The theme for Week 2 in pretty much any NFL season is to not overreact. It’s pretty common knowledge that we get some results that turn out to be massive outliers in the season’s opening week, so don’t go wild basing too many of your Week 2 bets on what happened last week.
While some of the results could carry over — maybe the Saints are good and the Falcons stink, others will likely be corrected as all those star rookies can’t possibly be that bad… Sadly, Bryce Young probably is though.
While some teams and players quite simply aren’t themselves at this point of the season, we probably shouldn’t be confused by the performance of the Bengals in Week 1. While they’re still hovering around the top ten on the Super Bowl futures odds board, we’ve seen a serious NFL betting trend from this team of being downright pathetic to open their seasons.
Since 2020 when Joe Burrow debuted, the team has gone 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS in games played in Weeks 1 and 2. Five of those eight outright losses came as a favorite and it’s not like they’ve played a lot of stiff competition in these games as they’ve lost to teams quarterbacked by Deshaun Watson, Mitch Trubisky, Cooper Rush, Justin Fields, Tyrod Taylor, and Jacoby Brissett this past week.
Now, they’ll hit the road to take on the defending Super Bowl champions who have a nice rest advantage. We’ll see if the Bengals can put their early-season issues behind them, but it won’t be easy against a Chiefs team who’ll likely be extremely locked in for the matchup.
Check out the rest of my favorite betting trends for the week below — best of luck in Week 2!
Best NFL Week 2 betting trends
Bills vs Dolphins
The trend: These teams have cleared 60 combined points in three of their last four games against each other
Yes, this is a small sample size, but a sample size needs to start somewhere and this one is directly tied into the new era of Dolphins football brought on by the hire of Mike McDaniel in 2022. This game has a total of 48.5 points and each offense will look to pick up where they left off in Week 1 where they combined for 752 yards of offense.
See all Bills vs Dolphins trends for Week 2.
Saints vs Cowboys
The trend: Under Dennis Allen, the Saints are 4-10-1 ATS after a win
That 28.6% cover percentage is the worst mark in the NFL since the start of the 2022 season. Allen’s Saints have been great at throwing bettors off the scent. They look great one week, then are polar opposites the next. This pattern could be on display early this season after they obliterated the Panthers at home. The Cowboys are favored by 6.5 in this matchup.
See all Saints vs Cowboys trends for Week 2.
Raiders vs Ravens
The trend: In games after a loss last season the Ravens went 4-0 SU & ATS with a win margin of 17.75 points
After losing by a toe in the season opener vs the Chiefs, the Raiders look like an ideal opponent to bounce back against. The spread is up to 8.5 points, but big wins were also part of the Ravens’ DNA last season as they rattled off 10 separate double-digit wins.
See all Raiders vs Ravens trends for Week 2.
Giants vs Commanders
The trend: The Commanders have allowed at least 27 points in nine straight games
So much for Dan Quinn having an immediate impact on this defense. The Bucs dropped 37 points on the Commanders in Week 1, which bring their average points allowed up to 34.4 points during this nine-game stretch. One of these games includes allowing 31 points to the New York Giants last November. It’s worth noting that the Giants scored zero points in Week 1 last season and bounced back nicely the next week, scoring 31. New York has a team total of 20.5.
See all Giants vs Commanders trends for Week 2.
Chargers vs Panthers
The trend: The Panthers went under their team total in seven of eight home games last season
It was a rough debut for new coach Dave Canales and the Panthers last week, losing 47-10, and gaining just 193 total yards on offense. Their team total for this game is at 16.5 points – a mark they stayed Under in six of eight home games last season. The new-look Chargers held the Raiders to just 10 points in Week 1.
See all Chargers vs Panthers trends for Week 2.
Colts vs Packers
The trend: As an underdog of three or more points, the Packers have gone 14-3 ATS since Matt LaFleur took over in 2019.
With Jordan Love out and Malik Willis in, the Packers will have their backs against the wall in Week 2 with the Colts coming to town, but Matt LaFleur’s teams generally play up to the competition when getting more than a couple of points. At home in this spot, they're 3-0 ATS. If you’re interested in backing LaFleur and Willis, you can plug your nose and take Green Bay +3.5.
See all Colts vs Packers trends for Week 2.
49ers vs Vikings
The trend: The Vikings are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games at home
So much for a homefield advantage for the Vikings who haven’t exactly been rewarding their season ticket holders. They’ll have their backs against the wall against this juggernaut 49ers team, but Vikings fans will be quick to remind you that they pulled off an upset at home vs these 49ers last season, defeating them 22-17. San Francisco is favored by six.
