Super Bowl 58 was the biggest sporting event of the year in North America, and as it so often does, it came down to the elite shining on the biggest stage.
In addition to betting on Super Bowl odds for the game itself, another popular NFL odds market is who will emerge as the top player on the big night: Super Bowl MVP. This outcome is crucial to the game, unlike many novelty Super Bowl props, and becomes available as soon as the NFL Playoffs begin.
For the most recent edition, that was Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs QB entered the Big Game the betting favorite to win MVP and delivered late despite a slow start, finishing with 399 total yards and two passing TDs in his third Super Bowl victory.
Latest Super Bowl MVP odds analysis
2/12/24, 10:00 a.m. ET: Was there ever a doubt? Down 10 in the first half, down three late in the fourth quarter, and down three in overtime. That's what Patrick Mahomes helped the Chiefs overcome to win yet another Super Bowl, and the signal-caller was rewarded with a third Super Bowl MVP after entering the game the betting favorite at +130.
Previous MVP odds analysis
2/11, 8:45 a.m. ET: There's not much notable movement to report aside from favorite Patrick Mahomes shifting slightly to +150 at FanDuel. Purdy remains the second choice in the +220 range but is splitting the 49ers market with star running back Christian McCaffrey, who sits third at +450.
2/10, 8:00 a.m. ET: The Super Bowl MVP odds are beginning to see more movement, with Patrick Mahomes' price shortening at multiple sportsbooks, while the market has also shifted away from Brandon Aiyuk at multiple outlets. The biggest movers are at Caesars — Isiah Pacheco (+2,200 from +3,000) and Deebo Samuel (+2,000 from +2,500).
2/9, 8:30 a.m. ET: We're seeing very little MVP odds movement in the days before the Super Bowl, with Christian McCaffrey's move from +450 to +400 at Caesars the only tangible shift among the favorites over the past day. A swell of public money is sure to flood the markets come the weekend, so don't expect this lack of movement to persist.
2/8, 8:30 a.m. ET: As we inch toward the Big Game, some minimal movement has hit these lines. The shortest numbers have more or less stayed in place, but Brock Purdy has seen his longest number crawl from +230 to +235 while Patrick Mahomes is now available at +150 at FanDuel after sitting as long as +140 before.
2/7, 8:30 a.m. ET: Patrick Mahomes and Brock Purdy are still at the top of the table, but it's worth noting Deebo Samuel's odds lengthened from +2,000 to +2,500, while Isiah Pacheco and Rashee Rice saw their odds shorten.
2/6, 8:20 a.m. ET: There has been a little movement since Monday, with Patrick Mahomes' longest odds to win Super Bowl MVP now coming in at +140 after topping out at +135. Similarly, Deebo Samuel has shot up from +2,000 to +3,300 at FanDuel, though other books are still in the 20/1 to 25/1 range.
2/5, 8:30 a.m. ET: The odds have not budged and it's still Mahomes drawing the shortest odds versus Purdy and McCaffrey. Still, the Chiefs are considered underdogs on the moneyline and spread, and it is borderline impossible for a player to win the award if his team loses the Big Game. I say "borderline" because it did happen... once. Linebacker Chuck Howley won MVP of Super Bowl V in 1971 when his Dallas Cowboys lost 16-13 to the Baltimore Colts. So, if the game odds prove accurate, Mahomes is not likely to be honored with the MVP.
2/4, 8:20 a.m. ET: With just seven days between us and Super Bowl 58, the SB 58 market has held it's ground over the last 48 hours. None of the odds from the major books have changed with Mahomes still favored over Purdy.
2/2, 8:25 a.m. ET: The Super Bowl MVP markets have more or less held steady, with only minimal movement across the industry over the past 48 hours. Patrick Mahomes continues to be a slim favorite over Brock Purdy, despite momentum on the Chiefs spread slowing slightly in the past couple of days.
1/31, 11:00 a.m. ET: Patrick Mahomes continues to draw the shortest odds to win Super Bowl MVP. FanDuel is offering the best odds at +140 with other books going as short as +125. If Brock Purdy is more your preference, DraftKings has him at +225. If you think someone other than a quarterback is going to hoist the trophy, Christian McCaffrey (+475 at DK and Caesars) is the only other player with odds shorter than 12/1 as of Wednesday morning.
