Raiders vs Bears Odds, Picks, and Predictions Week 7: Moore Production From Bears Receiver

Week 7’s contest between the Las Vegas Raiders and Chicago Bears was going to be hard to swallow for even the most dedicated football fan.

When you subtract both starting quarterbacks — which is likely the case on Sunday — this non-conference clash is about as appetizing as that plate of leftover spaghetti that got lost at the back of the fridge.

Luckily, we can coat that unpalatable pasta with the zesty spice of NFL betting.

The NFL odds for this game have visiting Vegas as a field-goal favorite, with QB Jimmy Garoppolo sidelined and the drop-off between the starter and his backups not as steep as Chicago’s situation.

Bears QB Justin Fields is doubtful, taking away their biggest weapon and leaving the offense under the command of undrafted rookie backup Tyson Bagent.

I break down the point spread and Over/Under total for his AFC vs. NFC matchup and give my best free NFL picks and predictions for Raiders vs. Bears on October 22.

Raiders vs Bears odds

Raiders vs Bears predictions

Justin Fields and D.J. Moore had one of the best QB-WR combos going over the past few weeks, with Moore amassing 361 yards receiving in Weeks 4 and 5.

With Fields out, sportsbooks are expecting a down day from the Bears' top receiver, with his Week 7 yardage prop opening as low as 52.5 yards versus Las Vegas. That’s a notable adjustment from his 60.5 yard Over/Under against Minnesota last weekend.

While losing Fields’ big arm may take away the threat of the deep ball to Moore, the talented WR has shown an ability to break big gains on shorter catch-and-run situations. He was also a favorite target for backup QB Tyson Bagent in Week 6 with six of his 14 pass attempts to Moore, who finished with six catches and 58 yards.

The Raiders defense could also help the rookie QB find his rhythm. Las Vegas plays a deep shell to guard against longer passes and is much softer in coverage underneath. Rival quarterbacks have completed 68.28% of their throws against Patrick Graham’s scheme.

Las Vegas has also given up the eighth-most yards after the catch and faces a very dangerous weapon in Moore, who currently sits third among all NFL receivers in YAC. Moore has done well to adapt to various QBs in his career, having caught passes from three different guys in Carolina last season.

Add in the fact that the Silver and Black have a thinning secondary with starting CB Nate Hobbs on the fence, and Moore could easily eclipse this discounted yardage prop which has actually climbed to 53.5 yards since opening.

Player projections for Week 7 are optimistic Moore can continue to produce without Fields, with models beyond 53.5 yards. My number comes out to just shy of 65 yards receiving while other projections have a ceiling of 70-plus.

My best bet: D.J. Moore Over 53.5 Receiving Yards (-110 at bet365)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.

Raiders vs Bears same-game parlay

D.J. Moore Over 52.5 Receiving Yards

Under 37.5

Josh Jacobs Over 73.5 Rushing Yards

+700 at bet365

Moore can adapt to the backup QB and make big plays after the catch against a Vegas defense that plays soft coverage underneath.

You have two backup QBs under center, a Vegas defense that bleeds short yardage, and a Chicago secondary getting bodies healthy.

With Hoyer taking snaps, the Raiders will lean into the run game with Josh Jacobs. Player projections are calling for 80-plus yards on the ground from him.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Raiders vs Bears spread and Over/Under analysis

The offseason odds had Chicago listed as a 2.5-point home favorite for this non-conference game, but the Bears have fallen well short of their lofty summer expectations in the opening six weeks of the season.

The look-ahead line, before the injuries to Fields and Garoppolo in Week 6, had Chicago as a 1-point home pup for this 1 p.m. ET kickoff  — 10 a.m. ET back in Sin City.

The official Week 7 opener installed Las Vegas -3 and that’s hung tough for most of the week, with Fields listed as doubtful due to a dislocated thumb and Jimmy G out after leaving Week 6 with a back injury that required a trip to the hospital.

My NFL power ratings produced an unadjusted spread of Bears -0.5, but with the downtick in offensive pop without Fields, it’s easy to see how oddsmakers would arrive at Raiders -3 for this line. According to Covers Consensus, 68% of picks are backing the Silver and Black as of Thursday morning.

The most notable move for Week 7 odds has been the Over/Under total for this game. Books opened the number at 40.5 points on Sunday night and Under money hit hard, dropping the total to as low as 37.5 by Monday morning.

That adjustment is warranted considering the state of these teams — with and without their starters. Fields is the stick that stirs the drink for Chicago and was stellar in the two games prior to his injury against the Minnesota Vikings last Sunday.

His big arm and ability to break off gains on the ground are out of the equation, leaving the Bears to trust rookie passer Bagent, who filled in for Fields in Week 6. He finished 10 for 14 on passes for 83 yards and an interception in the 19-13 loss.

Bagent completed just 3.6 air yards per pass attempt, so expect the Bears’ passing game to run short and safe — which suits the matchup against a Raiders defense that protects against the deep ball and allows for softer coverage underneath (6.8 average depth of target allowed, fifth-shortest).

The Raiders’ quarterback situation isn’t as dire. Backup Brian Hoyer is a veteran passer who’s skill set is similar to Jimmy G. Hoyer connected on 6 of 10 passes for 102 yards in relief against New England last Sunday, helping Las Vegas secure a 21-17 victory.

Hoyer does face a Chicago defense giving up big gains through the air, ranked 28th in EPA allowed per dropback with rival QBs enjoying an average passer rating of 108.5 — second-highest in the land.

The Bears have done well against the run, allowing 3.5 yards per attempt and sitting middle of the pack in EPA allowed per handoff, as well as success rate to rival rushers. Las Vegas did opt to run more than usual with Garoppolo sidelined, handing off on over 50% of snaps versus the Patriots.

Both offenses ranked toward the backend of the pace ratings, utilizing 27.3 seconds per snap on the season (tied for 10th-slowest tempo). Las Vegas’ defensive schemes have allowed opponents to extend drives for long periods of possession, and that’s led to a 1-5 Over/Under count in 2023.

Chicago’s alternative good/bad days on offense and defense pumped out five straight Overs to start the schedule, with last week’s 19-13 loss to the Vikings staying Under the total for the first time in 2023.

Raiders vs Bears betting trend to know

Since moving the franchise to Las Vegas in 2020, the Raiders are just 2-9 ATS as road favorites. Find more NFL betting trends for Raiders vs. Bears.

Raiders vs Bears game info

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