Super Bowl Player Props: Our Best Chiefs vs Eagles Prop Picks and Odds for Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts & More

Super Bowl player prop bets are as popular as the traditional betting markets themselves. We've got the latest Super Bowl 59 prop odds for a huge number of players and markets.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Feb 9, 2025 • 18:02 ET • 3 min read
Super Bowl player props Patrick Mahomes, Saquon Barkley, Dallas Goedert
Photo By - Imagn Images. Composite image of Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes and Philadelphia Eagles stars Saquon Barkley and Dallas Goedert.

Super Bowl player props are becoming the thing to bet for the Big Game, with these Super Bowl props no longer just limited to passing, rushing, and receiving yards.

Nowadays, it's touchdown scorers, derivative props, defensive stats, kicking points, and alternate totals — if it’s on the box score, you can make an NFL player prop pick for it.

We're keeping you on top of all the major props released by Super Bowl betting sites for this Sunday with a live list of the best NFL prop odds available — plus our best bets from Covers' NFL experts!

Latest Chiefs vs Eagles player prop picks

Writer Prop
Chris Vasile Jalen Hurts u208.5 passing yards (-110 at bet365)
Jason Logan Saquon Barkley u27.5 first-quarter rushing yards (-115 at Caesars)
Jason Logan Saquon Barkley o12.5 receiving yards (-115 at BetMGM)
Jason Logan Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown (-115 at Caesars)
Jason Logan Jalen Hurts o0.5 interceptions (+128 at Caesars)
Jason Logan George Karlaftis to record a sack (+116 at Caesars)
Jason Logan Kareem Hunt o1.5 receptions (+150 at Caesars)
Jason Logan Xavier Worthy o6.5 rushing yards (-105 at Caesars)
Josh Inglis Jalen Hurts o37.5 rushing yards (-111 at DraftKings)
Tom Oldfield DeAndre Hopkins Over 12.5 receiving yards (-120 at Caesars)
Neil Parker Patrick Mahomes o24.5 completions (+100 at Caesars)
Neil Parker A.J. Brown o68.5 receiving yards (-110 at Caesars)
Neil Parker Isiah Pacheco Under 27.5 rushing + receiving yards (+115 at Caesars)
Rohit Ponnaiya Jalen Hurts o27.5 pass attempts (-115 at Caesars)
Rohit Ponnaiya Dallas Goedert o51.5 receiving yards (-120 at Caesars)
Rohit Ponnaiya Tershawn Wharton 1+ sacks (+200 at Caesars)
Sam Farley Saquon Barkley first touchdown scorer (+420 at Caesars)
Trevor Knapp Jahan Dotson last touchdown scorer (+6500 at Caesars)
Trevor Knapp Dallas Goedert 2+ touchdowns (+2700 at Caesars)
Trevor Knapp Dallas Goedert 100+ receiving yards (+500 at Caesars)

To see more Chiefs vs. Eagles predictions, visit our free NFL picks page!

Super Bowl player props - Touchdowns

The Super Bowl touchdown props market is arguably the most popular prop market going, perhaps due to its simplicity: If the player you back scores a touchdown (or multiple TDs), you win.

Some sportsbooks even offer futures on touchdown props that bettors can take long before the teams are known. While anytime TD markets are popular, you can find longer odds on Super Bowl first touchdown props if you're looking for a bigger payout.

Live Super Bowl anytime touchdown scorer odds

Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown

Jason Logan's pick: Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown (-115 at Caesars)
Jalen Hurts has rumbled for 64 rushing touchdowns in his career, with several of those scores powered by the vaunted "Tush Push." Very few defenses have been able to stop it, especially when the Philadelphia Eagles are just outside of the end zone. Should Philadelphia find its way into those spots in Super Bowl LIX, you can be sure Hurts is getting his number called. This year, he scored at least one rushing touchdown in 12 of his 17 appearances during the regular season and playoffs, and Hurts is coming off a massive day in the NFC title game — he scored three touchdowns, with two of those TDs coming on one-yard "runs," while also scrambling for a score on a shifty nine-yard-designed keeper in the red zone.
Read Jason's full Jalen Hurts predictions article

Live Super Bowl first touchdown scorer odds

Saquon Barkley first touchdown scorer

Sam Farley's pick: Saquon Barkley first touchdown scorer (+420 at Caesars)
While Jalen Hurts and A.J. Brown are both more than capable of scoring the first touchdown, you simply can’t look beyond Saquon Barkley. The 27-year-old opened the scoring in the Eagles’ Conference Championship win over the Commanders by ripping off an incredible 60-yard run. The Eagles’ offense runs through Saquon, and with good reason: He’s been a game-changer since arriving from New York. He’s scored 20 times in 19 games and is on a great run with five touchdowns in his past two.
Read Sam's full Super Bowl first TD scorer picks article

