Touchdown dances aren’t just reserved for the guys getting across the goal line.
Touchdown props allow NFL bettors to celebrate alongside their favorite players, which makes anytime touchdown and first touchdown odds among the most popular NFL player props bets every week.
If you think you know which players will strike paydirt, you can bet on them to score a TD at any point in the game. And if you’re really locked in on who will get past the goal line first, you can pump up your payouts by betting the “first touchdown scorer” markets when you make your NFL picks.
Anytime touchdown predictions
George Pickens anytime touchdown
The Lions' secondary is once again depleted, and Dak Prescott has two top receivers he can use to pick them apart. Both CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens have odds of +120 to find paydirt, but it's the latter who has my attention.
Pickens has been everything as advertised since coming to Dallas, and he's become one of Dak's favorite targets. The "WR2" is tied for the team lead with eight touchdowns and ranks first in both targets and catches.
That holds when the Cowboys reach the red zone, with Pickens catching seven of his team-high 15 RZ targets. Despite Lamb being the No. 1 option, Pickens always finds ways to be effective.
-Kyle LaRusic
Jaxon Smith-Njigba anytime touchdown (-105 at DraftKings)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has put up some historically good numbers for the Seattle Seahawks this season, so it was shocking to see him go for only 23 yards on two catches vs. the Vikings last week. Of course, Seattle didn’t need him to be at his best, as the Seahawks emerged with a facile 26-0 victory.
Let’s bet on a bounce-back performance from JSN in Week 14 vs. the flailing Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons have allowed 13 TDs to wide-outs this year, eighth-worst in football. This unit just gave up a score, along with 102 yards on eight catches, to the unheralded Adonai Mitchell with Tyrod Taylor throwing to him – yikes.
-Robert Criscola
De’Von Achane anytime touchdown
De’Von Achane has developed into a true workhorse running back for the Miami Dolphins, handling over 20 carries in three straight games. Achane totaled three TDs in that span.
He’s also been targeted 72 times in the passing game this year, trailing only Christian McCaffrey among running backs. Volume alone makes this a solid play, but with the New York Jets’ run defense looking more and more like a sieve by the week, it gets even better.
Bijan Robinson just ran roughshod over this unit (23 carries, 142 yards, 1 TD), as did Derrick Henry two weeks ago (21/64/2), as did TreVeyon Henderson in Week 11 (19/62/2).
If you’re looking for a longer shot in this game, or another solid parlay leg, consider TE Darren Waller at +245 – he tallied two TDs vs. the Jets in his season debut.
-Robert Criscola
First touchdown prediction
Check back soon for more touchdown predictions.
Multi-touchdown prediction
Quinshon Judkins 2+ TDs
Quinshon Judkins has already had two multi-TD days this season, and he’s in good position to go for a third vs. the Tennessee Titans.
Among the many areas the Titans have struggled this season is vs. running backs, who have scampered for 14 scores this year – second-worst in the NFL. Judkins gets more than enough volume to justify this bet, as he’s seventh in the league in carries.
-Robert Criscola
More Covers NFL Week 14 touchdown scorer predictions
What is a first touchdown scorer bet?
A first touchdown scorer bet involves wagering on which player will score the first touchdown in a specific NFL game. This type of bet can be placed on any player who is eligible to score, and typically focuses on running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, and quarterbacks.
If the player you choose scores the first touchdown, you win the bet; if not, you lose. The odds for these bets can vary based on the player’s likelihood to score first, which is influenced by factors like their position, recent performance, and the team's offensive strategy and efficiency.
What is an anytime touchdown scorer bet?
An anytime touchdown bet involves wagering on whether a specific player will score a touchdown at any point during the game, not just the first TD.
For example, if you bet on Ravens running back Derrick Henry to score an anytime touchdown and he finds the end zone at any time during the game, you win the bet. This type of bet is popular because it allows for more scoring opportunities, and you can often choose players based on advantageous matchups. The odds can vary based on the player’s scoring potential and the strength of the team’s offensive scheme.
How are touchdown prop odds determined in NFL betting?
Here are some of the key factors oddsmakers consider when setting touchdown prop odds:
- Player performance: Historical data on a player's scoring ability, including past touchdowns, carries, and target share, is crucial.
- Matchup analysis: The opposing defense's strengths and weaknesses are evaluated, including how well they defend against specific positions.
- Injury reports: Injuries to key players can impact a player's likelihood of scoring. Check out our NFL Injuries page to stay up to date before making your wager.
- Game script: Oddsmakers consider potential game scenarios, such as whether a team is expected to be ahead or behind and how that may impact their strategy.
- Public sentiment: Betting patterns and public perception can also sway odds. If a player is very popular or a big favorite, sportsbooks may adjust their odds to mitigate risk. You can check out our Covers NFL picks consensus to see how the public is leaning.
- Statistical models: Sportsbook use advanced analytics and data-driven models to help refine their lines.
NFL TD Prop Betting FAQ
Yes, both running touchdowns and receiving touchdowns count for both the first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown bets. So, if a running back scores a touchdown by running the ball or a wide receiver scores by catching a pass, it will count for your bet in either category. As long as the player you bet on is the one who scores, you win!
Yes, an interception return for a touchdown counts as a touchdown in anytime touchdown betting props. If you bet on a defensive player to score an anytime touchdown and they return an interception for a touchdown, your bet would win. This also applies to fumble recoveries returned for touchdowns. However, it's important to check the specific rules of the sportsbook, as they can vary.
On an average Sunday of NFL football, six to seven touchdowns are typically scored per game. Since there are usually 12 to 16 games played, that can add up to 70 to 100 total touchdowns across the league.
Yes, an NFL center can score a touchdown, though it's quite rare. Centers primarily focus on snapping the ball and blocking, but they can score through a fumble recovery, a passing play if they are deemed eligible before the play, and a fake play.
Yes, you can parlay touchdown props in NFL betting. A parlay involves combining multiple bets into one wager, and if all selections win, the payout can be much higher than placing each bet individually. For instance, you can parlay bets on multiple players to score touchdowns in the same game, but keep in mind that all bets in the parlay must win for you to receive a payout.
