Week 3 NFL Teaser: Ravens Fly in Winning Formation

We got the teaser train back on the tracks in Week 2 with the Baltimore Ravens and San Francisco 49ers taking care of business, bringing the season’s teaser record to 1-1. We’ll look to get in the black in Week 3, with a handful of strong teaser options to choose from.

Once again, my weekly reminder as to how this article works: I rank my five favorite teaser legs of the week, and the top two represent my official teaser bet. I follow the basic teaser strategy of crossing as many key numbers as possible while never teasing through zero.

Let’s get into the Week 3 teaser action with my NFL picks! And be sure to check out our NFL Week 3 predictions for even more analysis ahead of kick off.

Week 3 NFL teaser picks

6-point teaser

• Ravens (-1.5)
• Dolphins (-0.5)

Picks made on September 21 at 9:45 a.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.

Week 3 Teaser

Ravens (-7.5 to -1.5) vs Colts

No team is upset-proof, but the Baltimore Ravens don’t make a habit of playing down to and losing against weaker competition, especially on their home field. They’ve gone 28-2 SU in their last 30 games as a home favorite of seven or more points with 12 straight wins in the spot.

As for how these teams match up, this game sets up nicely for Lamar Jackson and the Ravens pass attack. Jackson is second among quarterbacks with a 74.5 completion percentage and should be able to maintain or improve on that number vs. a Colts defense allowing a 68.35 completion rate, which is bad enough for 24th overall. The Colts also come in ranked 28th in yards allowed per pass attempt.

On the other side of the ball, the Colts could be without both Anthony Richardson and starting center Ryan Kelly, as each is dealing with a concussion. Either way, the Colts offense will have trouble moving the football vs. a Ravens defense that’s allowing just 4.3 yards per play. Indianapolis could also be hampered by its early season struggles to convert on third down where they rank 22nd at 33.33%. Baltimore ranks first in this category at 58.62%.

Dolphins (-6.5 to -0.5) vs Broncos

I didn’t expect to be giving the Miami Dolphins offensive line a big pat on the back two weeks into the NFL season, but here we are. It helps that Tua Tagovailoa is getting the ball out extremely quickly, but he’s only been sacked once and is facing the LEAST amount of pressure per dropback. This is significant because the Denver Broncos are generating the second-least amount of pressure in the league.

The Broncos need to be concerned about their defense as a whole after getting torched by a Commanders team in Week 2 that could barely move the football in Week 1 vs. the dinky Cardinals. Denver has now allowed 27 or more points in five of its last seven games and won’t have an easy time vs. quite possibly the league’s top offense.

Miami’s defense had a solid bounce-back performance in Week 2 vs. the Patriots, allowing just three points in the opening three quarters. I’m sure defensive coordinator Vic Fangio — who isn’t far removed from being fired as head coach of the Broncos — would love nothing more than to embarrass his old team.

Miami should have a nice home-field advantage in that early-season South Florida heat and humidity. This will also be Denver’s first game in the early afternoon timeslot.

Learn more about teaser betting with Covers’ teaser betting guide.

Best Week 3 teaser spots

• Ravens (-7.5 to -1.5)
• Dolphins (-6.5 to -0.5)
• Titans vs. Browns (+3.5 to +9.5)
• Saints vs. Packers (+2 to +8)
• Cowboys vs. Cardinals (-12.5 to -6.5)

The Cleveland Browns could be in serious trouble after losing their top offensive player in Nick Chubb, especially as Deshaun Watson is beginning to reveal himself as a below-average quarterback. I expect this to be an ugly, potentially low-scoring game and any offensive success the Browns have will need to be led by Watson as the Tennessee Titans are allowing a measly 2.7 yards per rush attempt. Cleveland pulling away and winning by double-digits is very unlikely. The Titans have made a habit of playing up to the competition as they're on a run that’s seen them go 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog.

I expect another low-scoring game at Lambeau Field where the New Orleans Saints will be able to keep things tight — or win outright — vs. the Green Bay Packers. The Saints are making an early season claim as one of the league’s best defenses with just 32 points allowed in two games. They should be able to limit a beat-up Packers offense led by Jordan Love, who ranks 31st in completion percentage. New Orleans has been great against the pass, ranking in the Top 4 in opponent completion percentage and yards allowed per attempt. While their offense is average at best, Derek Carr & Co. should be able to keep this one competitive.

The Arizona Cardinals haven’t been the total disaster we all expected just yet, but the wheels could officially fall off vs. the Dallas Cowboys, who have wins of 40 and 20-point margins through two games. It’ll be a long day for the Arizona offense against a Dallas defense that’s allowed just one touchdown this season while ranking first in yards per play allowed, sacks, and takeaways. This one shouldn’t take much convincing, so I’ll leave it at that. 

Best of luck with your bets in Week 3, unless you’re fading me! We’ll catch you again in Week 4 and we’ll do it all over again.

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