Jason Logan's pick: Kareem Hunt first touchdown scorer (+1000 at Caesars)
Not only is Hunt a rushing option when the Chiefs are short-and-goal, but he’s also a capable pass-catching RB and has been utilized in the air attack through screens and shovel passes. The Eagles have been very solid on defense and have recorded the opening touchdown in 15 of their 20 games this year. However, Kansas City’s offense is hitting its stride at the perfect time. 
Read Jason's full Super Bowl long shot bet article

Live Super Bowl last touchdown scorer odds

Jahan Dotson last touchdown scorer

Trevor Knapp's pick: Jahan Dotson last touchdown scorer (+6500 at Caesars)
The last touchdown scorers in previous Super Bowls included Mecole Hardman Jr., Jerick McKinnon, and Damien Williams — so why not back another longshot to step up late? With all eyes on Saquon Barkley and A.J. Brown, give me No. 3 WR Jahan Dotson to etch his name into Super Bowl history for Philly!

Live Super Bowl multi-touchdowns odds

Dallas Goedert to score 2+ touchdowns

Trevor Knapp's pick: Dallas Goedert 2+ touchdowns (+2700 at Caesars)
I'm all in on the "Dallas Buyers Club" ahead of Super Sunday, taking Dallas Goedert to exceed 100+ receiving yards and even backing the Eagles tight end to win SB MVP (+8,000 at Caesars!). With Kansas City ranking dead-last in yards per route run to tight ends, expect Goedert to be Jalen Hurts' primary receiver inside the red zone.

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Super Bowl player props - Passing

Passing props markets are for the quarterbacks, with Over/Under totals for markets such as:

  • Passing yards
  • Passing attempts
  • Passing completions
  • Passing touchdowns
  • Interceptions
  • Longest Completion
  • Passing + rushing yards

There will also be milestone (or alt-total) markets for TDs and yards, allowing you to wager if you think a player will have an extra big game!

Live Super Bowl passing touchdowns odds

Live Super Bowl passing yards odds

Jalen Hurts Under 208.5 passing yards

Chris Vasile's pick: Jalen Hurts Under 208.5 passing yards (-110 at bet365)
There are plenty of ways Hurts can stay under this number. The best way to play defense against Patrick Mahomes is to bleed the clock and keep the Chiefs' offense on the sideline. The Eagles are so run-oriented that they can do just that — and if they are playing with a lead, the run game would be leaned upon even more. If the Eagles are forced into playing from behind, Spagnuolo's pass rush will pressure Hurts into mistakes and the K.C. defense can also keep him under this total.

Live Super Bowl passing completions odds

Patrick Mahomes Over 24.5 completions

Neil Parker's pick: Patrick Mahomes Over 24.5 completions (+100 at Caesars)
While Jalen Hurts and A.J. Brown are both more than capable of scoring the first touchdown, you simply can’t look beyond Saquon Barkley. The 27-year-old opened the scoring in the Eagles’ Conference Championship win over the Commanders by ripping off an incredible 60-yard run. The Eagles’ offense runs through Saquon, and with good reason: He’s been a game-changer since arriving from New York. He’s scored 20 times in 19 games and is on a great run with five touchdowns in his past two.
Read Neil's full Patrick Mahomes predictions article

Live Super Bowl passing attempts odds

Jalen Hurts Over 27.5 pass attempts

Rohit Ponnaiya's pick: Jalen Hurts Over 27.5 pass attempts (-115 at Caesars
Hurts has gone below this number in 10 of 17 full games this season but the majority of those contests were in poor weather or with a positive game script. This will likely be a close game inside a dome and the Eagles will need to throw the ball in order to open up things for Saquon Barkley on the ground. K.C.'s defense has also been more vulnerable against the pass than the run, so expect Kellen Moore to test that secondary.

Live Super Bowl passing and rushing yards odds

Live Super Bowl longest pass completion odds

Live Super Bowl interceptions thrown

Jalen Hurts Over 0.5 interceptions

Jason Logan's pick: Jalen Hurts Over 0.5 interceptions (+128 at Caesars)
Hurts has yet to throw a pick in the playoffs and he finished the regular season with only five interceptions. However, his passing prowess take a nosedive when under duress and KC’s blitz-happy schemes drum up the fifth highest pressure rate per dropback. Hurts goes from the 10th-best QB rating at PFF when kept clean to 58th under pressure.

