After an embarrassing loss at home to the Indianapolis Colts, the Las Vegas Raiders have to try and save their season — traveling to the Mile High City to take on the Denver Broncos.
Vegas is 2-7 and has lost three straight games. Meanwhile, Denver is 3-6 and lost last week to the Tennessee Titans.
Can Derek Carr and his crew save their season with a win? Continue reading for our free NFL betting picks and predictions for Raiders vs Broncos Picks on November 20.
Raiders vs Broncos best odds
Raiders vs Broncos picks and predictions
It’s no secret that the Las Vegas Raiders are a red-hot mess. They lost last week to the Indianapolis Colts, a team that had an interim head coach with no collegiate or professional coaching experience. They have an ineffective quarterback who cried in frustration after the Colts embarrassed them at Allegiant Stadium.
The head coach — Josh McDaniels — is returning to Denver, the site of his first failed head coaching job, with questions swirling on whether this will be the second team he will not succeed with.
So, the question for the Raiders is how low can they go? The answer? The bottom has yet to be reached.
The Denver Broncos, who are just a game above the Raiders in the AFC West, should add to Vegas' woes this Sunday. They are favored by 2.5 points at most sportsbooks. I know Denver has its issues as well. Russell Wilson has thus far not been as good as advertised, but he is 17th in the league in passing yards.
The Raiders' passing defense is 26th in the league and 21st against the run, so it’s not like they are having much success stopping anyone.
QB Derek Carr is going to be motivated to show those weren’t crocodile tears last Sunday, but he is facing a dominant Denver defense. The Broncos are No. 1 in passing defense, averaging 174.4 yards per game. They are also first in points allowed averaging 16.6.
The weakest part of the Broncos' defense is their run defense — which is 24th — so maybe Josh Jacobs can have some success. Even he has fallen off from his earlier production. He had a stretch where he gained 100 or more yards for three games, including 144 yards against the Broncos at home.
In the three games since, he has games of 66, 69, and 57 yards. The Broncos will be more prepared this time and I think they'll keep him under 100 yards.
It is always difficult to beat a team twice in a season and I don’t see Las Vegas doing it on Sunday.
My best bet: Broncos -2.5 (-115 at BetMGM)
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Raiders vs Broncos spread analysis
Only giving 2.5 points to a home team is always a welcome line. It’s especially welcome when you don’t think their opposition has much of a chance to upset them. The Raiders are in a freefall and there is a sense of denial from football fans about how badly this team is coached. If Josh McDaniels doesn’t get the axe, it will be surprising.
The trends definitely favor the Broncos. The Raiders are 1-5 against the spread in their last six road games and are 1-7 ATS against a team with a losing record.
Conversely, the Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against a team with a losing road record. When the two teams played each other on October 2, the Raiders got a 32-23 home victory.
Las Vegas was a different team then. It isn't even close to that squad that won convincingly. Sunday will just be another piece of evidence this season is lost.
Raiders vs Broncos Over/Under analysis
The first time Denver and Las Vegas met this season the two teams managed to put up 55 points. That won’t happen again and oddsmakers know it. They opened the line at 42.5 points and it has already dropped a point to 41.5.
This contest will show how dominant Denver’s defense has progressed. In addition to being first in passing defense and second in overall defense, the Broncos are first in points allowed, averaging 16.6 per game.
As good as they are at preventing points, they are terrible at scoring them. They are last in the league with an average of 14.6 points per game. The Under has cashed in eight of Denver’s nine games.
The Raiders, unfortunately, could be an issue. They are 28th in points allowed, surrendering an average of 25.1 per game. They are also near the bottom in passing yards allowed, as well as run defense.
The Under is still the play here. For the Raiders, the Under is 4-1 in their last five road games against a team with a losing home record. The Under is also 6-2 in the team’s last eight road games.
The Under is even stronger for Denver going 4-0 in the team’s last four home games. It is also 5-0 in the Bronco's last five following an ATS loss.
Raiders vs Broncos betting trend to know
The Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Denver and 9-3 in the last 12 overall. Find more NFL betting trends for Raiders vs. Broncos.
Raiders vs Broncos game info
| Location: | Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO |
| Date: | Sunday, November 20, 2022 |
| Kickoff: | 4:05 p.m. ET |
| TV: | FOX |
| Opening odds: | Broncos -2.5, 42.5 O/U |
Raiders vs Broncos latest injuries
Raiders vs Broncos weather
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