Touchdown dances aren’t just reserved for the guys getting across the goal line.
Touchdown props allow NFL bettors to celebrate alongside their favorite players, which makes anytime touchdown and first touchdown odds among the most popular NFL player props bets every week.
If you think you know which players will strike paydirt, you can bet on them to score a TD at any point in the game. And if you’re really locked in on who will get past the goal line first, you can pump up your payouts by betting the “first touchdown scorer” markets when you make your NFL picks.
Anytime touchdown predictions
James Cook anytime touchdown
James Cook ain't cooking like he did in 2024, but he still has eight total touchdowns through 10 games.
Once in the red zone, Cook leads the Bills in carries with 30, putting him in the Top 10 in that category. His volume alone makes this a valuable bet, especially at this price.
Buffalo's RB1 has also registered 21 receptions, making him a threat in the air as well. Let James cook!
-Kyle LaRusic
Amon-Ra St. Brown anytime touchdown
Opposing wide receivers have been tormenting the New York Giants defense all season long. Big Blue is fifth-worst in yardage allowed per game and ninth-worst in receptions allowed per game to the position while coughing up exactly one touchdown per contest through 11 weeks.
Amon-Ra St. Brown is the go-to guy for Jared Goff inside the 20-yard line. St. Brown is fourth in the NFL in red-zone targets with 18, hauling in 13 of those passes, with seven going for touchdowns.
Narrow it down to action inside the 10-yard line, and he’s caught eight of 12 targets for six TDs.
-Robert Criscola
Noah Fant anytime touchdown
Noah Fant ran the most routes and played the most snaps among Bengals TEs in Week 11, and he caught more passes (five) than any of their receivers. Since Mike Gesicki went down, Fant has posted two touchdowns and 14 catches over four games.
The wrinkle is Gesicki’s return, as his practice window opened this week. Bringing him back now would be a bit rushed, and even if he’s activated, Fant has established a clear role with Joe Flacco, a quarterback Gesicki has played only two snaps with. Gesicki has just eight catches in six games, which makes an early position on Fant easier to justify.
You can also wait for clarity, as Fant has closed around this price for a touchdown in four straight weeks. The Patriots are a Top-10 matchup for opposing TEs.
Josh Downs anytime touchdown
Josh Downs is the checkdown/short-yardage guy for Daniel Jones, and his role will be crucial vs. a Kansas City Chiefs team that seldom gives up much over the top (third in average depth of target).
Downs, who has touchdowns in three of his last four games, has the second-most red-zone targets on the Indianapolis Colts with eight, and he’s tallied six red-zone receptions. Downs has caught all three passes sent his way inside the 10-yard line for scores."
-Robert Criscola
First touchdown prediction
Check back soon for more touchdown predictions.
Multi-touchdown prediction
Check back soon for more touchdown predictions.
More Covers NFL Week 12 touchdown scorer predictions
What is a first touchdown scorer bet?
A first touchdown scorer bet involves wagering on which player will score the first touchdown in a specific NFL game. This type of bet can be placed on any player who is eligible to score, and typically focuses on running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, and quarterbacks.
If the player you choose scores the first touchdown, you win the bet; if not, you lose. The odds for these bets can vary based on the player’s likelihood to score first, which is influenced by factors like their position, recent performance, and the team's offensive strategy and efficiency.
What is an anytime touchdown scorer bet?
An anytime touchdown bet involves wagering on whether a specific player will score a touchdown at any point during the game, not just the first TD.
For example, if you bet on Ravens running back Derrick Henry to score an anytime touchdown and he finds the end zone at any time during the game, you win the bet. This type of bet is popular because it allows for more scoring opportunities, and you can often choose players based on advantageous matchups. The odds can vary based on the player’s scoring potential and the strength of the team’s offensive scheme.
How are touchdown prop odds determined in NFL betting?
Here are some of the key factors oddsmakers consider when setting touchdown prop odds:
- Player performance: Historical data on a player's scoring ability, including past touchdowns, carries, and target share, is crucial.
- Matchup analysis: The opposing defense's strengths and weaknesses are evaluated, including how well they defend against specific positions.
- Injury reports: Injuries to key players can impact a player's likelihood of scoring. Check out our NFL Injuries page to stay up to date before making your wager.
- Game script: Oddsmakers consider potential game scenarios, such as whether a team is expected to be ahead or behind and how that may impact their strategy.
- Public sentiment: Betting patterns and public perception can also sway odds. If a player is very popular or a big favorite, sportsbooks may adjust their odds to mitigate risk. You can check out our Covers NFL picks consensus to see how the public is leaning.
- Statistical models: Sportsbook use advanced analytics and data-driven models to help refine their lines.
NFL TD Prop Betting FAQ
Yes, both running touchdowns and receiving touchdowns count for both the first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown bets. So, if a running back scores a touchdown by running the ball or a wide receiver scores by catching a pass, it will count for your bet in either category. As long as the player you bet on is the one who scores, you win!
Yes, an interception return for a touchdown counts as a touchdown in anytime touchdown betting props. If you bet on a defensive player to score an anytime touchdown and they return an interception for a touchdown, your bet would win. This also applies to fumble recoveries returned for touchdowns. However, it's important to check the specific rules of the sportsbook, as they can vary.
On an average Sunday of NFL football, six to seven touchdowns are typically scored per game. Since there are usually 12 to 16 games played, that can add up to 70 to 100 total touchdowns across the league.
Yes, an NFL center can score a touchdown, though it's quite rare. Centers primarily focus on snapping the ball and blocking, but they can score through a fumble recovery, a passing play if they are deemed eligible before the play, and a fake play.
Yes, you can parlay touchdown props in NFL betting. A parlay involves combining multiple bets into one wager, and if all selections win, the payout can be much higher than placing each bet individually. For instance, you can parlay bets on multiple players to score touchdowns in the same game, but keep in mind that all bets in the parlay must win for you to receive a payout.
