Touchdown dances aren’t just reserved for the guys getting across the goal line.
Touchdown props allow NFL bettors to celebrate alongside their favorite players, which makes anytime touchdown and first touchdown odds among the most popular NFL player props bets every week.
If you think you know which players will strike paydirt, you can bet on them to score a TD at any point in the game. And if you’re really locked in on who will get past the goal line first, you can pump up your payouts by betting the “first touchdown scorer” markets when you make your NFL picks.
Anytime touchdown predictions
Davante Adams anytime touchdown
Davante Adams and Matthew Stafford fit like a glove in their first season together, with the veteran wideout finishing first in the league in receiving touchdowns.
The two connected for a score in Week 11 against Seattle, and while Adams was sidelined for the rematch in Week 16, he’ll pose massive problems in the red zone on Sunday.
The Seahawks will already have their hands full with Puka Nacua, and Adams saw combined 19 targets across the Wild Card and Divisional Round.
-Trevor Knapp
Puka Nacua anytime touchdown
The Rams went run-heavy to get the win on a frigid day at Soldier Field, but I think we’ll see the L.A. passing attack lead the way in much more temperate conditions in Seattle.
Puka Nacua was targeted early and often when Davante Adams was sidelined, seeing no fewer than 10 balls his way over the final three regular-season games, and that continued in Carolina in the Wild Card round with 18 targets compared to Adams’ 13.
Nacua was relatively quiet in Chicago with only five grabs and 56 yards on 10 targets, but he still outshone Adams (two catches on six targets, 24 yards).
The BYU product may have had his streak of four straight games with a TD snapped on Sunday, but I think he can bounce back vs. a Seahawks team he tore apart for 225 yards and two scores in Week 16.
-Robert Criscola
TreVeyon Henderson anytime touchdown
I think the spread between Rhamondre Stevenson (+125) and TreVeyon Henderson (+195) is too wide, so I’ll take the latter to break the plane in Denver.
Henderson has been out-carried in both playoff games so far, but not by a whole lot (10-9 vs. the Chargers and 16-12 vs. the Texans). He also got more totes than Stevenson in four of the final six games of the regular season.
The Broncos boast a solid defensive unit, but they’ll be gassed by the end of this game with Jarrett Stidham unlikely to do much on offense for Denver.
-Robert Criscola
First touchdown scorer prediction
Check back soon for more touchdown predictions.
Multi touchdown scorer prediction
RJ Harvey to score 2+ touchdowns
Once J.K. Dobbins suffered a season-ending injury in Week 10, RJ Harvey’s number was called as the lead back, and the rookie hasn’t missed a beat.
Harvey finished as the team’s touchdown leader, scoring seven times on the ground and five through the air, including touchdowns in five consecutive games from Weeks 13–17.
Add in wide receivers Troy Franklin and Pat Bryant being listed as questionable, and Harvey will face a heavy workload both on the ground and through the air.
-Trevor Knapp
What is a first touchdown scorer bet?
A first touchdown scorer bet involves wagering on which player will score the first touchdown in a specific NFL game. This type of bet can be placed on any player who is eligible to score, and typically focuses on running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, and quarterbacks.
If the player you choose scores the first touchdown, you win the bet; if not, you lose. The odds for these bets can vary based on the player’s likelihood to score first, which is influenced by factors like their position, recent performance, and the team's offensive strategy and efficiency.
What is an anytime touchdown scorer bet?
An anytime touchdown bet involves wagering on whether a specific player will score a touchdown at any point during the game, not just the first TD.
For example, if you bet on Ravens running back Derrick Henry to score an anytime touchdown and he finds the end zone at any time during the game, you win the bet. This type of bet is popular because it allows for more scoring opportunities, and you can often choose players based on advantageous matchups. The odds can vary based on the player’s scoring potential and the strength of the team’s offensive scheme.
How are touchdown prop odds determined in NFL betting?
Here are some of the key factors oddsmakers consider when setting touchdown prop odds:
- Player performance: Historical data on a player's scoring ability, including past touchdowns, carries, and target share, is crucial.
- Matchup analysis: The opposing defense's strengths and weaknesses are evaluated, including how well they defend against specific positions.
- Injury reports: Injuries to key players can impact a player's likelihood of scoring. Check out our NFL Injuries page to stay up to date before making your wager.
- Game script: Oddsmakers consider potential game scenarios, such as whether a team is expected to be ahead or behind and how that may impact their strategy.
- Public sentiment: Betting patterns and public perception can also sway odds. If a player is very popular or a big favorite, sportsbooks may adjust their odds to mitigate risk. You can check out our Covers NFL picks consensus to see how the public is leaning.
- Statistical models: Sportsbook use advanced analytics and data-driven models to help refine their lines.
NFL TD Prop Betting FAQ
Yes, both running touchdowns and receiving touchdowns count for both the first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown bets. So, if a running back scores a touchdown by running the ball or a wide receiver scores by catching a pass, it will count for your bet in either category. As long as the player you bet on is the one who scores, you win!
Yes, an interception return for a touchdown counts as a touchdown in anytime touchdown betting props. If you bet on a defensive player to score an anytime touchdown and they return an interception for a touchdown, your bet would win. This also applies to fumble recoveries returned for touchdowns. However, it's important to check the specific rules of the sportsbook, as they can vary.
On an average Sunday of NFL football, six to seven touchdowns are typically scored per game. Since there are usually 12 to 16 games played, that can add up to 70 to 100 total touchdowns across the league.
Yes, an NFL center can score a touchdown, though it's quite rare. Centers primarily focus on snapping the ball and blocking, but they can score through a fumble recovery, a passing play if they are deemed eligible before the play, and a fake play.
Yes, you can parlay touchdown props in NFL betting. A parlay involves combining multiple bets into one wager, and if all selections win, the payout can be much higher than placing each bet individually. For instance, you can parlay bets on multiple players to score touchdowns in the same game, but keep in mind that all bets in the parlay must win for you to receive a payout.
