Ravens vs Browns Week 15 Props: Back Watson in Home Debut

Week 15 in the NFL features a rivalry clash between the Baltimore Ravens and Cleveland Browns.

Ravens wide receiver Devin Duvernay has been a no-show, but running back Gus Edwards won't be disappearing anytime soon despite a monster game from J.K. Dobbins last week. Meanwhile, Browns QB Deshaun Watson should continue to shake off the rust despite some winter weather on Saturday. 

Here are my favorite NFL prop picks for this AFC North rivalry...and make sure to check out our full Ravens vs. Browns betting preview for more. 

Ravens vs Browns prop picks

• Watson Over 210.5 passing yards (-104)
• Duvernay Under 22.5 receiving yards (-115)
• Edwards Over 37.5 rushing yards (-110)

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Ravens vs Browns Week 15 props

Rust slowing wearing off 

It will be cold and windy in Cleveland on Saturday, but right now, there's just a 20% chance of precipitation. While the wind will likely hinder Browns quarterback Deshaun Watson to some extent, not having to play in wet conditions should help.

Watson looked very rusty in his Browns debut in Week 13, but considering that he hadn't taken a snap in almost two years and was acclimating to new teammates, it's understandable. He showed improvement last week against the Bengals, completing 62% of his passes for 276 yards, but he still hasn't recaptured his Pro Bowl form with the Texans. 

That said, I'm expecting his play to keep improving, and Baltimore's defense isn't quite as good as it has seemed over the last few weeks. Baltimore has benefited from playing against some anemic offenses lately, with Jacksonville (who rank 13th) as the only team they have faced in the last seven weeks that has an offense ranked in the top half of the league in DVOA. 

The Ravens are 26th in the league in passing yards allowed per game (249.2). Even with cold weather, Watson should be able to go Over his low passing yards total.

Deshaun Watson Prop: Over 210.5 passing yards (-104)

Duvernay disappoints

The Ravens got some good news on Thursday, with quarterback Tyler Huntley clearing concussion protocol. Huntley is a serviceable backup, but he's no Lamar Jackson. With the Ravens having one of the worst receiver corps in the league, it won't be easy for him to air the ball out even if the weather was gorgeous.

Devin Duvernay was expected to step up after Rashod Bateman suffered a season-ending injury, but he's disappeared instead. Duvernay is coming off a contest where he had just one target and didn't reel in a single reception.

That's the third time in the last five games that he's been targeted just once, and he failed to crack even the 10-yard plateau in those contests. With a healthy Mark Andrews back in the fold and Demarcus Robinson earning more targets, take the Under on Duvernay's receiving yards.

Devin Duvernay Prop: Under 22.5 receiving yards (-115)

Gus the Bus

All eyes are on Ravens running back J.K. Dobbins after he rushed for 120 yards on just 15 carries last week after returning from injury. But with everyone focusing on Dobbins, you might be better off looking at another Baltimore back in Gus Edwards. Keep in mind that Dobbins had a modest 43% snap share in that contest, and coming off knee surgery, the often-injured running back isn't ready for a workhorse role. 

Edwards had 13 carries for 66 yards against the Steelers and has rushed for more than 50 yards in four of five games this year. Edwards is the thunder to Dobbins' lightning, and the Ravens will likely use both backs down the stretch to keep them fresh. 

That should mean plenty of volume for both of them on Saturday in a cold-weather game. Lots of rushing attempts should also mean lots of yards against a Browns defense that ranks last in the league in rush EPA and surrenders 4.8 yards per carry.

With the O/U on Edwards' rushing yards total set at a modest 37.5 (with Dobbins at 48.5), get ready to ride the Over on Gus the Bus. 

Gus Edwards Prop: Over 37.5 rushing yards (-110)

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