With Thanksgiving in the rearview mirror, we’ve reached the stretch run of the season where each passing week will make the playoff picture clearer and also give us a better indication of who will be picking near the top of the 2025 Draft.
Betting results were a mixed bag last week, but underdogs came out ahead in spread betting, going 9-6-1 ATS. For the season, favorites hold a slight edge with a 52.4% cover rate with away favorites doing the heavy lifting at 57.5%.
If this week’s spreads are any indication, Week 14 should be a competitive one as only one of the 13 games has a spread higher than seven — that’s the Eagles favored by 12 against the Panthers.
Below you’ll find my favorite NFL betting trends for every game this week. Best of luck out there!
Best NFL Week 14 betting trends
Packers vs Lions
The trend: Since the start of last season, the Lions are 7-1 ATS in games after not covering the spread
Non-covers in consecutive weeks have been rare for the Lions and they’re in a spot to add to this trend after failing to cover the spread vs. the Bears last week. This looks to be Detroit’s biggest challenge of the year, thanks to a growing injury report and a Packers opponent that’s starting to peak. Detroit is favored by three.
See all Packers vs Lions trends for Week 14.
Jaguars vs Titans
The trend: The Titans are 0-5 ATS at home this season and 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite
A double-whammy here, but the problem is, you’d have to throw your support behind Mac Jones, who’s the likely Jaguars starter. Regardless, the Titans showed their true colors last week when they lost by 23 in Washington and now have three double-digit losses in their last four games. Tennessee is favored by 3.5.
See all Jaguars vs Titans trends for Week 14.
Falcons vs Vikings
The trend: Since the start of November, these teams are a combined 8-1 to the Under
It’s been a rough offensive stretch for the Falcons, who’ve failed to crack 20 points in three straight. Meanwhile, the Vikings are 5-1 to the Under this season on their home field. This game has a total of 45.5.
See all Falcons vs Vikings trends for Week 14.
Panthers vs Eagles
The trend: The Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a double-digit favorite
The Eagles are favored by 12 points vs. the suddenly feisty Panthers, and this has the makings of a good old-fashioned letdown/look-ahead spot for Philly. The Eagles just went on the road and beat the Ravens in Week 13, and they’ll host the in-state rival Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 15. Carolina has covered the spread in four straight games.
See all Panthers vs Eagles trends for Week 14.
Jets vs Dolphins
The trend: The Dolphins are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games when favored by six or more
The Dolphins are great at turning people off when they play good competition, but they’re also great at smacking around bad teams. They took full advantage of this miserable Jets team in their two matchups last season when they outscored them by a total of 64-13. Additionally, New York is 1-8 ATS in their last nine games and Miami is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 vs the Jets. The Dolphins are favored by six.
See all Jets vs Dolphins trends for Week 14.
Browns vs Steelers
The trend: The Browns are 1-20 SU & 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games in Pittsburgh
Jameis Winston brings Browns’ fans up, but this trend should bring them right back down. The Steelers have been great at home this season where they’re 4-1 SU and ATS and will have no shortage of motivation in this one after losing to the Browns in Cleveland in Week 12. The Steelers are favored by 6.5.
See all Browns vs Steelers trends for Week 14.
Raiders vs Buccaneers
The trend: The Raiders have gone Over their team total in five straight games
Somehow, some way, the Raiders are scoring points. Their team total is set at 19.5 against a Bucs team that ranks 28th in points allowed at home at 26.2. For what it’s worth, Las Vegas is 5-2 to the Over on their team totals on the road.
See all Raiders vs Buccaneers trends for Week 14.
Saints vs Giants
The trend: The Giants are 5-1 to the Under on their team total at home
It’s one thing to be going Under, it’s another to be averaging a pathetic 10 points per game at home, which is the worst in the NFL by six points. The Giants’ team total is 17.5 and they’re also 0-7 ATS in their last seven.
See all Saints vs Giants trends for Week 14.
Seahawks vs Cardinals
The trend: The Seahawks are 9-1-1 SU in their last 11 games in Arizona
Yes, these games were all under Pete Carroll, but we’ll see if Seattle can keep rolling in the desert under the new regime. The Seahawks have been rolling on the road, where they're 4-1 SU this season and are a 2.5-point underdog in this match.
See all Seahawks vs Cardinals trends for Week 14.
Bears vs 49ers
The trend: These teams are a combined 9-3 to the Under over their last 12 games
The 49ers offense will be limping into this game after scoring just 20 total points in their last two. The Bears, meanwhile, are a perfect 5-0 to the Under on the road where their games are averaging just 39 combined points. This game has a total of 44 points.
See all Bears vs 49ers trends for Week 14.
Bills vs Rams
The trend: The Rams are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games played in December
The Rams have earned a reputation as a strong finisher as they’ve been a great bet down the stretch in recent regular seasons. This trend includes eight straight covers at home, which the Rams will look to continue as a 4.5-point underdog. Bettors should also note that the Bills have gone Under in 16 of their last 22 road games.
See all Bills vs Rams trends for Week 14.
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