NFL Week 17 Weather and Odds: Conditions May Be Messy in Buffalo

As the regular season comes to a close with its final two weeks, teams and players find themselves deeper and deeper into the winter months of the NFL odds.

Week 16 fortunately saw a relatively clean slate of weather, and Week 17 odds present a fairly similar forecast. However, there are a few games to keep an eye on in case things turn even just a little for the worse before placing any NFL picks.

Continue reading for breakdowns of Week 17's outdoor matchups.

Patriots vs Bills Weather

This AFC East battle comes with a pair of weather conditions that currently aren't projected to make too large of an impact, but if either gets more severe by game time, can have tangible effects.

This matchup in Buffalo currently projects to have 12.5 MPH winds and a 34% chance of precipitation. If the former reaches speeds of 15+ MPH, then it would become a cause for concern, but as it currently stands, it has a light effect at most.

The presence of rain, however, would suggest a 12% dip in passing production on average. On top of that the game-time temperature is projected to be in the mid-thirties, a temperature that is in the range of an average 5% dip in total passing projection.

Falcons vs Bears Weather

This contest currently doesn't project to have too many game-changing weather conditions, but it is close and could break the wrong way.

The temperature (expected to be around 35 degrees) is the immediately impactful projected weather condition, but the wind (projected to be around 12 MPH) is just a touch below the threshold where it would start to play a factor.

Steelers vs Seahawks Weather

This Super Bowl XL rematch comes with arguably the most impactful potential weather conditions.

The temperature (49 degrees) just falls within the 25-55 degree threshold, where we typically observe an average dip of 5% in passing production. However, that's not all Sunday will bring for these two teams.

This game carries a 46% chance of rain come Sunday and as mentioned previously, the presence of any kind of rain (even light rain) comes with a 12% average dip in passing production.

With the total sitting in a moderate range, the temperature and rain should maybe give Over bettors some pause as both teams could find themselves battling against the weather through the air, causing them to lean more heavily on the run.

Given that the Steelers are just around league average running the ball (16th in rush offense DVOA) and the Seahawks rank even below them (20th), we may see a lot of stalled drives as a result. And given that the Steelers rank better at defending the run (14th) than the Seahawks (22nd), a game that pushes these teams to run against each other may favor Pittsburgh throughout.

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