Touchdown dances aren’t just reserved for the guys getting across the goal line.
Touchdown props allow NFL bettors to celebrate alongside their favorite players, which makes anytime touchdown and first touchdown odds among the most popular NFL player props bets every week.
If you think you know which players will strike paydirt, you can bet on them to score a TD at any point in the game. And if you’re really locked in on who will get past the goal line first, you can pump up your payouts by betting the “first touchdown scorer” markets when you make your NFL picks.
Anytime touchdown predictions
Bhayshul Tuten anytime touchdown
Jacksonville Jaguars RB Bhayshul Tuten may not get a ton of opportunities, but he is making the most of his backup role behind Travis Etienne.
Tuten has rumbled for four TDs on six rushes from inside the 5-yard line, all coming since November. He also has a receiving TD in that span, giving him five scores over his last eight games.
The Buffalo Bills have allowed a league-high 18 rushing touchdowns on the season, so this is far from a scary matchup for the Virginia Tech product.
-Robert Criscola
Dalton Schultz anytime touchdown
There’s no better playoff team to target for tight end touchdowns than the Pittsburgh Steelers, who were Bottom 5 in targets, receptions, yards, and TDs surrendered to the position during the regular season.
Houston Texans TE Dalton Schultz has a decent basement for production, with no fewer than three grabs across his last six games, and no fewer than four targets.
Schultz has two TDs over his last four games, tied with teammate Nico Collins and one better than Woody Marks, both of whom carry shorter odds to score on Monday night.
-Robert Criscola
Tetairoa McMillan anytime touchdown
The Rams love to blitz under Chris Shula, and Tetairoa McMillan ranks inside the Top 20 in target rate when opposing defenses bring the heat.
L.A.'s cornerbacks continue to be L.A.’s weak spot on defense, and McMillan is coming off a solid performance in Tampa Bay, hauling in four catches for 85 yards. He also finished the season tied with Rico Dowdle for the team lead in touchdowns with seven.
Expect the Panthers' rookie to shine in a game script that could feature a pass-heavy approach in the second half.
-Trevor Knapp
First touchdown scorer prediction
Check back soon for more touchdown predictions.
Multi touchdown scorer prediction
Hunter Henry to score 2+ touchdowns
Former Chargers tight end Hunter Henry will have a great opportunity to get revenge against his old team on Sunday.
The Patriots veteran ranks second among TEs in PFF receiving grade against zone coverage, and LAC implemented that coverage at a Top-10 rate this season.
Henry has found the end zone in two of his last three games, so I'll take a shot on him to find paydirt twice in Foxborough.
-Trevor Knapp
What is a first touchdown scorer bet?
A first touchdown scorer bet involves wagering on which player will score the first touchdown in a specific NFL game. This type of bet can be placed on any player who is eligible to score, and typically focuses on running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, and quarterbacks.
If the player you choose scores the first touchdown, you win the bet; if not, you lose. The odds for these bets can vary based on the player’s likelihood to score first, which is influenced by factors like their position, recent performance, and the team's offensive strategy and efficiency.
What is an anytime touchdown scorer bet?
An anytime touchdown bet involves wagering on whether a specific player will score a touchdown at any point during the game, not just the first TD.
For example, if you bet on Ravens running back Derrick Henry to score an anytime touchdown and he finds the end zone at any time during the game, you win the bet. This type of bet is popular because it allows for more scoring opportunities, and you can often choose players based on advantageous matchups. The odds can vary based on the player’s scoring potential and the strength of the team’s offensive scheme.
How are touchdown prop odds determined in NFL betting?
Here are some of the key factors oddsmakers consider when setting touchdown prop odds:
- Player performance: Historical data on a player's scoring ability, including past touchdowns, carries, and target share, is crucial.
- Matchup analysis: The opposing defense's strengths and weaknesses are evaluated, including how well they defend against specific positions.
- Injury reports: Injuries to key players can impact a player's likelihood of scoring. Check out our NFL Injuries page to stay up to date before making your wager.
- Game script: Oddsmakers consider potential game scenarios, such as whether a team is expected to be ahead or behind and how that may impact their strategy.
- Public sentiment: Betting patterns and public perception can also sway odds. If a player is very popular or a big favorite, sportsbooks may adjust their odds to mitigate risk. You can check out our Covers NFL picks consensus to see how the public is leaning.
- Statistical models: Sportsbook use advanced analytics and data-driven models to help refine their lines.
NFL TD Prop Betting FAQ
Yes, both running touchdowns and receiving touchdowns count for both the first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown bets. So, if a running back scores a touchdown by running the ball or a wide receiver scores by catching a pass, it will count for your bet in either category. As long as the player you bet on is the one who scores, you win!
Yes, an interception return for a touchdown counts as a touchdown in anytime touchdown betting props. If you bet on a defensive player to score an anytime touchdown and they return an interception for a touchdown, your bet would win. This also applies to fumble recoveries returned for touchdowns. However, it's important to check the specific rules of the sportsbook, as they can vary.
On an average Sunday of NFL football, six to seven touchdowns are typically scored per game. Since there are usually 12 to 16 games played, that can add up to 70 to 100 total touchdowns across the league.
Yes, an NFL center can score a touchdown, though it's quite rare. Centers primarily focus on snapping the ball and blocking, but they can score through a fumble recovery, a passing play if they are deemed eligible before the play, and a fake play.
Yes, you can parlay touchdown props in NFL betting. A parlay involves combining multiple bets into one wager, and if all selections win, the payout can be much higher than placing each bet individually. For instance, you can parlay bets on multiple players to score touchdowns in the same game, but keep in mind that all bets in the parlay must win for you to receive a payout.
