Touchdown dances aren’t just reserved for the guys getting across the goal line.
Touchdown props allow NFL bettors to celebrate alongside their favorite players, which makes anytime touchdown and first touchdown odds among the most popular NFL player props bets every week.
If you think you know which players will strike paydirt, you can bet on them to score a TD at any point in the game. And if you’re really locked in on who will get past the goal line first, you can pump up your payouts by betting the “first touchdown scorer” markets when you make your NFL picks.
Anytime touchdown predictions
Khalil Shakir anytime touchdown
Opposing teams have been able to throw the ball at will vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers this year, and I believe Khalil Shakir will take advantage of that fact on Sunday.
No team has surrendered more targets, receptions, and yards to wide-outs than Pittsburgh. Shakir is the clear-cut leader on the Bills with nine red-zone targets and seven receptions.
Shakir has just one TD in his last five games but the opportunities have been there in volume, as he’s been targeted at least seven times in four of those five contests, recording at least six receptions in four of five. This is a good spot for a breakthrough at a fair price.
-Robert Criscola
Travis Etienne anytime touchdown
Travis Etienne was held out of the end zone last week, ending a two-game scoring streak for the Jacksonville Jaguars tailback. But he’s in a good spot to bounce back vs. the dreadful Tennessee Titans.
Tennessee has conceded the second-most rushing touchdowns to running backs this year (13). Etienne continues to be leaned on heavily when the Jags approach the goal line, as he’s fourth in the NFL in red-zone carries (39).
The three guys ahead of Etienne – Jonathan Taylor, Christian McCaffrey, and Derrick Henry – are priced nowhere near as generously as he is on a week-to-week basis.
-Robert Criscola
AJ Barner anytime touchdown
Against Brian Flores’ blitz-heavy schemes, AJ Barner should shine as a primary option for Sam Darnold.
According to PFF, the Seahawks tight end ranks second among TEs in yards per route run against the blitz, and Barner has found the end zone in three of his last five games.
-Trevor Knapp
First touchdown prediction
Justin Jefferson first touchdown
The Seattle Seahawks enter Sunday as the biggest chalk, carrying the largest spread of the weekend. Minnesota Vikings reserve quarterback Max Brosmer will be getting the start, hence the Seahawks being so heavily favored.
However, Brosmer was a solid quarterback in college, and the market has perhaps swung too far the other way.
Justin Jefferson has only scored two touchdowns this season thanks to some truly terrible quarterback play, but as an elite talent, a change under center could finally unlock his full potential. Jefferson found the end zone 10 times last year, and at massive odds, we have to consider betting on him this time around.
-Sam Farley
Multi-touchdown prediction
Davante Adams 2+ touchdowns
Death, taxes, and Davante Adams finding paydirt in 2025.
Matthew Stafford’s go-to weapon in the red zone leads the league with 12 touchdowns this season and is fresh off a multi-score outing on SNF.
With Puka Nacua drawing Jaycee Horn’s attention, Adams will see plenty of Panthers corner Mike Jackson and per PFF, he’s been targeted on 9-of-29 routes when matched up with the Carolina CB.
-Trevor Knapp
More Covers NFL Week 13 touchdown scorer predictions
- NFL Week 13 anytime touchdown scorer predictions and parlay
- NFL Week 13 first touchdown scorer predictions
- Rams vs. Panthers anytime touchdown scorer predictions
- Bills vs. Steelers anytime touchdown scorer predictions
- Broncos vs. Commanders anytime touchdown scorer predictions
What is a first touchdown scorer bet?
A first touchdown scorer bet involves wagering on which player will score the first touchdown in a specific NFL game. This type of bet can be placed on any player who is eligible to score, and typically focuses on running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, and quarterbacks.
If the player you choose scores the first touchdown, you win the bet; if not, you lose. The odds for these bets can vary based on the player’s likelihood to score first, which is influenced by factors like their position, recent performance, and the team's offensive strategy and efficiency.
What is an anytime touchdown scorer bet?
An anytime touchdown bet involves wagering on whether a specific player will score a touchdown at any point during the game, not just the first TD.
For example, if you bet on Ravens running back Derrick Henry to score an anytime touchdown and he finds the end zone at any time during the game, you win the bet. This type of bet is popular because it allows for more scoring opportunities, and you can often choose players based on advantageous matchups. The odds can vary based on the player’s scoring potential and the strength of the team’s offensive scheme.
How are touchdown prop odds determined in NFL betting?
Here are some of the key factors oddsmakers consider when setting touchdown prop odds:
- Player performance: Historical data on a player's scoring ability, including past touchdowns, carries, and target share, is crucial.
- Matchup analysis: The opposing defense's strengths and weaknesses are evaluated, including how well they defend against specific positions.
- Injury reports: Injuries to key players can impact a player's likelihood of scoring. Check out our NFL Injuries page to stay up to date before making your wager.
- Game script: Oddsmakers consider potential game scenarios, such as whether a team is expected to be ahead or behind and how that may impact their strategy.
- Public sentiment: Betting patterns and public perception can also sway odds. If a player is very popular or a big favorite, sportsbooks may adjust their odds to mitigate risk. You can check out our Covers NFL picks consensus to see how the public is leaning.
- Statistical models: Sportsbook use advanced analytics and data-driven models to help refine their lines.
NFL TD Prop Betting FAQ
Yes, both running touchdowns and receiving touchdowns count for both the first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown bets. So, if a running back scores a touchdown by running the ball or a wide receiver scores by catching a pass, it will count for your bet in either category. As long as the player you bet on is the one who scores, you win!
Yes, an interception return for a touchdown counts as a touchdown in anytime touchdown betting props. If you bet on a defensive player to score an anytime touchdown and they return an interception for a touchdown, your bet would win. This also applies to fumble recoveries returned for touchdowns. However, it's important to check the specific rules of the sportsbook, as they can vary.
On an average Sunday of NFL football, six to seven touchdowns are typically scored per game. Since there are usually 12 to 16 games played, that can add up to 70 to 100 total touchdowns across the league.
Yes, an NFL center can score a touchdown, though it's quite rare. Centers primarily focus on snapping the ball and blocking, but they can score through a fumble recovery, a passing play if they are deemed eligible before the play, and a fake play.
Yes, you can parlay touchdown props in NFL betting. A parlay involves combining multiple bets into one wager, and if all selections win, the payout can be much higher than placing each bet individually. For instance, you can parlay bets on multiple players to score touchdowns in the same game, but keep in mind that all bets in the parlay must win for you to receive a payout.
