Early Ravens vs Chargers Predictions, Picks, and Odds for MNF Week 12

It’s a family affair on Monday Night Football when the Baltimore Ravens visit the Los Angeles Chargers in a Week 12 matchup between Jim and John Harbaugh.

My early Ravens vs. Chargers predictions and NFL picks for November 25 expect Baltimore to get the last laugh in this tilt after falling to Pittsburgh last Sunday.

Ravens vs Chargers predictions

Early spread lean
Ravens -3 (-110 at FanDuel)

My analysis
The Baltimore Ravens fell to the Steelers 18-16 on Sunday, failing to convert a game-tying two-point conversion in the final seconds. Baltimore held Pittsburgh to six field goals and outgained its opponent on offense but couldn’t come up with a win thanks in part to three turnovers and a pair of missed field goals.

Lamar Jackson is just 2-5 straight up against the Steelers in his career, and the Ravens are 2-6 ATS vs. their division rival since 2020. I expect Lamar & Co. to be much better on offense against the Los Angeles Chargers in this prime-time matchup.

The Chargers' defense has allowed the fewest points per game this season (14.5) but has the second-easiest strength of schedule based on projected opponent win totals and third-easiest based on opponent's 2023 win percentage. 

L.A. has just one win against a team with a winning record (Denver Broncos), and the recent four-game win streak includes victories over the Bengals, Titans, Browns, and Saints — a combined 12-30 record.

Of those teams, Cincinnati’s offense ranks sixth in points per game, and Los Angeles allowed 27 on Sunday night. Tennessee is ranked 28th in points per game, NOLA is 12th, and Cleveland is 31st... not exactly the cream of the crop.

Los Angeles’ defense is a bit of fool’s gold, and I expect Baltimore to bounce back on offense. The Ravens rank second in points per game at 30.4, second in rushing yards (177.3), and third in passing yards (252.8). 

This will be the Chargers first matchup against a winning team in over a month, and I believe the battle-tested and desperate Ravens will come through on the road. 

Early Over/Under lean
Over 50.5 (-113 at FanDuel)

My analysis
Baltimore has allowed the second-fewest yards on the ground per game (77.5), which could cause problems for a Chargers team ranked 12th in rushing ypg at 121.6. Justin Herbert should be able to exploit Baltimore’s vaunted secondary, however, which has allowed the most passing ypg at 284.5.

Los Angeles’ offense has found its rhythm in recent weeks, scoring at least 26 points in four straight. Herbert has developed chemistry with rookie wideout Ladd McConkey and second-year man Quentin Johnson.

Herby sports a 13:1 TD:INT ratio this season, including a 7-0 mark across his last four. I expect him to come out firing against Baltimore’s vulnerable pass defense.

The Ravens simply have too much firepower to be slowed down by a Chargers’ defense yet to face competent competition. Lamar Jackson is playing at an MVP caliber, Derrick Henry has scored in all but one game he’s played as a Raven, and Zay Flowers is a big-play threat waiting to happen.

The Ravens have hit the Over in nine of 11 games this season, and although the Chargers have hit the Over in just three of 10, they’ve gone Over in two straight. I expect both offenses to play well on Monday.

Best Ravens vs Chargers bonus

Get $150 in bonus bets when you win with FanDuel!

New users can create an account at FanDuel and place your first bet of $5+ on the NFL, and get $150 in bonus bets if your first bet wins — PLUS a free three-month trial of NBA League Pass!

Sign up now at FanDuel Sportsbook, or learn more with our comprehensive FanDuel review.

Claim Now at

Ravens vs Chargers live odds

Pages related to this topic