Touchdown dances aren’t just reserved for the guys getting across the goal line.
Touchdown props allow NFL bettors to celebrate alongside their favorite players, which makes anytime touchdown and first touchdown odds among the most popular NFL player props bets every week.
If you think you know which players will strike paydirt, you can bet on them to score a TD at any point in the game. And if you’re really locked in on who will get past the goal line first, you can pump up your payouts by betting the “first touchdown scorer” markets when you make your NFL picks.
Anytime touchdown predictions
Chris Olave anytime touchdown
Chris Olave has been in full-on “beast mode” as the season comes to a close.
The New Orleans Saints star boasts four TDs over his last three games, and has scored at least once in five of his last seven contests.
The volume is certainly there for Olave right now, as he’s caught 24 of 36 passes sent his way in his last three tilts alone.
Although the Atlanta Falcons kept Olave out of the end zone in their most recent meeting, it’s not like they shut him down completely, as he hauled in nine of 13 targets for 70 yards.
-Robert Criscola
Chimere Dike anytime touchdown
It’s been a tough year for the Tennessee Titans, but they’re still showing some fight. They’ve scored at least 24 points in four straight games, going 2-2 SU in that span.
Chimere Dike has been a key receiver for Cam Ward down the stretch, seeing at least five targets in four straight, hauling in 16 of 23 total passes sent his way in that sample.
Dike has found paydirt in three of his last six overall. I would play this down to +200.
-Robert Criscola
Bucky Irving anytime touchdown
Bucky Irving at +150 is a strong value play primarily due to his high volume in a must-win game for the Buccaneers. As the lead back in Tampa Bay’s rotation, Irving has averaged over 17 touches per game recently. His dual-threat capability as a receiver also increases his scoring opportunities, providing more "outs" for bettors compared to a traditional power back.
Furthermore, the Panthers' defense remains vulnerable, allowing 20 rushing touchdowns this season. In their Week 16 meeting, Irving saw 19 carries; with the division title on the line, the Bucs are likely to lean on his elusiveness in the red zone.
At +150, you are getting a 40% implied probability on a player whose workload suggests a much higher chance of finding the end zone.
-Covers Predictions Tool
First touchdown scorer prediction
Check back soon for more touchdown predictions.
What is a first touchdown scorer bet?
A first touchdown scorer bet involves wagering on which player will score the first touchdown in a specific NFL game. This type of bet can be placed on any player who is eligible to score, and typically focuses on running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, and quarterbacks.
If the player you choose scores the first touchdown, you win the bet; if not, you lose. The odds for these bets can vary based on the player’s likelihood to score first, which is influenced by factors like their position, recent performance, and the team's offensive strategy and efficiency.
What is an anytime touchdown scorer bet?
An anytime touchdown bet involves wagering on whether a specific player will score a touchdown at any point during the game, not just the first TD.
For example, if you bet on Ravens running back Derrick Henry to score an anytime touchdown and he finds the end zone at any time during the game, you win the bet. This type of bet is popular because it allows for more scoring opportunities, and you can often choose players based on advantageous matchups. The odds can vary based on the player’s scoring potential and the strength of the team’s offensive scheme.
How are touchdown prop odds determined in NFL betting?
Here are some of the key factors oddsmakers consider when setting touchdown prop odds:
- Player performance: Historical data on a player's scoring ability, including past touchdowns, carries, and target share, is crucial.
- Matchup analysis: The opposing defense's strengths and weaknesses are evaluated, including how well they defend against specific positions.
- Injury reports: Injuries to key players can impact a player's likelihood of scoring. Check out our NFL Injuries page to stay up to date before making your wager.
- Game script: Oddsmakers consider potential game scenarios, such as whether a team is expected to be ahead or behind and how that may impact their strategy.
- Public sentiment: Betting patterns and public perception can also sway odds. If a player is very popular or a big favorite, sportsbooks may adjust their odds to mitigate risk. You can check out our Covers NFL picks consensus to see how the public is leaning.
- Statistical models: Sportsbook use advanced analytics and data-driven models to help refine their lines.
NFL TD Prop Betting FAQ
Yes, both running touchdowns and receiving touchdowns count for both the first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown bets. So, if a running back scores a touchdown by running the ball or a wide receiver scores by catching a pass, it will count for your bet in either category. As long as the player you bet on is the one who scores, you win!
Yes, an interception return for a touchdown counts as a touchdown in anytime touchdown betting props. If you bet on a defensive player to score an anytime touchdown and they return an interception for a touchdown, your bet would win. This also applies to fumble recoveries returned for touchdowns. However, it's important to check the specific rules of the sportsbook, as they can vary.
On an average Sunday of NFL football, six to seven touchdowns are typically scored per game. Since there are usually 12 to 16 games played, that can add up to 70 to 100 total touchdowns across the league.
Yes, an NFL center can score a touchdown, though it's quite rare. Centers primarily focus on snapping the ball and blocking, but they can score through a fumble recovery, a passing play if they are deemed eligible before the play, and a fake play.
Yes, you can parlay touchdown props in NFL betting. A parlay involves combining multiple bets into one wager, and if all selections win, the payout can be much higher than placing each bet individually. For instance, you can parlay bets on multiple players to score touchdowns in the same game, but keep in mind that all bets in the parlay must win for you to receive a payout.
