Touchdown dances aren’t just reserved for the guys getting across the goal line.
Touchdown props allow NFL bettors to celebrate alongside their favorite players, which makes anytime touchdown and first touchdown odds among the most popular NFL player props bets every week.
If you think you know which players will strike paydirt, you can bet on them to score a TD at any point in the game. And if you’re really locked in on who will get past the goal line first, you can pump up your payouts by betting the “first touchdown scorer” markets when you make your NFL picks.
Anytime touchdown predictions
RJ Harvey anytime touchdown
Denver Broncos running back RJ Harvey couldn’t ask for a much better matchup for his first NFL playoff game.
The Buffalo Bills were dead-last in the NFL with 18 rushing TDs allowed to running backs in the regular season. Although they kept the Jaguars’ RB corps out of the end zone in the Wild Card round, Travis Etienne (10 rushes, 67 yards) and Bhayshul Tuten (four rushes, 51 yards) weren’t exactly kept in check.
Harvey had at least one TD in four of the final six games of the regular season.
-Robert Criscola
Puka Nacua anytime touchdown
Many will argue that the Chicago Bears are the weakest of the eight teams left standing in the NFL postseason, and their porous pass defense helps contribute to that argument.
The Bears allowed 20 TDs to wide receivers in the regular season, and coughed up four TDs to the position vs. the Packers in the Wild Card round.
Puka Nacua looks poised to take advantage of this matchup. Matthew Stafford targeted Nacua early and often with Davante Adams sidelined, with the BYU product seeing no fewer than 10 balls his way over the final three regular-season games.
Even with Adams back for the Wild Card round, and the former Fresno State man seeing 13 targets, Nacua was still targeted an astounding 18 times by Stafford last week.
Nacua had a TD grab vs. the Panthers, making it four straight games overall with a score.
-Robert Criscola
Dawson Knox anytime touchdown
The Bills are running thin on receivers and feeling the pinch at TE as well. Kincaid was limited in practice with knee and calf issues. He’s expected to play but the entire situation lifts Dawson Knox’s up the depth chart.
Denver’s defense doesn’t have many gaps but it has given up gains to TEs. And he’s no stranger to the postseason pressure either, putting in some good work in the tournament throughout his career.
-Jason Logan
Rhamondre Steven anytime touchdown
Rhamondre Stevenson was heavily involved in the Patriots offense in the Wild Card Round, on the ground and through the air. He gained back his spot atop the rushing attack at the end of the season, scoring six TDs in the final three games.
The yards are going to be hard against Houston and no one on the Pats goes as hard as Stevenson.
-Jason Logan
Drake Maye anytime touchdown
Drake Maye finished the season fourth in rushing yards among QBs, and he finished with five carries for 38 yards in last season's head-to-head matchup with Houston.
The Patriots’ quarterback is fresh off totaling 66 yards on the ground against the Chargers during Wild Card Weekend. With the Texans’ defense ranking third in PFF pressure rate, expect Maye to use his legs inside the red zone.
-Trevor Knapp
First touchdown scorer prediction
Check back soon for more touchdown predictions.
Multi touchdown scorer prediction
AJ Barner to score 2+ touchdowns
While I like San Francisco's chances of springing an upset in Seattle, the Niners' linebacking corps will continue to be vulnerable against tight ends.
The 49ers surrendered two touchdowns to Eagles TE Dallas Goedert last week, and Seattle’s AJ Barner will thrive against a Niners defense that ranks 28th in receiving yards allowed to inline tight ends this season.
-Trevor Knapp
What is a first touchdown scorer bet?
A first touchdown scorer bet involves wagering on which player will score the first touchdown in a specific NFL game. This type of bet can be placed on any player who is eligible to score, and typically focuses on running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, and quarterbacks.
If the player you choose scores the first touchdown, you win the bet; if not, you lose. The odds for these bets can vary based on the player’s likelihood to score first, which is influenced by factors like their position, recent performance, and the team's offensive strategy and efficiency.
What is an anytime touchdown scorer bet?
An anytime touchdown bet involves wagering on whether a specific player will score a touchdown at any point during the game, not just the first TD.
For example, if you bet on Ravens running back Derrick Henry to score an anytime touchdown and he finds the end zone at any time during the game, you win the bet. This type of bet is popular because it allows for more scoring opportunities, and you can often choose players based on advantageous matchups. The odds can vary based on the player’s scoring potential and the strength of the team’s offensive scheme.
How are touchdown prop odds determined in NFL betting?
Here are some of the key factors oddsmakers consider when setting touchdown prop odds:
- Player performance: Historical data on a player's scoring ability, including past touchdowns, carries, and target share, is crucial.
- Matchup analysis: The opposing defense's strengths and weaknesses are evaluated, including how well they defend against specific positions.
- Injury reports: Injuries to key players can impact a player's likelihood of scoring. Check out our NFL Injuries page to stay up to date before making your wager.
- Game script: Oddsmakers consider potential game scenarios, such as whether a team is expected to be ahead or behind and how that may impact their strategy.
- Public sentiment: Betting patterns and public perception can also sway odds. If a player is very popular or a big favorite, sportsbooks may adjust their odds to mitigate risk. You can check out our Covers NFL picks consensus to see how the public is leaning.
- Statistical models: Sportsbook use advanced analytics and data-driven models to help refine their lines.
NFL TD Prop Betting FAQ
Yes, both running touchdowns and receiving touchdowns count for both the first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown bets. So, if a running back scores a touchdown by running the ball or a wide receiver scores by catching a pass, it will count for your bet in either category. As long as the player you bet on is the one who scores, you win!
Yes, an interception return for a touchdown counts as a touchdown in anytime touchdown betting props. If you bet on a defensive player to score an anytime touchdown and they return an interception for a touchdown, your bet would win. This also applies to fumble recoveries returned for touchdowns. However, it's important to check the specific rules of the sportsbook, as they can vary.
On an average Sunday of NFL football, six to seven touchdowns are typically scored per game. Since there are usually 12 to 16 games played, that can add up to 70 to 100 total touchdowns across the league.
Yes, an NFL center can score a touchdown, though it's quite rare. Centers primarily focus on snapping the ball and blocking, but they can score through a fumble recovery, a passing play if they are deemed eligible before the play, and a fake play.
Yes, you can parlay touchdown props in NFL betting. A parlay involves combining multiple bets into one wager, and if all selections win, the payout can be much higher than placing each bet individually. For instance, you can parlay bets on multiple players to score touchdowns in the same game, but keep in mind that all bets in the parlay must win for you to receive a payout.