Super Bowl player props - Rushing

The most popular rushing prop is betting the Over/Under for a running back's total rushing yards — but you can also bet on:

  • Over/Under rushing attempts
  • Over/Under rushing touchdowns
  • Over/Under longest rushing attempt
  • Milestones for attempts, yards, longest rush, and TDs
  • Rushing yards per quarter

Live Super Bowl rushing + receiving yards odds

Live Super Bowl rushing yards odds

Xavier Worthy Over 6.5 rushing yards

Jason Logan's pick: Xavier Worthy Over 6.5 rushing yards (-105 at Caesars)
The rookie finished with 104 yards rushing over his 16 regular season outings — an average of 6.5 yards per game (right on the nose for this prop) — and saw his carries spike toward the end of the year when the Kansas City Chiefs really stretched their legs between Week 15 and Week 17 (rushed a collective eight times for 50 total yards). Head Coach Andy Reid is not shy about handing the ball off to a wide receiver, having done so with the likes of Skyy Moore (one run for four yards) and Rashee Rice (two runs for five yards) in his last two Super Bowl appearances — and neither of those receivers-turned-runners had Worthy's breakneck speed.
Read Jason's full Xavier Worthy predictions article

Jalen Hurts Over 37.5 rushing yards

Josh Inglis' pick: Jalen Hurts Over 37.5 rushing yards (-111 at DraftKings)
He projects for 51 rushing yards on just over nine carries. The extra rest will help and so will being in a game a lot closer than the NFC title game vs. Washington. There is still a bit of a discount on this number as it closed at 39.5 in the Wild Card Round and 41.5 vs. in the Divisional Round, plus the injury discount from last week is still lingering in this number which I'd expect to close on the other side of 40. Everything is on the table for the final game for the QB who finished the year fourth in designed-run yards and sixth in scramble yards — plus he had 15 carries and 70 yards vs. KC in the Super Bowl two years ago.

Live Super Bowl rushing attempts odds

Live Super Bowl rushing touchdowns odds

Live Super Bowl longest rush odds


Super Bowl player props - Receiving

Common receiving props markets (for wide receivers, tight ends, running backs, and sometimes even the QBs) include:

  • Over/Under receiving yards
  • Over/Under receptions made
  • Over/Under receiving touchdowns
  • Over/Under longest reception
  • Most receiving yards in the game
  • Milestones for receptions, yards, longest reception, and TDs

Live Super Bowl receiving yards odds

Saquon Barkley Over 12.5 receiving yards

Jason Logan's pick: Saquon Barkley Over 12.5 receiving yards (-115 at BetMGM)
The Eagles need to get the ball in the hands of their best player any way they can. Barkley’s pass-catching hasn’t been needed much in recent weeks, but projections are all above 13 yards through the air with some close to 21 yards. The Chiefs bring pressure and Barkley is a viable checkdown option... plus he’s capable of putting this prop to bed in one catch-and-run.

DeAndre Hopkins Over 12.5 receiving yards 

Tom Oldfield's pick: DeAndre Hopkins Over 12.5 receiving yards (-120 at Caesars)
The Super Bowl is a whole different level of pressure and scrutiny, and I see Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes leaning on their steadiest veterans. That should mean an uptick in touches for both Travis Kelce and DeAndre Hopkins. That duo was kept on ice in the AFC Championship, but don’t be surprised if the Kansas City playbook leans in their direction on key third downs.

A.J. Brown Over 68.5 receiving yards

Neil Parker's pick: A.J. Brown Over 68.5 receiving yards (-110 at Caesars)
Brown is a matchup nightmare and I fully expect this total to climb leading into Super Bowl Sunday. This is tied for his second-lowest total in this market dating back to the regular season, and he turned his eight targets into six receptions and 96 yards against the Washington Commanders in the NFC Championship Game — with just two targets in the second half. I don’t envision the Eagles offense being able to take its foot off the pedal against Kansas City, and Brown should have opportunities to pad his stat line with the Chiefs keyed on running back Saquon Barkley.

Isiah Pacheco Under 27.5 rushing + receiving yards

Neil Parker's pick: Isiah Pacheco Under 27.5 rushing + receiving yards (+115 at Caesars)
With Kareem Hunt likely taking the lead role again Sunday, and KC running back Samaje Perine also mixing in as a pass-protection and pass-catching option, I don’t see enough touches and targets for Pachecho to top his rush + receiving yards total of 27.5. Pachecho has fallen short of that number in each of his past four games, and he’s also seen his underlying numbers take a huge hit this season.

