Touchdown dances aren’t just reserved for the guys getting across the goal line.
Touchdown props allow NFL bettors to celebrate alongside their favorite players, which makes anytime touchdown and first touchdown odds among the most popular NFL player props bets every week.
If you think you know which players will strike pay dirt, you can bet on them to score a TD at any point in the game. And if you’re really locked in on who will get past the goal line first, you can pump up your payouts by betting the “first touchdown scorer” markets when you make your NFL picks.
Anytime touchdown prediction
James Cook anytime TD (+145 at FanDuel)
FanDuel has this outlier price, but the other closest books at +120 are solid, too. In fact, I’d still play this at the market low around +105 and think James Cook should have a shorter TD price than Josh Allen whose TDs have come mainly right on the goal line of late.
If Joe Mixon can run over this KC defense, this elite Buffalo running game should be able to rush in two or three scores Sunday night.
-Josh Inglis
Travis Kelce anytime TD (+130 at BetMGM)
Travis Kelce and Patrick Mahomes have quite the connection.
Since 2018, the Chiefs’ dynamic duo have connected for 55 regular season scoring strikes. Kelce has also been on the receiving end on 19 postseason TD receptions, including one last Sunday against Houston.
Kelce leads Kansas City in playoff targets (8), receptions (7), and two big plays of 20+, including a 49-yard grab against Houston. Meanwhile, the Bills allowed 23 passing TDs within 20 yards during the regular season.
-Phil Naessens
First touchdown prediction
Xavier Worthy first TD scorer (+1200 at DraftKings)
I have a nagging feeling that somebody is being hugely undervalued on the Kansas City Chiefs roster, and that’s Xavier Worthy.
We can’t forget he’s scored nine teams this season. Nor can we forget three of those came on the ground. He’s the only player on the Chiefs’ offense who vaguely resembles a gadget player, with trick players something we’ve frequently seen from Andy Reid’s team in the biggest moments.
The team has continually looked to get the ball in his hands over the past month or so, and he offers a skillset nobody else dressed in red does. In his past four games, he’s had 37 targets, nine carries, and three touchdowns.
-Sam Farley
Multi touchdown prediction
A.J. Brown 2+ TDs (+1200 at DraftKings)
Is this finally the week A.J. Brown channels his "Inner Excellence"? After compiling just three receptions over his last two starts, the All-Pro receiver should thrive against a Commanders defense that plays man-coverage at the eight-highest rate in the league. Brown ranks second in PFF grade against this alignment, and he should take advantage of a matchup against CB Marshon Lattimore, who has struggled since being traded from New Orleans.
Lattimore was torched against Mike Evans in the Wild Card round, and Brown boasted eight catches on 15 targets against Lattimore & the Commanders back in Week 16. At +1200 odds, back the Eagles' No. 1 WR to go off in Sunday's NFC Championship.
-Trevor Knapp
What is a first touchdown scorer bet?
A first touchdown scorer bet involves wagering on which player will score the first touchdown in a specific NFL game. This type of bet can be placed on any player who is eligible to score, and typically focuses on running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, and quarterbacks.
If the player you choose scores the first touchdown, you win the bet; if not, you lose. The odds for these bets can vary based on the player’s likelihood to score first, which is influenced by factors like their position, recent performance, and the team's offensive strategy and efficiency.
What is an anytime touchdown scorer bet?
An anytime touchdown bet involves wagering on whether a specific player will score a touchdown at any point during the game, not just the first TD.
For example, if you bet on Ravens running back Derrick Henry to score an anytime touchdown and he finds the end zone at any time during the game, you win the bet. This type of bet is popular because it allows for more scoring opportunities, and you can often choose players based on advantageous matchups. The odds can vary based on the player’s scoring potential and the strength of the team’s offensive scheme.
How are touchdown prop odds determined in NFL betting?
Here are some of the key factors oddsmakers consider when setting touchdown prop odds:
- Player performance: Historical data on a player's scoring ability, including past touchdowns, carries, and target share, is crucial.
- Matchup analysis: The opposing defense's strengths and weaknesses are evaluated, including how well they defend against specific positions.
- Injury reports: Injuries to key players can impact a player's likelihood of scoring. Check out our NFL Injuries page to stay up to date before making your wager.
- Game script: Oddsmakers consider potential game scenarios, such as whether a team is expected to be ahead or behind and how that may impact their strategy.
- Public sentiment: Betting patterns and public perception can also sway odds. If a player is very popular or a big favorite, sportsbooks may adjust their odds to mitigate risk. You can check out our Covers NFL picks consensus to see how the public is leaning.
- Statistical models: Sportsbook use advanced analytics and data-driven models to help refine their lines.
NFL TD Prop Betting FAQ
Yes, both running touchdowns and receiving touchdowns count for both the first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown bets. So, if a running back scores a touchdown by running the ball or a wide receiver scores by catching a pass, it will count for your bet in either category. As long as the player you bet on is the one who scores, you win!
Yes, an interception return for a touchdown counts as a touchdown in anytime touchdown betting props. If you bet on a defensive player to score an anytime touchdown and they return an interception for a touchdown, your bet would win. This also applies to fumble recoveries returned for touchdowns. However, it's important to check the specific rules of the sportsbook, as they can vary.
On an average Sunday of NFL football, six to seven touchdowns are typically scored per game. Since there are usually 12 to 16 games played, that can add up to 70 to 100 total touchdowns across the league.
Yes, an NFL center can score a touchdown, though it's quite rare. Centers primarily focus on snapping the ball and blocking, but they can score through a fumble recovery, a passing play if they are deemed eligible before the play, and a fake play.
Yes, you can parlay touchdown props in NFL betting. A parlay involves combining multiple bets into one wager, and if all selections win, the payout can be much higher than placing each bet individually. For instance, you can parlay bets on multiple players to score touchdowns in the same game, but keep in mind that all bets in the parlay must win for you to receive a payout.