See all 49ers vs Vikings trends for Week 2.
Browns vs Jaguars
The trend: The Browns have gone Over in ten straight road games
Perhaps the most puzzling stat from last season was the Browns’ defense allowing the fewest points at home with 13.9, but the most on the road with 31.3. These teams met in December of last season and combined for 58 points. Despite this, the total for this matchup is at 41.5 points, but the low number has a lot to do with the man trying to play quarterback for the Browns.
See all Browns vs Jaguars trends for Week 2.
Seahawks vs Patriots
The trend: Since the start of last season, the Patriots have gone Under their team total in 13 of 18 games
New England’s Week 1 win in Cincinnati will likely go down as one of the biggest shocks of the season, but they don’t exactly have their offense to thank after contributing just 16 points. The Seahawks had a strong defensive performance in Week 1, holding the Broncos to just 3.3 yards per play. The Patriots’ team total for the game is 16.5. They averaged a league-low 12.9 PPG at home last season.
See all Seahawks vs Patriots trends for Week 2.
Jets vs Titans
The trend: The Jets are 3-16 ATS in their last 19 games played in the month of September
The tradition continued on Monday night in San Francisco as Robert Saleh had his team horribly unprepared to open their season. Under Saleh, the Jets have gone 2-8 ATS in September with six double-digit losses. They’re a four-point favorite in Tennessee vs. the Titans on Sunday which is the biggest road favorite they’ve been since November of 2015 in Houston. And, yes, they lost that game 24-17.
See all Jets vs Titans trends for Week 2.
Buccaneers vs Lions
The trend: The Bucs are 7-2 ATS as a road underdog since the start of last season
How about a little bit of respect? Despite their 17-point win in Week 1, the Lions come into their Week 2 matchup vs the Lions as a 7-point underdog. This is a rematch of last year’s playoffs where the Lions won 31-23, but the Buccaneers had a clear edge in yards per play, 6.8 to 5.5. Don’t be shocked if they keep this one close.
See all Buccaneers vs Lions trends for Week 2.
Rams vs Cardinals
The trend: The Rams are 9-0 ATS in their last nine games in Arizona
The Rams will look to bounce back in Week 2 and a trip to Arizona has been a great cure after a loss over the last nine seasons. They’ve been especially dominant there lately with five of their last seven wins in Arizona coming by double-digits. It’s also worth noting that Los Angeles has been a strong bet after a loss under Sean McVay, covering 60% of games in this spot since he became their coach in 2017. That’s the best mark in the NFL in this span.
See all Rams vs Cardinals trends for Week 2.
Steelers vs Broncos
The trend: The Broncos are 14-4 ATS in the first quarter since the start of last season
Weirdo trend of the week here, but this is now a serious pattern of strong starts. The Broncos covered the first-quarter number once again in Seattle last week and will look to keep the first-quarter train rolling this week as a home underdog. They’re currently +0.5 on the first Q spread at a juicy -160, or you could consider the first Q moneyline at +114 if you think their opening quarter success continues.
See all Steelers vs Broncos trends for Week 2.
Bengals vs Chiefs
The trend: Since Joe Burrow’s debut in 2020, the Bengals are 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS in games played in Week 1 & 2
The Bengals’ early season struggles are now well-documented after their pathetic performance at home against New England. Now they’ll face a well-rested Chiefs team who looks to be back to themselves on the offensive side of the ball. Kansas City can occasionally get caught sleepwalking in the regular season, but that would be surprising in a Week 2 game at home vs a rival. KC is favored by six points.
See all Bengals vs Chiefs trends for Week 2.
Bears vs Texans
The trend: The Bears have gone Under in eight of their last 11 games
Week 1’s game against the Titans could go down as an outlier for the Bears offense after they averaged a pathetic 2.8 yards per play, but their defense has been on a roll since last season, holding seven straight opponents to 20 points or less. We’ll see if Caleb Williams can loosen up a bit as he can only get better after throwing for 93 yards in the season opener. This week’s Sunday Nighter has a total of 45.5.
See all Bears vs Texans trends for Week 2.
Falcons vs Eagles
The trend: The Eagles have gone Over in 18 of their last 22 home games
If you like explosive football, then Eagles’ games are probably for you. Philly’s offense looked great in Week 1 in Brazil, dropping 34 points, and they’ll look to continue a high-scoring pattern at home that saw them average 30.9 PPG. Over bettors will need a big rebound from a Falcons offense that came out extremely flat in Week 1, where they could only manage to score 10 points. This game has a total of 47 points.
See all Falcons vs Eagles trends for Week 2.
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