Neil Parker's pick: Kareem Hunt Under 48.5 rushing + receiving yards (-105 at Caesars)
With the ground game likely stalling, I’m expecting Mahomes to attack through the air with short and intermediate passes because Hunt and backfield mate Isiah Pacheco are going to have a tough time picking up chunk yardage. Of course, KC running back Samaje Perine will also mix in as a pass-protection and pass-catching specialist, and I’m not convinced Pacheco won’t see an uptick in touches and targets following the two-week layoff.
Read Neil's full Kareem Hunt prop predictions article

Dallas Goedert Over 51.5 receiving yards

Rohit Ponnaiya's pick: Dallas Goedert Over 51.5 receiving yards (-120 at Caesars)
Goedert had seven catches for 85 yards against Washington in the NFC Championship game despite playing through an ankle injury. He has now logged 55+ receiving yards in three of his last four games and the extra time off before the Super Bowl will help him heal up. The Chiefs surrendered a league-high 70.1 receiving yards per game to tight ends during the regular season. Steve Spagnuolo's defense blitzes at the fourth-highest rate in the NFL which will result in Hurts throwing the ball more to shorter pass options like Goedert. 
Read Rohit's full Chiefs vs. Eagles prop picks article

Dallas Goedert 100+ receiving yards

Trevor Knapp's pick: Dallas Goedert 100+ receiving yards (+500 at Caesars)
Dallas Goedert caught six of seven targets in the first Super Bowl matchup between these two teams, and the Eagles tight end starred in last week's NFC Championship, notching 85 receiving yards in an absolute route of the Commanders. Facing a Chiefs defense that ranks dead-last in yards per route allowed to the position, Goedert should continue to thrive inside the fast track of the Caesars Superdome.

Live Super Bowl receptions odds

Kareem Hunt Over 1.5 receptions

Jason Logan's pick: Kareem Hunt Over 1.5 receptions (+150 at Caesars)
Hunt drew 32 targets for 23 receptions in 13 regular season showings, an average of almost 1.8 catches per contest, while recording 2+ receptions in six of those games. His player projections for Super Bowl LIX range from 1.1 to 2.0, with my number at 1.4 grabs. Let’s not forget that Hunt was a dual-threat RB in his first two seasons in Kansas City, catching 79 passes in 27 regular season games for a collective 833 receiving yards.

Live Super Bowl receiving touchdowns odds


Super Bowl player props - Kicking

Kicking props usually include:

  • Over/Under total points scored by the kicker (three points for made field goals and one point for made extra-point attempts)
  • Over/Under for the total amount of field goals made
  • Over/Under Longest field goal made

Live Super Bowl extra points made odds

Live Super Bowl field goals made odds

Live Super Bowl total kicking points odds


Super Bowl player props - Defense

Defensive props include things that defenders do to impact the game, such as tackles, sacks, and interceptions.

Live Super Bowl to record a sack odds

George Karlaftis to record a sack

Jason Logan's pick: George Karlaftis to record a sack (+116 at Caesars
George Karlaftis has been a postseason presence in his three years for the Chiefs, tallying seven total sacks in nine playoff games. The Super Bowl LIX projections call for 2.5 sacks from Kansas City and Karlaftis looks like he’ll be responsible for at least one of them, forecasted for 0.7 sacks – the highest sack projection for any defensive player on the field.

Tershawn Wharton 1+ sacks

Rohit Ponnaiya's pick: Tershawn Wharton 1+ sacks (+200 at Caesars)
Chris Jones is the biggest name on this Kansas City Chiefs defense but fellow interior defensive lineman Tershawn Wharton has done a better job of getting to the quarterback over the last couple of months. Wharton has picked up a sack in both of KC's playoff contests, and he's now racked up at least one sack in five of his last seven games. Wharton is undersized for an interior lineman, but he has an explosive first step and does an excellent job of getting penetration.

Live Super Bowl to record an interception odds

Live Super Bowl tackles and assists odds


How to bet on Super Bowl player props

Just because the game started doesn't mean you can't wager on player props. Watch for scenarios playing out in the game with our Super Bowl live betting strategy to find added value on player props during the game.

Popular Super Bowl player props often include:

  • Touchdown props
  • Passing props
  • Rushing props
  • Receiving props
  • Kicking props
  • Defensive props

Where can I bet on player props?

You can bet on Super Bowl player props at pretty much every online and casino sportsbook — but some offer more props and better odds than others. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks to find the top Super Bowl betting sites in your area.

Super Bowl player prop FAQs

Pages related to this topic

Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst “JLo” has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he’s honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous “NFL Underdogs” column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason’s first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast – WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio – he’s had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers’ flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

His best advice for bettors new and old is “Handicapping isn’t a ‘one size fits all’ process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.”

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