Raiders vs Chargers Week 9 picks and predictions

Justin Herbert has had an impressive debut as the Chargers' QB, but choking away late leads continues to haunt L.A. as they host the Raiders in Week 9.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Nov 2, 2020 • 08:38 ET
Justin Herbert NFL Los Angeles Chargers
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Week 9 NFL betting features one of the AFC's oldest rivalries as the Las Vegas Raiders take on the Los Angeles Chargers.

The Raiders are 4-3 after picking up a win last week against the Browns, while the Chargers have lost five of their last six games after opening the season with a victory.

Oddsmakers are expecting a tight battle between the AFC West foes, installing the Chargers as slim 1.5-point favorites.

We break down the football odds with our best free Raiders vs Chargers picks and predictions for Sunday, November 8, with kickoff at 4:20 p.m. ET.

Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers betting preview

Weather

This game will be played at SoFi Stadium which is covered by a translucent ETFE roof, so weather will not affect play. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NFL weather info.

Key Injuries

Raiders: Maurice Hurst DT (Out), Arden Key DE (Out), Trent Brown T (Out), Richie Incognito (Out), Tyrell Williams WR (Out).
Chargers: Joey Bosa (Out), Trai Turner G (Out), Austin Ekeler RB (Out), Chris Harris Jr CB (Out), Mike Pouncey C (Out), Derwin James S (Out), Troymaine Pope RB (Out).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Over is 5-1-1 in the Raiders' last 7 games overall. Find more NFL betting trends for Raiders vs. Chargers.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

The future is bright in L.A. with quarterback Justin Herbert looking impressive as a rookie. The 22-year-old has completed 67.4 percent of his passes for 1,820 yards and 15 touchdowns through six games.

While Herbert made a few costly mistakes last week in Denver, he should find things easier against a Raiders defense that ranks 29th in the league in sacks and surrenders 7.4 yards per pass attempt.

The Chargers have actually played well against some of the top teams in the league, having fourth-quarter leads against the Chiefs, Saints and Buccaneers. Unfortunately, they squandered all of those leads and also blew a 14-point fourth-quarter advantage last week against the Broncos.  

Although closing games has been a major problem for the Bolts, the Raiders aren't reliable late either, surrendering 11 points per game during the fourth quarter which ranks second-worst in the league. Look for L.A. to get up early thanks to Herbert and the passing game - and this time hold on for a win and a cover.

PREDICTION: Chargers -1.5 (-110)

 

Over/Under pick

Vegas ranks 25th in the NFL in points allowed per game with 29, and is also among the worst teams in the league in yards allowed per play.

While the Chargers are slightly better in those metrics, they've also looked awful on the defensive side of the ball recently, surrendering 32 ppg over their last four contests. They might also be missing their best defensive player in Joey Bosa due to a concussion, while their secondary - which was already thin due to long-term injuries to Chris Harris Jr. and Derwin James - just lost a key depth player in Desmond King who was traded for a bag of peanuts on Monday. 

Although Vegas played a very low-scoring game in Cleveland last week, that was in wet and windy conditions with both teams playing conservatively. Expect the Raiders to get back to their usual loose play on Sunday which has resulted in a 5-1-1 O/U record over their last seven games. 

The Chargers have cashed the Over in each of their past four games, with a 57-point game against the Saints the lowest total during that span. Expect the Over to hit again. 

PREDICTION: Over 54 (-110)

First Half Bet

We already highlighted the Chargers' propensity to blow leads, but that at least indicates that they get off to good starts. The Bolts have a first-half scoring margin of plus-4.1 ppg while the Raiders have a first-half scoring margin of minus-1.8 ppg.

With the Chargers leading at halftime in five of seven contests this season, back them on the 1H spread. 

PREDICTION: First half Chargers -1.5 (-110)

Raiders vs Chargers betting card

  • Chargers -1.5 (-110)
  • Over 54 (-110)
  • First half Chargers -1.5 (-110)
NFL Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed this week’s NFL Raiders vs. Chargers picks, you could win $59.58 on a $10 bet?

Use our NFL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on the NFL?

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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