Monday Night Football Picks, Predictions: Patriots vs Jets

The Patriots are scoring a meager 19.4 points per game, fourth-fewest in the league, and that number has dipped to 12.3 ppg over their last four contests.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Nov 2, 2020 • 08:48 ET
Cam Newton NFL New England Patriots
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Monday Night football action in Week 9 features a clash between AFC East rivals as the New England Patriots head to the Meadowlands to take on the New York Jets.

The Patriots have struggled in the post-Tom Brady era going 2-5 SU to begin the year, but some things never change with NFL betting odds, installing the Pats as favorites for the 17th consecutive meeting between these teams.

We break down the NFL odds with our best free Patriots vs Jets picks and predictions for Monday Night Football on November 9, with kickoff at 8:20 p.m. ET.

New England Patriots at New York Jets Betting Preview

Weather

It's expected to be a clear night at MetLife Stadium at the Meadowlands in East Rutherford, New Jersey, with temperatures in the mid-60s dropping into the 50s later in the evening and a mild breeze of 2 mph. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NFL weather info.

Key Injuries

Patriots: Isiah Wynn OL (Questionable), Deatrcih Wise Jr. DL (Questionable), Joe Thuney G (Questionable), John Simon DE (Questionable), Shaq Mason G (Questionable), JC Jackson DB (Questionable), Damien Harris RB (Questionable), Lawrence Guy DL (Questionable), Stephon Gilmore CB (Questionable), N'Keal Harry WR (Out), Julian Edelman WR (Out), Donta Hightower LB (Out), Patrick Chung S (Out), Marcus Cannon T (Out), Brandon Bolden (Out).
Jets: Sam Darnold QB (Doubtful), Jordan Jenkins LB (Questionable), Jamison Crowder WR (Probable), Breshad Perriman WR (Questionable), Quinnen Williams DL (Questionable), CJ Mosley LB (Out), Bradley McDougald S (Out), Josh Andrews OL (Questionable), Cameron Clark T (Questionable), Connor McGovern OL (Questionable), Blake Cashman LB (Out), Frank Gore RB (Questionable). 
Find our latest NFL injury reports.

Betting Trend to Know

The Under is 7-1 in the last eight meetings between the Patriots and Jets. Find more NFL betting trends for Patriots vs. Jets.

Against the Spread (ATS) Pick

The Patriots have lost four games in a row and are coming off a 24-21 loss to the Buffalo Bills. But as bad as New England has been, the Jets are on a whole other level of awful. The Jets are 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS, and they've been getting hammered in those contests with an average scoring margin of minus-18 points per game. 

While Bill Belichick and the Pats aren't Super Bowl contenders for the first time in more than a decade, they rank a respectable 14th in the league in total defense and are 21st in total offense. The Jets are dead-last in offense while sitting 26th in defense.

New York is coming off a 35-9 shellacking against the Chiefs, and their closest game of the season was an 8-point loss against the Bills in Week 7. Keep fading the Jets and take New England on the spread.

PREDICTION: New England -7.5 (-110)

 

Over/Under Pick

The Jets are the worst offensive team in the league, and it's not even close. Adam Gase's squad is averaging just 11.8 points and 259 yards per game, more than six points and 30 yards lower than the second-worst Giants.

The Patriots are scoring a meager 19.4 points per game, fourth-fewest in the league, and that number has dipped to 12.3 ppg over their last four contests. 

The Under is 4-1 in the Pats' last five games as a favorite and 5-0 in the Jets' previous five contests as an underdog. With the Under also 7-1 in the previous eight meetings between these teams, take it again on Monday night. 

PREDICTION: Under 42 (-110)

First Quarter Bet

Cam Newton and the Patriots offense has been completely inept recently, with Newton throwing for 429 yards and zero touchdowns against five interceptions over the last three games. They've also gotten off to extremely slow starts all season long, averaging a league-low 1.0 ppg during the first quarter.

The Jets haven't been much better early, scoring 2.9 first-quarter ppg. Expect another slow start from these ugly offenses and take the first-quarter Under.

PREDICTION: First Quarter Under 7.5 (-120)

Patriots vs Jets betting card

  • New England -7.5 (-110)
  • Under 42 (-110)
  • First Quarter Under 7.5 (-120)
NFL Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed this week’s NFL Patriots vs. Jets picks, you could win $56.82 on a $10 bet?

Use our NFL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on the NFL?

You can bet on NFL odds at every online and casino sportsbooks, including NFL moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals and a ton of NFL prop odds. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on NFL odds in your area.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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