Packers vs Jaguars Predictions and Picks for Week 8: Reed is Set to Rebound in Jacksonville

Packers wideout Jayden Reed should have a big day against a soft Jaguars passing defense.

Shawn Wronka - Contributor at Covers.com
Shawn Wronka • Betting Analyst
Oct 26, 2024 • 18:35 ET • 4 min read

NFL

Match starts: 15 hrs
JAC
32 %
GB
68 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Jayden Reed o57.5 receiving yards (-120) Jayden Reed o57.5 receiving yards (-120)
Read Analysis
Jayden Reed Green Bay Packers NFL
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Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers have strung together three straight wins and now travel to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Although Jayden Reed has been quiet as of late, my Packers vs. Jaguars predictions expect him to find success against a poor Jags secondary. Find out more in our free NFL picks for Sunday, October 27.

Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. EST at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, with the game airing on FOX. 

Packers vs Jaguars prediction

My best bet
Jayden Reed Over 57.5 receiving yards (-120 at BetMGM)

My analysis

After a blazing five-game start to the season that included 21 catches for 414 yards and two touchdowns, Jayden Reed has fallen off the radar outside of one short touchdown catch two weeks ago.

In fact, the Green Bay Packers wideout has managed to rack up just 38 yards across the last two weeks, but Sunday should be different for the second-year receiver.

His 377 yards from the slot this year are the second-most this season by any receiver, and he now draws a matchup against a Jacksonville Jaguars secondary that has not only struggled as a whole, but also has allowed the fourth-most yards to slot receivers specifically.

That includes the likes of Keenan Allen (4 receptions, 52 yards, 2 TDs) and Josh Downs (9 for 69) in recent weeks. Reed is better than both at this point in his career, and 57.5 yards is a great buy-low mark coming off of two lower-end performances.

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Packers vs Jaguars same-game parlay

Jayden Reed Over 57.5 receiving yards

Trevor Lawrence Over 0.5 interceptions

Brian Thomas Jr. Under 4.5 receptions

On the other side of the ball, Trevor Lawrence has struggled with taking care of the ball as of late and has thrown a pick in three of his last five games. Part of the surge has been Lawrence's attempt to air out the ball further downfield, as he has posted 10+ air yards per attempt in two of the last three games.

The league's best safety duo of Xavier McKinney and Evan Williams should be able to step in front of one of those deep balls on Sunday, adding to the Packers' nine interceptions this year — the third-highest mark this season.

Their help over the top should also help keep Brian Thomas Jr. from racking up too many receptions, and he may also draw the attention of Jaire Alexander as well.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Packers vs Jaguars odds

Packers vs Jaguars live odds

Packers vs Jaguars opening odds

  • Spread: Green Bay -4 (-110) | Jacksonville +4 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Green Bay (-210) | Jacksonville (+170)
  • Over/Under: Over 49.5 (-110) | Under 49.5 (-110)

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

Packers vs Jaguars spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The Packers are 4-3 against the spread this year, while the Jaguars have gone 3-4 ATS.
  • Green Bay has gone 3-3-1 on totals this year, while Jacksonville has gone 4-3 to the Over.
  • The Packers' 203.9 passing yards allowed per game this season is around league average, but their 168.3 allowed in the last three is good for the fifth-best mark during that time.
  • Jacksonville has allowed 273.9 passing yards per game this year, good for the second-worst mark. The Jags' 63.4% passing first-down percentage also ranks third-worst in the NFL.

Packers vs Jaguars betting trend to know

The Green Bay Packers have hit the moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+8.20 Units / 27% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for Packers vs. Jaguars.

Packers vs Jaguars game info

Location: EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
Date: Sunday, 10-27, 2024
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
TV: FOX

Packers vs Jaguars latest injuries

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Shawn Wronka - Covers
Betting Analyst

Shawn Wronka is an analytics-based sports bettor who was drawn to analytics at an early age via the stats on the back of sports cards. He began sports betting in 2016, and took an immediate interest in UFC before finding his way towards other major sports.

After years of casual betting, he took an interest in the numbers-based approach and specialized in learning and applying those techniques to niche markets such as player props, the NFL and NBA drafts, and F1. Shawn finds writing a good way to balance the time he spends on numbers, giving him an outlet to paint quantitative edges into qualitative narratives.

A graduate of the University of Wisconsin-Madison, his work has been seen in dozens of publications including the National Post, Financial Post, Calgary Herald, Vancouver Sun, and The Province.

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