There are plenty of factors that lead to teams making the Super Bowl, including reliable quarterbacks, good coaching, stifling defenses, and strong special teams play. But one area that often gets overlooked is discipline — until a false start kills a drive or pass interference leads to a big play.
With penalties capable of altering the outcome of a game, it should be little surprise that the two teams shaping Super Bowl 56 odds are two of the best in the league at avoiding them.
That's why we're betting on this often-ignored Super Bowl prop pick for the Big Game.
Super Bowl 56 total penalties accepted odds
Number of penalties | Odds |
---|---|
Over 10.5 | -115 |
Under 10.5 | +105 |
Odds courtesy of bet365 as of February 11, 2022.
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Total penalties accepted pick
- Under 10.5 total penalties accepted (+105)
Pick made on February 11, 2022.
Cincinnati and Los Angeles were two of the least-penalized teams in the NFL during the regular season. The Bengals committed the second-fewest accepted penalties per game (4.2) while the Rams were in third place with 4.5.
While it's possible that playing under the bright lights of the Super Bowl could result in jittery nerves and uncharacteristic penalties, both teams kept their composure during the Conference Championship round.
Cincinnati committed four penalties in hostile territory at Arrowhead Stadium while the Rams were penalized just twice against the 49ers.
The other factor to consider is the officiating side of things, and while referee Ron Torbert won't have his usual crew with him this Sunday, he did tend to call penalties well below the league average during the regular season. Torbert's 17 games this season saw an average of 10 penalties per game, 1.74 penalties below the league average.
We're expecting a clean game on Sunday and taking the Under on the total accepted penalties at plus money.