Lions vs Cowboys Same Game Parlay Pick: Goff Gets Best of Dallas D

Neither defense has the capacity to keep these offenses in check, but bettors should still play it smart when making Lions vs. Cowboys SGP picks. Find out where Robert Criscola thinks the value lies on Sunday afternoon.

Robert Criscola - Contributor at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Publishing Editor
Oct 12, 2024 • 14:30 ET • 4 min read
Detroit Lions Jared Goff NFL
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The Detroit Lions have had this game with the Dallas Cowboys circled on their calendars for close to a year after a controversial loss to "America's Team" last season. 

I believe motivation won't be lacking off a bye week for Jared Goff & Co., but I also don't expect Dak Prescott and the Cowboys will go quietly into the good night. Find out how both quarterbacks factor into my NFL picks by reading my Lions vs. Cowboys same game parlay pick below.

Lions vs Cowboys SGP for NFL Week 6

Dak Prescott Over 1.5 passing TDs

Jared Goff Over 243.5 passing yards

Lions team total Over 13.5 1H

The Week 6 betting trends are in the Dallas Cowboys' favor as they're 8-2 ATS in their last 10 as home underdogs and 4-0 ATS in each of their last four games going into a bye week. While I can't quite get there on Dallas +3, my Lions vs. Cowboys predictions see Dak Prescott having a strong outing against a subpar Detroit Lions defense.

Prescott is averaging nearly 285 passing yards per game while clearing his passing yards prop three times out of five. However, only against the Ravens was his line been set above 259.5 yards. With the books giving out less room for error, I'll head to the passing touchdowns market instead.

Dak has delivered multiple touchdowns in three straight contests and in seven of his last nine games dating back to last season. That includes a pair of TD passes in a 20-19 triumph over Detroit last December.

With the Lions allowing 258.3 passing yards per game (27th in the NFL), the opportunities will be there for Dak.

Jared Goff will do his best to match Prescott's production on Sunday, and his passing yards prop is set at a much more reasonable 243.5 yards. He's cleared this number in eight of his last 10 games overall, averaging 270 yards in that span.

The Cowboys are allowing 7.1 yards per attempt, which is actually higher than the Lions' figure of 7.0.

With injuries decimating Dallas' defense, I can't see them containing Goff early or late. Neither can oddsmakers, which explains why the total for this game is so high at 52. I can't quite endorse the full-game Over, but I think the Lions reaching 14 points before halftime is possible.

The Cowboys are allowing 78.6% of enemy trips into the red zone to turn into touchdowns, the second-worst mark in the league. All we need to cash this leg is two successful trips inside the 20, if not a home-run play.

The Lions love to go for it, as they were practically allergic to kicking the field goal in last year's loss to the Cowboys. Don't expect Detroit to settle for three points once they get close to paydirt.

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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Publishing Editor

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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