1/29, 12:30 p.m. ET: Patrick Mahomes remains the Super Bowl MVP favorite, and is also taking in the majority of the betting handle at DraftKings Sportsbook, which is reporting that he accounts for 20% of the total handle for this market, followed by teammate Travis Kelce (14%) and 49ers star Christian McCaffrey (12%). In terms of ticket count, however, it's CMC who leads the way with 15% of the MVP bets, followed by the KC duo of Mahomes (12%) and Kelce (10%). At BetMGM, it's McCaffrey who leads both the ticket count (11.8%) AND the total money (14.1%)
1/28, 11:00 p.m. ET: With the dust barely settled on the SB LVIII matchup, DraftKings was reporting that Patrick Mahomes led the way in Super Bowl MVP handle, accounting for 16% of the total handle spent on the market, followed by Christian McCaffrey at 12%.
The 49ers star RB, however, was leading the way in total tickets, with 8% of the bets, followed by Mahomes at 7% and Brock Purdy at 4% (and 8% of handle).
Best NFL bonuses
New Users
No-sweat first bet up to $1,000
If your first bet doesn’t win! Claim Now
See our Caesars sportsbook review
New Users
Get a no-sweat first bet
Up to $1,500! Claim Now
See our BetMGM sportsbook review
Eligible USA locations only. Also, see our full list of best sportsbook promotions for 2024.
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
How is the Super Bowl MVP decided?
The Super Bowl MVP is decided after the conclusion of the game by a panel of 16 NFL journalists (writers and broadcasters) as well as a fan vote (online and mobile), which was added in 2001.
The panel makes up 80% of the voting, while the fan vote makes up the remaining 20%. The player voted as having the most significant impact on their team’s success will be honored as the Most Valuable Player of the Super Bowl.
How to read Super Bowl MVP odds
When learning how to bet on the Super Bowl, bettors must first understand how the odds display and how to read them. The Super Bowl MVP odds are displayed in a list format with corresponding odds for each player considered an MVP candidate. The odds will reflect the implied probability of that player winning MVP.
Some sportsbooks will have a very long and detailed list with plenty of players available. Other books will list just the skill positions and key defensive contributors while adding a “field” or “other” option which includes any player not officially listed.
Most sportsbooks in North America will list Super Bowl MVP odds in American format:
- Patrick Mahomes -120
- Tom Brady +187
This means that a $100 bet on Mahomes would have profited $83 (or a $120 bet would win $100), or a $100 bet on Brady would have profited $187. Use our odds converter to switch American odds to decimal or fractional and to see how much you could win using different odds.
Super Bowl MVP betting history
A Super Bowl MVP has been named in all 58 championship games going back to 1967 when Green Bay Packers quarterback Bart Starr was named the very first Super Bowl Most Valuable Player.
Starr is one of the 32 quarterbacks to be named Super Bowl MVP. Running backs and wide receivers have each won MVP eight times while a defensive player has been named MVP five times and a special teams player (kick returner) has won the award once.
Betting on the Super Bowl MVP odds was made popular in the late 1990s, as online sports betting began to boom, but has only recently been allowed in regulated land-based sportsbooks (such as Las Vegas/Nevada) since 2016.
Super Bowl | MVP winner | MVP odds | Position |
---|---|---|---|
58 | Patrick Mahomes | +130 | QB |
57 | Patrick Mahomes | +130 | QB |
56 | Cooper Kupp | +600 | WR |
55 | Tom Brady | +187 | QB |
54 | Patrick Mahomes | +110 | QB |
53 | Julian Edelman | +2,000 | WR |
52 | Nick Foles | +325 | QB |
51 | Tom Brady | +150 | QB |
50 | Von Miller | +2,200 | LB |
Stay updated with the latest picks, odds, and news! Tap the to add us to your favorites on Google News to never miss a story.
Super Bowl MVP FAQs
Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is the betting favorite to win his third Super Bowl MVP award.
Patrick Mahomes won last year's Super Bowl MVP.
Quarterbacks have won Super Bowl MVP in 33 of the previous 58 games.
The Super Bowl MVP is decided by a voting panel of 16 journalists and a fan vote upon the conclusion of the game.