touchdowns

+220 at bet365

Josh Jacobs trails only Jonathan Taylor in total touchdowns, and the Green Bay Packers running back continues to be a massive red-zone threat on the ground.

Jacobs should gash a Giants front seven that struggles against the run, surrendering 151.1 rushing yards per game. He’s found the end zone twice in three separate games already this season, and I like Jacobs to get the rock early and often as Green Bay looks to find traction in the Meadowlands.
-Trevor Knapp


More Covers NFL Week 11 touchdown scorer predictions


What is a first touchdown scorer bet?

A first touchdown scorer bet involves wagering on which player will score the first touchdown in a specific NFL game. This type of bet can be placed on any player who is eligible to score, and typically focuses on running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, and quarterbacks.

If the player you choose scores the first touchdown, you win the bet; if not, you lose. The odds for these bets can vary based on the player’s likelihood to score first, which is influenced by factors like their position, recent performance, and the team's offensive strategy and efficiency.

What is an anytime touchdown scorer bet?

An anytime touchdown bet involves wagering on whether a specific player will score a touchdown at any point during the game, not just the first TD.

For example, if you bet on Ravens running back Derrick Henry to score an anytime touchdown and he finds the end zone at any time during the game, you win the bet. This type of bet is popular because it allows for more scoring opportunities, and you can often choose players based on advantageous matchups. The odds can vary based on the player’s scoring potential and the strength of the team’s offensive scheme.

How are touchdown prop odds determined in NFL betting?

Here are some of the key factors oddsmakers consider when setting touchdown prop odds: 

  • Player performance: Historical data on a player's scoring ability, including past touchdowns, carries, and target share, is crucial.
  • Matchup analysis: The opposing defense's strengths and weaknesses are evaluated, including how well they defend against specific positions.
  • Injury reports: Injuries to key players can impact a player's likelihood of scoring. Check out our NFL Injuries page to stay up to date before making your wager.
  • Game script: Oddsmakers consider potential game scenarios, such as whether a team is expected to be ahead or behind and how that may impact their strategy.
  • Public sentiment: Betting patterns and public perception can also sway odds. If a player is very popular or a big favorite, sportsbooks may adjust their odds to mitigate risk. You can check out our Covers NFL picks consensus to see how the public is leaning.
  • Statistical models: Sportsbook use advanced analytics and data-driven models to help refine their lines.

NFL TD Prop Betting FAQ

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Trevor Knapp - Covers
Betting Analyst

Trevor joined the Covers content team as a publishing editor in early 2022. Growing up in Vancouver, he studied Broadcast and Online Journalism at the British Columbia Institute of Technology (BCIT), and interned with TSN and Sportsnet Radio while also writing for the Daily Hive.

An avid bettor of the MLB, NFL, and CFL, Trevor advises his fellow sports bettors to leave their hearts at the door and not hesitate to fade their favorite team. It's a strategy he follows regularly as an apathetic Indianapolis Colts and Toronto Blue Jays fan.

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