Touchdown dances aren’t just reserved for the guys getting across the goal line.
Touchdown props allow NFL bettors to celebrate alongside their favorite players, which makes anytime touchdown and first touchdown odds among the most popular NFL player props bets every week.
If you think you know which players will strike paydirt, you can bet on them to score a TD at any point in the game. And if you’re really locked in on who will get past the goal line first, you can pump up your payouts by betting the “first touchdown scorer” markets when you make your NFL picks.
Anytime touchdown predictions
Tyler Warren anytime touchdown
Despite failing to connect consistently on Monday Night Football, Tyler Warren has been targeted a team-high 15 times since Philip Rivers took over under center in Indy.
It’s hard to overlook how often Rivers looked Antonio Gates’ way during their glory days in San Diego, so I’ll back Warren to get off the schneid and score his first touchdown since Week 13.
-Trevor Knapp
Isaac TeSlaa anytime touchdown
It could be a field day for the Lions offense vs. the Vikings, especially if J.J. McCarthy can’t suit up and turns over signal-calling duty to the dreadful Max Brosmer.
While Amon-Ra St. Brown makes sense to target at +110, I can’t get away from the supremely generous odds on Isaac TeSlaa in this Christmas Day matchup.
TeSlaa saw a season-high seven targets from Jared Goff in Week 16, and turned them into four receptions and a touchdown. He nearly had a fifth grab and second TD on what turned out to be the second-last play in the game vs. the Steelers, but the ball went off his fingertips in the end zone.
The rookie wide-out has three TD grabs across his last four games. I think Goff will continue to look TeSlaa’s way near the goal line on Thursday afternoon.
-Robert Criscola
Jake Ferguson anytime touchdown
The Washington Commanders have had little luck stopping opposing tight ends in 2025. They’ve coughed up the sixth-most receiving yards and the second-most TDs to the position. Washington has given up four TE TDs across their last four games.
Dallas Cowboys TE Jake Ferguson will be licking his chops ahead of this rematch. After all, he had two receiving scores vs. this team back in Week 7.
Though Ferguson has gone five games without a trip to the end zone, he has a solid seven TD grabs on the campaign. With the emerging Ryan Flournoy now out for Dallas, Ferguson moves up Dak Prescott’s progressions once again.
-Robert Criscola
First touchdown scorer prediction
Check back soon for more NFL touchdown predictions.
Multi-touchdown prediction
Ashton Jeanty 2+ touchdowns
Ashton Jeanty is coming off his best performance of the season, totaling 188 all-purpose yards while seeing a career-high 24 carries. The Las Vegas Raiders rookie running back should pick up where he left off, now facing a Giants defense that’s surrendering a league-worst 5.5 yards per rushing attempt.
In a season marred by disaster, I like Jeanty to deliver the Black Hole a rare Christmas present by scoring twice in Sin City.
-Trevor Knapp
What is a first touchdown scorer bet?
A first touchdown scorer bet involves wagering on which player will score the first touchdown in a specific NFL game. This type of bet can be placed on any player who is eligible to score, and typically focuses on running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, and quarterbacks.
If the player you choose scores the first touchdown, you win the bet; if not, you lose. The odds for these bets can vary based on the player’s likelihood to score first, which is influenced by factors like their position, recent performance, and the team's offensive strategy and efficiency.
What is an anytime touchdown scorer bet?
An anytime touchdown bet involves wagering on whether a specific player will score a touchdown at any point during the game, not just the first TD.
For example, if you bet on Ravens running back Derrick Henry to score an anytime touchdown and he finds the end zone at any time during the game, you win the bet. This type of bet is popular because it allows for more scoring opportunities, and you can often choose players based on advantageous matchups. The odds can vary based on the player’s scoring potential and the strength of the team’s offensive scheme.
How are touchdown prop odds determined in NFL betting?
Here are some of the key factors oddsmakers consider when setting touchdown prop odds:
- Player performance: Historical data on a player's scoring ability, including past touchdowns, carries, and target share, is crucial.
- Matchup analysis: The opposing defense's strengths and weaknesses are evaluated, including how well they defend against specific positions.
- Injury reports: Injuries to key players can impact a player's likelihood of scoring. Check out our NFL Injuries page to stay up to date before making your wager.
- Game script: Oddsmakers consider potential game scenarios, such as whether a team is expected to be ahead or behind and how that may impact their strategy.
- Public sentiment: Betting patterns and public perception can also sway odds. If a player is very popular or a big favorite, sportsbooks may adjust their odds to mitigate risk. You can check out our Covers NFL picks consensus to see how the public is leaning.
- Statistical models: Sportsbook use advanced analytics and data-driven models to help refine their lines.
NFL TD Prop Betting FAQ
Yes, both running touchdowns and receiving touchdowns count for both the first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown bets. So, if a running back scores a touchdown by running the ball or a wide receiver scores by catching a pass, it will count for your bet in either category. As long as the player you bet on is the one who scores, you win!
Yes, an interception return for a touchdown counts as a touchdown in anytime touchdown betting props. If you bet on a defensive player to score an anytime touchdown and they return an interception for a touchdown, your bet would win. This also applies to fumble recoveries returned for touchdowns. However, it's important to check the specific rules of the sportsbook, as they can vary.
On an average Sunday of NFL football, six to seven touchdowns are typically scored per game. Since there are usually 12 to 16 games played, that can add up to 70 to 100 total touchdowns across the league.
Yes, an NFL center can score a touchdown, though it's quite rare. Centers primarily focus on snapping the ball and blocking, but they can score through a fumble recovery, a passing play if they are deemed eligible before the play, and a fake play.
Yes, you can parlay touchdown props in NFL betting. A parlay involves combining multiple bets into one wager, and if all selections win, the payout can be much higher than placing each bet individually. For instance, you can parlay bets on multiple players to score touchdowns in the same game, but keep in mind that all bets in the parlay must win for you to receive a payout.
