NFL Week 11 Bet Now, Bet Later: Snag San Fran Before More Movement

Time flies when we’re having fun.. or sweating our weekly NFL odds.

The Week 11 odds are on the board and early action is already pushing point spreads and totals around in the hours after opening.

Getting the best number for your NFL picks is Step 1 in building your bankroll and that’s the name of the game with my weekly “Bet Now, Bet Later” lines.

I look at the opening odds for Week 11 and give you two bets to make now and two to make later, after oddsmakers adjust to early action.

Week 11 bet now, bet later picks

• Buccaneers at 49ers (-10): Bet Now
• Bears (+9) at Lions: Bet Later
• Giants at Commanders (Over 36): Bet Now
• Bengals at Ravens (Over 44): Bet Later

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Buccaneers at 49ers (-10): Bet Now

The San Francisco 49ers reminded us just how scary they truly are when healthy. The Niners came off the bye week like a bat out of hell and snapped Jacksonville’s winning streak like Randy “Macho Man” Savage in a Slim Jim commercial.

The 49ers are back in Santa Clara this coming Sunday, welcoming the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 11. San Francisco opened as low as 10-point home chalk and the market is running as high as Niners -10.5. Avoiding the half-point hook on the key number is vital, so if you’re sold on San Fran, bet it now.

The Bucs are coming off a solid showing against the Titans but travel for the third time in four weeks. Tampa Bay has been able to take down some mid-tier to lower-level opponents this season but hasn’t gotten over the hump against the NFL elite (losing to Philadelphia, Buffalo, and Detroit).

On top of that, quarterback Baker Mayfield injured his thumb in the win over the Titans. While he stayed in the game after hitting his hand on a helmet at the start of the fourth quarter, it’s an injury to monitor with the Bucs battling one of the best two-way teams in football in Week 11.

Best odds to bet 49ers -10 right now

Bears (+9) at Lions: Bet Later

The Detroit Lions look to be running away from the rest of the NFC North. Yet, the Chicago Bears could be set up for surprise success in the second half of the schedule.

This Week 11 divisional dance has Chicago anywhere from -9 to as high as -10 at some sharper books. With quarterback Justin Fields likely returning under center for the Bears and this Chitown defense stiffening by the game, there’s a lot to like about Chicago. Well, maybe not the spread.

That’s why if you believe in Da Bears, wait this line out and see if you can at least grab double digits at your sportsbook of choice or maybe – just maybe - +10.5.

Detroit has a 7-2 ATS record (and is 30-13 ATS since 2021), is coming off a big win over the Chargers, and is back in Ford Field.

The Bears are 3-2-1 ATS in their last six games, with the stop unit ranked Top 10 in EPA allowed per play and success rate. Chicago has enjoyed a mini-bye after beating Carolina on Thursday, which may be enough time to get Fields back on the field. 

Wait and see.

Giants at Commanders (Over 36): Bet Now

When you think of offensive power, you don’t think of the Washington Commanders, but here we are.

Washington is making waves on the scoresheet in recent outings, scoring a grand total of 77 points the past three games, going Over the total in two of those outings.

Quarterback Sam Howell is humming since figuring out you can’t take a sack if you throw the ball. His new lease on life has him surpassing 300 yards in each of those three outings with eight total touchdowns to just two interceptions.

Defensively, the Commanders continue to play like a dollar store raincoat: leaky. Washington has allowed 84 combined points in the last three outings. All in all, the Commies rank 13th in EPA per play and 31st in EPA allowed. Smells like an Over to me.

Given this total is pretty low, Washington is expected to do the lion’s share of the scoring. That should be too much of an issue considering the New York Giants have allowed a grand total of 79 points the past two games.

The Giants showed a little fight on offense in the final 30 minutes of Sunday’s blowout loss to Dallas, and that’s all we need for this Over to come through.

These NFC East rivals produced just 21 total points in their plain saltine of a meeting in Week 7, with that total closing at 36.5 points. The Commanders and Howell are in a much better place now. 

Go bet the Over now. It’s climbing as high as 37.5 as I type here on Sunday night.

Best odds to bet Over 36 right now

Bengals at Ravens (Over 44): Bet Later

The final two primetime games for Week 10 are still to be played, but everyone is talking about Unders in those single-game showcases. Heading into Sunday Night Football, primetime Unders were 23-7 on the season.

Given that one-sided trend and the early market moves for Thursday Night Football, anyone thinking about betting the Over between the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens may want to see how low this total goes before clicking submit on that wager.

As of Sunday, the Over/Under number for this AFC North grudge match sits as high as 44.5 but books are dropping that number, with some shops dealing 43.5 points on Sunday night.

Both the Bengals and Ravens found themselves in shootouts in Week 10 and these foes have gone 5-2 Over/Under in their last eight head-to-head meetings, including a 27-24 Ravens win in Week 2 that topped the total despite a one-legged Joe Burrow under center for Cincinnati and Baltimore missing bodies on the offense as well. 

These scoring attacks are now healthy and putting up points. Wait and see if all the “primetime Under trend” pushes this one down by midweek before betting the Over.

Stay updated with the latest picks, odds, and news! Tap the to add us to your favorites on Google News to never miss a story.

Pages related to this topic